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Caceres vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-68
14-20 21-19 16-8 23-21
Position#13
Record5-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game78.0
Caceres 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#11
Record6-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game74.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 10
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caceres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A18/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H15/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A23/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H29/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H02/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A07/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H12/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A27/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H05/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
19-25
18-19
12-12
17-17
17-21
14-13
19-22
21-17
16-28
13-11
10-16
21-21
22-15
17-22
16-23
23-27
16-19
22-24
19-23
21-22
21-21
17-20
23-17
14-28
17-24
20-24
16-22
18-16
21-15
25-20
25-26
15-12
8-19
6-22
17-15
18-31
20-20
19-16
21-24
151.7Avg total
70.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.878.0149.8-6.231%
Season at home (8)77.978.6156.5-0.850%
Season away (8)65.877.4143.1-11.612%
Last 10 (10)70.880.9151.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)72.482.8155.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.880.5149.3-11.717%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.974.9147.8-2.039%
vs Weaker (6)88.280.2168.3+8.083%
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A18/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-18
20-24
16-17
21-17
19-19
7-17
28-22
11-17
21-17
19-17
17-14
12-13
17-20
15-17
13-16
17-8
21-13
12-26
14-22
16-22
14-21
25-14
24-29
18-15
10-25
26-18
23-19
19-20
11-26
17-16
21-18
35-15
21-23
25-20
24-23
19-14
15-18
18-19
11-17
151.9Avg total
75.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.374.9146.2-3.733%
Season at home (9)68.172.6140.7-4.444%
Season away (9)74.477.3151.8-2.922%
Last 10 (10)75.276.7151.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.273.7145.9-1.544%
vs Weaker (12)78.569.2147.7+9.375%
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
CaceresReal Murcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H15/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H29/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H02/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A07/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H12/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A27/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/03
Primera FEB
77.7Avg total
35.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.739.478.1-0.838%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.139.679.7+0.538%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.376.9-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.877.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.676.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.241.775.8-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.637.575.1+0.141%-
vs Weaker (6)46.342.789.0+3.750%-
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/03
Primera FEB
71.2Avg total
35.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.435.371.7+1.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.035.771.7+0.350%-
Last 30 away (15)36.735.071.7+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.971.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.875.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.572.0-9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.937.572.4-2.631%-
vs Weaker (11)39.431.370.6+8.164%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caceres wins
0
Real Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21HBreogan78-91
27/02/21ALeyma Coruna46-68
12/02/21HTizona Burgos89-77
07/02/21AOviedo67-98
02/02/21HMelilla82-80
29/01/21HReal Valladolid80-93
23/01/21ATizona Burgos76-81
15/01/21HPalencia60-72
10/01/21AOurense67-73
18/12/20ABreogan63-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HFibwi Palma63-68
28/02/21AAlicante105-81
23/02/21HGranada68-80
14/02/21HBasquet Girona93-87 OT
10/02/21AAlmansa79-86
05/02/21AReal Canoe64-69
30/01/21HForca Lleida57-66
03/01/21HHuesca68-65
22/12/20ACastello83-88 OT
18/12/20AFibwi Palma72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caceres
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game71.877.965.8
Allowed / game78.078.677.4
Point differential-6.2-0.8-11.6
Avg total149.8156.5143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Murcia
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game71.368.174.4
Allowed / game74.972.677.3
Point differential-3.7-4.4-2.9
Avg total146.2140.7151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan1613381%78.770.1+8.6
2 Castello1914574%79.674.4+5.2
3 Leyma Coruna1611569%75.869.4+6.4
4 Granada1812667%78.573.0+5.5
5 Oviedo1711665%79.677.4+2.3
6 Fibwi Palma1811761%78.777.5+1.2
7 Alicante1911858%80.076.3+3.7
8 Real Valladolid169756%82.680.6+2.0
9 Almansa1810856%77.275.2+2.0
10 Palencia179853%73.871.6+2.2
11 Basquet Girona189950%78.077.0+1.0
12 Forca Lleida189950%76.175.9+0.2
13 Ourense1661038%74.778.1-3.4
14 Melilla1761135%75.479.4-4.1
15 Tizona Burgos1761135%78.884.1-5.3
16 Real Murcia1861233%71.374.9-3.7
17 Caceres1651131%71.878.0-6.2
18 Huesca1951426%70.476.6-6.3
19 Real Canoe1931616%71.481.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caceres1421162374
Real Murcia201982168
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