Caceres vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2013

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 52-74

16-27 17-16 11-18 8-13

Position#6

Record13-15

FormWWWWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game76.6

Caceres

Breogan 🏆

Position#5

Record15-13

FormWLWLW

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game70.0

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals

Other2012-13

Meetings · Caceres v Breogan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caceres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

70-83

-13

A22/02

Primera FEB

Clavijo

57-70

-13

A01/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

85-71

+14

H08/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

64-84

-20

A15/03

Primera FEB

Burgos

75-81

-6

H23/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#11

73-69

A05/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

71-65 OT

H12/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

74-72 OT

A19/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

95-88

A26/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

60-77

-17

A28/04

Primera FEB

19-20

23-26

15-17

13-20

10-28

21-10

12-17

14-15

30-17

26-16

24-14

5-24

10-16

17-24

19-16

18-28

15-29

26-19

13-21

21-12

17-19

15-14

16-21

25-15

19-13

9-11

17-17

15-19

15-20

21-15

12-18

14-9

16-22

29-22

23-19

27-25

16-15

14-12

12-25

18-25

148.4Avg total

72.4Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	74.1	76.6	150.8	-2.5	46%
Season at home (13)	75.3	71.2	146.5	+4.2	77%
Season away (15)	73.1	81.3	154.5	-8.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	76.0	148.4	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	74.2	148.8	+0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.5	76.2	148.7	-3.7	40%
vs Similar (20)	75.6	77.8	153.3	-2.2	45%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

60-70

-10

A22/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

93-80

+13

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

66-74

-8

A09/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#10

61-46

+15

H16/03

Primera FEB

Navarra

#12

60-76

-16

A22/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

69-64

H06/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

65-71 OT

-6

A12/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

85-56

+29

H19/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

88-95

-7

H26/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

77-60

+17

H28/04

Primera FEB

11-18

15-24

18-15

16-13

16-20

25-26

21-18

31-16

18-11

13-21

16-15

19-27

17-12

12-14

17-10

15-10

14-21

15-20

10-17

21-18

13-18

19-19

17-16

20-11

13-19

11-9

17-17

19-15

21-9

25-15

22-13

17-19

22-16

22-29

19-23

25-27

15-16

12-14

25-12

25-18

141.6Avg total

72.4Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	71.8	70.0	141.8	+1.8	54%
Season at home (15)	74.9	68.5	143.4	+6.3	73%
Season away (13)	68.2	71.7	139.9	-3.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	69.2	141.6	+3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	69.2	146.0	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.9	77.2	148.1	-6.4	25%
vs Similar (6)	73.0	69.7	142.7	+3.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	71.2	67.9	139.1	+3.2	62%

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CaceresBreogan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	20.1	35.9	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.9	36.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.6	18.5	34.1	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	16.7	34.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	17.1	34.3	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.6	32.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	18.7	34.7	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.1	37.6	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.8	32.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	18.2	36.1	-0.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.0	17.6	33.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.1	36.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	18.8	35.1	-2.4	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	15.5	33.8	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.6	31%	-

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

42-46

-4

A22/02

Primera FEB

Clavijo

31-38

-7

A01/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

56-33

+23

H08/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

27-40

-13

A15/03

Primera FEB

Burgos

41-48

-7

H23/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#11

32-33

-1

A05/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

28-24

H12/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

36-35

A19/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

45-44

A26/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

30-27

A28/04

Primera FEB

73.6Avg total

36.8Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.0	76.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	35.6	76.1	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	40.1	77.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	36.8	73.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	32.6	66.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.6	36.8	71.4	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.8	38.6	79.3	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

