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Toledo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 84-79
32-41 52-38
Position#156
Record6-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game77.9
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#325
Record6-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2025
TOLE84
WEST79
30 Jan 2024
TOLE88
WEST63
06 Jan 2023
TOLE102
WEST74
29 Dec 2021
TOLE83
WEST56
27 Feb 2021
TOLE91
WEST44
09 Mar 2020
TOLE76
WEST73
11 Jan 2020
TOLE67
WEST59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
102-58
102
58
+44
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-36
0-0
39-51
0-0
46-21
0-0
56-37
17-13
26-23
10-27
20-10
0-0
48-45
0-0
49-53
24-24
27-16
16-16
27-21
0-0
42-24
0-0
28-51
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
164.4Avg total
84.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.977.9160.8+5.050%
Season at home (6)88.574.0162.5+14.567%
Season away (6)77.381.8159.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)84.579.9164.4+4.640%
Last 5 (5)78.077.2155.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.392.4173.7-11.129%
vs Similar (14)78.479.6157.9-1.229%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.873.2164.0+17.588%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
51-91
51
91
-40
A14/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
51-34
38-40
40-43
24-49
34-42
38-34
45-26
17-37
38-47
47-27
41-47
36-28
47-45
16-52
35-39
28-41
43-47
48-32
46-25
151.6Avg total
74.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.678.4154.0-2.846%
Season at home (7)82.372.3154.6+10.071%
Season away (6)67.885.5153.3-17.717%
Last 10 (10)74.477.2151.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)77.476.6154.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.581.5153.9-9.037%
vs Similar (7)71.367.7139.0+3.686%
vs Weaker (3)89.068.7157.7+20.367%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.5+2.5
ToledoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Oakland
#212
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
78.2Avg total
41.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.176.9+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.434.976.3+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.241.477.6-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.678.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.676.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.645.980.4-11.329%-
vs Similar (14)37.138.475.5-1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.232.176.4+12.188%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A14/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H20/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H22/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
32.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.671.5-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.936.170.9-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)32.939.172.1-6.240%-
Last 10 (10)32.437.770.1-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.140.271.2-9.121%-
vs Similar (7)35.630.466.0+5.186%-
vs Weaker (3)46.336.082.3+10.367%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Toledo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
13/12/25ARobert Morris70-75
10/12/25HGijon94-77
06/12/25AOakland97-98
06/12/25AMoron90-93 OT
01/12/25HCentral State (OH)102-58
26/11/25ABelmont72-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HDefiance College94-57
20/12/25HBuffalo71-88
14/12/25AIowa51-91
06/12/25ASiu Edwardsville83-73
04/12/25HSouthern Indiana88-74
29/11/25AValparaiso55-84
23/11/25HMount St. Mary's83-60
21/11/25AOhio State58-91
16/11/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes78-83
13/11/25HIPFW83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.988.577.3
Allowed / game77.974.081.8
Point differential+5.0+14.5-4.5
Avg total160.8162.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game75.682.367.8
Allowed / game78.472.385.5
Point differential-2.8+10.0-17.7
Avg total154.0154.6153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)13130100%95.171.1+24.0
2 Buffalo1311285%79.470.7+8.7
3 Bowling Green1310377%88.664.4+24.2
4 Akron1310377%97.176.8+20.2
5 Kent State139469%91.281.8+9.3
6 UMass139469%79.570.7+8.8
7 Toledo126650%82.977.9+5.0
8 Ohio147750%77.375.6+1.6
9 Eastern Michigan136746%71.372.5-1.2
10 Western Michigan136746%75.678.4-2.8
11 Northern Illinois125742%77.278.3-1.2
12 Ball State134931%68.067.6+0.4
13 Central Michigan1441029%71.978.1-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo325284
Western Michigan413879
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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