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Caen vs Fos-sur-Mer Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#20
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.0
FrancePro BRound 24· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caen v Fos-sur-Mer
12 Feb 2027
CAEN v FSM
upcoming
25 Apr 2025
CAEN77
FSM71
27 Apr 2018
CAEN71
FSM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 72
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 72
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 72
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 72
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 72
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 72
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 72
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 72
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 62
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 62
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 62
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 62
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 62
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
50-72
50
72
-22
38avg 62
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 62
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
22-18
11-23
18-20
16-19
14-16
10-15
8-21
18-20
21-18
14-17
22-14
17-14
22-12
17-19
14-26
21-21
22-15
17-22
22-24
12-19
150.8Avg total
71.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.080.0152.0-8.022%
Season at home (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
Season away (4)70.084.8154.8-14.80%
Last 10 (10)71.779.1150.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)67.674.6142.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.584.4157.9-11.017%
vs Similar (5)73.474.4147.8-1.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
CaenFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/11
Pro B
77.1Avg total
36.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.377.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.977.4-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)33.642.976.5-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.542.277.7-6.721%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.1%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
74.0%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#20
-4.3
Net rating
-7.1
92.4
Offensive rating
87.9
96.7
Defensive rating
95.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
46.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
29.4%
57.3%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 87.9Defence96.7 · 95.0Shooting50.9% · 46.0%3-point %33.0% · 29.4%Ball care16.4% · 17.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Caen   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Caen wins
2
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
25/04/25Caen v Fos-sur-Mer77-71
27/12/24Fos-sur-Mer v Caen73-79
27/04/18Caen v Fos-sur-Mer71-74
16/01/18Fos-sur-Mer v Caen97-76
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HChalons-Reims73-80
06/11/26ALevallois74-78
30/10/26HSt. Chamond74-63
24/10/26AQuimper50-72
21/10/26HPoitiers67-80
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game72.073.670.0
Allowed / game80.076.284.8
Point differential-8.0-2.6-14.8
Avg total152.0149.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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