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Caceres vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-96 (OT)
22-24 18-15 25-21 21-26 9-10
Position#13
Record5-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
Spain
Position#12
Record6-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game77.0
SpainSegunda FEBRound 13
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caceres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A02/11
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
108-64
108
64
+44
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A14/12
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A20/12
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-21
23-19
11-31
9-23
12-19
16-13
15-13
17-10
22-25
22-9
17-17
13-17
29-20
17-19
25-29
21-21
21-16
19-21
27-21
11-17
17-21
18-10
16-19
30-20
25-14
26-18
27-12
15-18
11-19
16-31
25-10
23-22
16-7
24-20
24-13
23-32
19-20
18-22
20-20
153.0Avg total
78.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.674.1151.7+3.542%
Season at home (5)64.475.4139.8-11.00%
Season away (7)87.073.1160.1+13.971%
Last 10 (10)78.374.7153.0+3.640%
Last 5 (5)80.873.0153.8+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.769.0129.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.677.5154.1-0.937%
vs Weaker (8)80.471.6152.0+8.862%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#486
W
102-58
102
58
+44
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-21
0-0
56-37
17-13
26-23
10-27
20-10
0-0
48-45
0-0
49-53
24-24
27-16
16-16
27-21
0-0
42-24
0-0
28-51
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
164.8Avg total
85.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.977.0159.9+5.950%
Season at home (6)88.074.0162.0+14.083%
Season away (6)77.880.0157.8-2.217%
Last 10 (10)85.779.1164.8+6.650%
Last 5 (5)80.878.0158.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.090.3174.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.479.6157.9-1.229%
vs Weaker (9)90.073.9163.9+16.189%
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.4+5.4
CaceresToledo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/11
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A14/12
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A20/12
Segunda FEB
75.7Avg total
37.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.074.4-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.037.271.2-3.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.877.2-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.075.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.736.366.0-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.539.175.5-2.637%-
vs Weaker (8)38.636.274.9+2.462%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central State (OH)
#486
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
78.6Avg total
41.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.776.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.835.276.1+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)36.640.577.1-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.178.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.344.579.8-9.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.138.475.5-1.443%-
vs Weaker (9)42.933.176.0+9.878%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caceres wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ACBC Valladolid80-94
14/12/25ACordoba87-62
10/12/25HClavijo67-78
06/12/25AGijon108-64
22/11/25HMoron62-67
16/11/25ALogrono88-79
08/11/25HIraurgi SB84-85
02/11/25AJaen78-61
26/10/25HCaja 8752-68
18/10/25APonferrada77-89
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
13/12/25ARobert Morris70-75
10/12/25HGijon94-77
06/12/25AOakland97-98
06/12/25AMoron90-93 OT
01/12/25HCentral State (OH)102-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caceres
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%0%71%
Points / game77.664.487.0
Allowed / game74.175.473.1
Point differential+3.5-11.0+13.9
Avg total151.7139.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game82.988.077.8
Allowed / game77.074.080.0
Point differential+5.9+14.0-2.2
Avg total159.9162.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iraurgi SB1210283%79.971.8+8.2
2 Gandia129375%87.278.4+8.8
3 CBC Valladolid129375%85.276.8+8.4
4 Castello129375%83.777.3+6.3
5 Cordoba129375%77.271.6+5.7
6 Caja 87139469%78.971.0+7.9
7 Sant Antoni139469%81.476.8+4.5
8 Huesca128467%87.382.2+5.2
9 Albacete128467%83.480.3+3.1
10 Ponferrada128467%80.678.1+2.5
11 Moron138562%79.276.6+2.6
12 Lliria127558%79.877.2+2.7
13 Spanish Basketball Academy127558%79.076.3+2.7
14 Clavijo137654%78.876.0+2.8
15 Toledo126650%82.977.0+5.9
16 CB Getafe126650%85.180.9+4.2
17 Leonesa136746%83.585.8-2.4
18 Caceres125742%77.674.1+3.5
19 CB Zaragoza125742%82.779.4+3.2
20 Benicarlo125742%79.281.2-2.0
21 Sol Girones Bisbal134931%70.179.8-9.7
22 Molina Basket123925%78.086.5-8.5
23 Mataro123925%74.883.6-8.8
24 Valle de Egues123925%75.688.8-13.2
25 Logrono1221017%73.280.5-7.2
26 Gijon1221017%79.890.1-10.2
27 Salou1221017%73.885.1-11.3
28 Jaen1221017%71.887.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Caceres22182521995
Toledo241521261096
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