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Bydgoszcz vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-90 (OT)
19-18 26-24 14-18 21-20 15-10
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game68.0
Bydgoszcz 🏆
Poland
vs
Pelplin
Poland
Position#11
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game70.0
Poland1 LigaRound 4· Sisu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Pelplin
07 Mar 2026
BYDG104
PELP81
13 Apr 2025
BYDG114
PELP78
12 Apr 2025
BYDG98
PELP77
06 Nov 2024
BYDG92
PELP84
11 Oct 2023
BYDG95
PELP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
A31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
no box
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A16/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
L
90-100
90
100
-10
no box
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 84
A23/09
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 84
H01/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
91-63
91
63
+28
94avg 84
H06/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
30-34
15-27
15-22
19-24
20-27
19-26
30-19
20-26
27-21
19-27
15-23
25-15
13-21
22-21
20-31
25-19
13-15
22-20
18-28
22-29
23-28
26-18
19-25
21-24
23-17
23-24
22-27
26-12
27-17
18-27
17-14
22-19
20-20
17-20
18-12
30-19
12-17
29-7
20-20
171.2Avg total
85.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.368.0153.3+17.3100%
Season at home (2)84.067.0151.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.286.0171.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)87.079.2166.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.994.7177.6-11.812%
vs Similar (11)86.287.5173.7-1.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.368.0153.3+17.3100%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#11
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A19/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H26/03
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A01/04
1 Liga
Lublin 2
#18
W
130-56
130
56
+74
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
no box
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 90
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 90
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
104-54
104
54
+50
106avg 90
H08/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
18-11
21-27
19-11
16-21
23-15
24-8
14-28
22-9
28-28
12-19
26-28
30-12
40-10
30-12
30-22
16-21
19-14
23-23
15-27
24-13
13-32
14-23
18-14
13-15
12-24
16-23
21-26
24-20
32-23
22-9
18-26
19-19
20-22
18-19
16-18
29-10
23-9
30-18
22-17
158.1Avg total
84.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.070.0161.0+21.067%
Season at home (2)88.566.0154.5+22.550%
Season away (1)96.078.0174.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.373.8158.1+10.560%
Last 5 (5)80.876.0156.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.980.9155.8-6.033%
vs Similar (12)76.276.2152.3+0.058%
vs Weaker (9)96.772.6169.2+24.189%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
BydgoszczPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A23/09
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/10
1 Liga
87.0Avg total
44.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.488.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.245.489.7-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)43.243.186.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.287.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.146.889.9-3.631%-
vs Similar (11)44.243.587.7+0.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.734.780.3+11.0100%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#11
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A19/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/03
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A01/04
1 Liga
Lublin 2
#18
W
70-22
70
22
+48
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H08/10
1 Liga
77.4Avg total
43.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.676.9+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.434.574.9+5.950%-
Last 30 away (16)40.238.478.6+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.077.4+9.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.479.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.639.977.4-2.322%-
vs Similar (12)36.336.072.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (9)48.334.082.3+14.378%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.721.0
60.6%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
69.4%16.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.3
58.3%
51.8%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
32.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.3
68.3%
69.4%14.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWWLLLLLLL
Pelplin
WLWLLLWWWW
#5
League position
#11
+24.9
Net rating
+29.1
114.0
Offensive rating
120.0
89.0
Defensive rating
90.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
57.4%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.3%
3-point %
37.5%
66.7%
Assist %
69.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 120.0Defence89.0 · 90.9Shooting55.9% · 57.4%3-point %33.3% · 37.5%Ball care17.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 38.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bydgoszcz wins
0
Pelplin wins
No previous meetings.
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HMKKS Koszalin91-63
01/10/23HSokol Miedzychod77-71
23/09/23AAlstom Krakow88-70
03/05/23ADabrowa Gornicza89-92
30/04/23HTorun90-100
23/04/23ACzarni Slupsk78-82
16/04/23ASzczecin80-88
10/04/23AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
31/03/23ALegia88-96
25/03/23ASlask Wroclaw90-101
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HSokol Miedzychod104-54
01/10/23HWKK Wroclaw73-78
23/09/23APoznan96-78
22/04/23HDziki Warszawa62-88
16/04/23ADziki Warszawa69-82
15/04/23ADziki Warszawa73-85
05/04/23HLublin 2130-56
01/04/23AAlstom Krakow88-84
26/03/23HWKK Wroclaw77-72
19/03/23APoznan71-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.384.088.0
Allowed / game68.067.070.0
Point differential+17.3+17.0+18.0
Avg total153.3151.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game91.088.596.0
Allowed / game70.066.078.0
Point differential+21.0+22.5+18.0
Avg total161.0154.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II220100%100.577.5+23.0
2 Bydgoszcz330100%85.368.0+17.3
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg330100%71.764.0+7.7
4 Krosno43175%86.273.5+12.8
5 WKK Wroclaw43175%84.874.2+10.5
6 Starogard Gdanski43175%68.065.0+3.0
7 GKS Tychy43175%84.585.2-0.8
8 Pelplin32167%91.070.0+21.0
9 Gornik Walbrzych32167%70.367.3+3.0
10 MKKS Koszalin32167%80.078.7+1.3
11 Poli. Opolska42250%78.876.8+2.0
12 AWF Katowice31233%78.080.3-2.3
13 Poznan31233%84.387.3-3.0
14 HydroTruck Radom41325%70.287.2-17.0
15 Polonia Warszawa4040%69.580.0-10.5
16 Alstom Krakow4040%71.082.8-11.8
17 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl3030%67.381.0-13.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod4040%69.592.8-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bydgoszcz192614211595
Pelplin182418201090
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