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Bydgoszcz vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 104-81
28-22 25-28 25-18 26-13
Position#1
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.2
Bydgoszcz 🏆
Poland
vs
Pelplin
Poland
Position#7
Record16-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game82.0
Poland1 LigaRound 27· Sisu Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Pelplin
07 Mar 2026
BYDG104
PELP81
13 Apr 2025
BYDG114
PELP78
12 Apr 2025
BYDG98
PELP77
06 Nov 2024
BYDG92
PELP84
11 Oct 2023
BYDG95
PELP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
70avg 84
H19/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
114avg 84
H03/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
105avg 84
H11/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A16/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
108avg 84
H21/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 84
H25/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 84
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 84
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 84
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 84
H01/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-19
18-23
13-24
27-23
34-20
27-19
25-19
22-22
28-32
23-22
34-25
24-16
22-12
20-26
22-26
32-26
21-20
23-19
32-27
24-19
24-21
23-16
20-23
19-22
17-20
19-16
25-11
28-12
20-25
13-17
15-12
20-23
14-21
25-15
16-14
14-22
21-26
32-12
22-20
169.8Avg total
89.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.277.2166.4+12.088%
Season at home (12)90.778.8169.4+11.983%
Season away (12)87.775.7163.3+12.092%
Last 10 (10)89.880.0169.8+9.890%
Last 5 (5)82.273.4155.6+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.981.3162.1-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.577.6168.1+13.091%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 78
H28/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 78
H11/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A17/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
85avg 78
H21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
55avg 78
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 78
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 78
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
81avg 78
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 78
H01/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
23-19
15-23
22-19
24-21
17-23
20-23
19-6
18-27
31-18
16-21
25-26
30-23
29-27
14-18
19-12
20-26
16-18
20-21
16-21
14-21
22-14
15-21
22-20
21-22
29-28
13-22
18-23
23-20
24-23
21-8
15-18
28-24
25-16
27-22
26-21
17-23
20-19
21-16
24-17
165.7Avg total
84.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.682.0168.5+4.664%
Season at home (14)85.677.9163.6+7.786%
Season away (11)87.787.1174.8+0.636%
Last 10 (10)84.781.0165.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)85.079.6164.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.395.2175.5-14.817%
vs Similar (16)86.084.9170.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (8)91.278.6169.9+12.688%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
BydgoszczPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H03/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H11/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A16/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H21/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H01/03
1 Liga
86.5Avg total
45.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.782.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.084.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.579.7+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.486.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.743.983.6-4.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.538.582.0+5.061%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/03
1 Liga
89.1Avg total
45.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.187.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.684.5+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.145.990.9-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)45.943.289.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.247.289.3-5.033%-
vs Similar (16)44.943.888.7+1.262%-
vs Weaker (8)45.138.683.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.2
57.0%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.7
34.4%
31.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.7
76.0%
70.0%18.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.924.4
52.0%
52.0%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.9
28.2%
31.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws24.415.3
62.7%
70.0%15.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWWWWWWWWL
Pelplin
WWWLLLWLWW
#1
League position
#7
+13.4
Net rating
+8.7
107.9
Offensive rating
94.7
94.5
Defensive rating
86.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
39.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
28.2%
71.2%
Assist %
63.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 94.7Defence94.5 · 86.0Shooting54.4% · 48.7%3-point %34.4% · 28.2%Ball care13.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 39.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bydgoszcz wins
0
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz68-85
16/04/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz95-107
13/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin114-78
12/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin98-77
15/02/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz77-92
06/11/24Bydgoszcz v Pelplin92-84
20/01/24Pelplin v Bydgoszcz48-67
11/10/23Bydgoszcz v Pelplin95-90 OT
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HPoli. Opolska89-80
21/02/26ALKS Lodz75-73
15/02/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg76-66
08/02/26ASpojnia Stargard80-69
25/01/26HWKK Wroclaw91-79
21/01/26HInowroclaw108-92
16/01/26APolonia Warszawa88-80
11/01/26HLeszno107-101
03/01/26HLancut113-81
19/12/25HStarogard Gdanski71-79
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HLeszno82-75
22/02/26APoli. Opolska106-83
13/02/26HLancut83-69
07/02/26ALKS Lodz81-95
01/02/26HGKS Tychy73-76
24/01/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg72-86
21/01/26HStarogard Gdanski92-80
17/01/26ASpojnia Stargard90-92
11/01/26HMiners Katowice80-73
28/12/25HR. Rzeszow88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%83%92%
Points / game89.290.787.7
Allowed / game77.278.875.7
Point differential+12.0+11.9+12.0
Avg total166.4169.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %64%86%36%
Points / game86.685.687.7
Allowed / game82.077.987.1
Point differential+4.6+7.7+0.6
Avg total168.5163.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2421388%89.277.2+12.0
2 LKS Lodz2316770%86.778.9+7.9
3 Starogard Gdanski2517868%84.980.1+4.8
4 Pelplin2516964%86.682.0+4.6
5 GKS Tychy2516964%83.081.3+1.7
6 Lancut2516964%85.686.4-0.8
7 Spojnia Stargard2415962%82.580.0+2.5
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg24121250%81.577.2+4.2
9 Poznan24111346%80.380.3+0.0
10 WKK Wroclaw24111346%81.582.9-1.4
11 Polonia Warszawa24111346%81.084.1-3.1
12 Leszno25101540%79.283.4-4.2
13 R. Rzeszow2491538%81.984.4-2.5
14 Inowroclaw2591636%79.784.2-4.5
15 Poli. Opolska2471729%81.585.3-3.8
16 Miners Katowice2461825%79.985.7-5.8
17 Zubry Bialystok2332013%76.788.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bydgoszcz28252526104
Pelplin2228181381
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