26-42

-16

A22/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

41-46

-5

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

31-32

-1

A09/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#10

29-26

H16/03

Primera FEB

Navarra

#12

29-41

-12

A22/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

32-37

-5

H06/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

24-28

-4

A12/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

46-24

+22

H19/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

44-45

-1

H26/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

27-30

-3

H28/04

Primera FEB

68.0Avg total

32.9Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	34.7	69.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.2	34.6	70.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.2	34.7	67.9	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	35.1	68.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	32.8	67.4	+1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.4	36.5	70.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.3	34.2	68.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	35.4	33.9	69.4	+1.5	56%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	16.8	35.1	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	20.9	36.8	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.5	34.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.6	18.5	35.1	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.1	19.2	36.4	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	17.5	33.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.8	16.9	33.8	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.7	18.2	33.9	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	20.9	36.6	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	18.3	37.2	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	15.7	15.5	31.2	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	19.1	35.1	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.2	38.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	19.9	40.6	+0.9	62%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+1.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	38.7	73.8	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	35.9	70.2	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	37.7	71.0	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.6	37.9	73.5	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	34.9	39.1	74.0	-4.3	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.7	72.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.7	35.4	73.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.6	36.2	70.8	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.2	75.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.5	40.8	77.2	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.7	35.5	74.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	35.4	33.3	68.8	+2.1	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caceres wins

Breogan wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/13	Breogan v Caceres	77-60
26/04/13	Breogan v Caceres	88-95
12/04/13	Caceres v Breogan	71-65 OT
21/12/12	Breogan v Caceres	69-64
08/04/12	Caceres v Breogan	78-64
16/12/11	Breogan v Caceres	79-81
06/03/11	Caceres v Breogan	75-90
21/11/10	Breogan v Caceres	70-49

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	A	Breogan	60-77
26/04/13	A	Breogan	95-88
19/04/13	A	Alicante	74-72 OT
12/04/13	H	Breogan	71-65 OT
05/04/13	A	Huesca	73-69
23/03/13	H	Burgos	75-81
15/03/13	A	MoraBanc Andorra	64-84
08/03/13	H	Barcelona B	85-71
01/03/13	A	Clavijo	57-70
22/02/13	A	Forca Lleida	70-83

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	H	Caceres	77-60
26/04/13	H	Caceres	88-95
19/04/13	H	Clavijo	85-56
12/04/13	A	Caceres	65-71 OT
06/04/13	H	Palencia	69-64
22/03/13	A	Navarra	60-76
16/03/13	H	Leyma Coruna	61-46
09/03/13	A	Ourense	66-74
02/03/13	H	Melilla	93-80
22/02/13	A	Alicante	60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caceres

Primera FEB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	46%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LWWWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	46%	77%	20%
Points / game	74.1	75.3	73.1
Allowed / game	76.6	71.2	81.3
Point differential	-2.5	+4.2	-8.2
Avg total	150.8	146.5	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	15%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	80% (5)	33% (6)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Breogan

Primera FEB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	54%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	WLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	54%	73%	31%
Points / game	71.8	74.9	68.2
Allowed / game	70.0	68.5	71.7
Point differential	+1.8	+6.3	-3.5
Avg total	141.8	143.4	139.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Burgos	26	22	4	85%	83.2	70.4	+12.8
2	MoraBanc Andorra	28	23	5	82%	80.8	72.2	+8.5
3	Alicante	28	20	8	71%	79.3	71.5	+7.8
4	Palencia	28	16	12	57%	80.4	79.5	+0.9
5	Breogan	28	15	13	54%	71.8	70.0	+1.8
6	Caceres	28	13	15	46%	74.1	76.6	-2.5
7	Forca Lleida	28	12	16	43%	75.0	75.6	-0.6
8	Leyma Coruna	28	12	16	43%	71.6	73.6	-2.0
9	Barcelona B	26	11	15	42%	75.8	81.9	-6.1
10	Clavijo	28	11	17	39%	76.5	77.9	-1.4
11	Huesca	28	11	17	39%	71.2	75.0	-3.8
12	Navarra	26	10	16	38%	73.0	78.8	-5.9
13	Ourense	28	10	18	36%	72.2	77.4	-5.2
14	Melilla	26	6	20	23%	78.0	82.5	-4.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caceres	16	17	11	8	52
Breogan	27	16	18	13	74

← all games of the day

Caceres vs Breogan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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