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Caen vs Fos-sur-Mer Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-71
20-20 25-19 17-13 15-19
Position#15
Record16-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game80.5
Caen 🏆
France
vs
Fos-sur-Mer
France
Position#20
Record8-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game82.6
FrancePro BRound 35· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caen v Fos-sur-Mer
12 Feb 2027
CAEN v FSM
upcoming
25 Apr 2025
CAEN77
FSM71
27 Apr 2018
CAEN71
FSM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
L
79-82
79
82
-3
97avg 88
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
77-67
77
67
+10
94avg 88
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
84-72
84
72
+12
100avg 88
H14/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 88
A18/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
92-106
92
106
-14
112avg 88
A21/03
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
76-67
76
67
+9
91avg 88
H28/03
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
88avg 88
A04/04
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
103avg 88
A08/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
92avg 88
H11/04
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
90avg 88
A15/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-27
15-13
26-22
19-10
20-25
19-10
19-22
15-13
21-18
30-19
18-22
18-18
18-22
19-25
22-15
30-31
17-27
29-24
16-24
23-22
18-17
21-15
14-13
21-27
22-23
15-22
22-22
26-23
25-24
18-15
18-20
16-25
20-12
18-28
24-18
16-8
19-24
16-28
26-18
161.8Avg total
80.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.680.5158.1-3.048%
Season at home (16)77.980.2158.2-2.350%
Season away (17)77.280.8158.1-3.647%
Last 10 (10)80.781.1161.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)79.680.8160.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.084.4161.4-7.437%
vs Similar (8)77.974.6152.5+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.069.3151.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
90avg 88
A28/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
60-70
60
70
-10
66avg 88
A07/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
56-82
56
82
-26
62avg 88
H11/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
92avg 88
A14/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
80avg 88
A21/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
60-77
60
77
-17
72avg 88
H29/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
67-65
67
65
+2
83avg 88
H04/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
58-103
58
103
-45
68avg 88
A08/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
97avg 88
H12/04
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
89-92
89
92
-3
113avg 88
H18/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-22
16-25
23-26
15-12
9-23
14-18
22-17
12-17
19-23
11-19
14-23
20-15
19-25
20-27
21-19
13-18
18-18
19-23
18-23
10-28
21-15
6-14
23-20
12-19
14-21
19-17
22-8
14-22
15-25
16-29
13-27
23-20
13-25
20-15
23-34
26-23
17-28
24-22
22-19
153.8Avg total
69.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)73.782.6156.3-9.024%
Season at home (17)74.778.8153.5-4.135%
Season away (17)72.686.5159.1-13.812%
Last 10 (10)69.584.3153.8-14.810%
Last 5 (5)70.686.2156.8-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.884.9157.7-12.117%
vs Similar (6)78.077.5155.5+0.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
CaenFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A21/03
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/03
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A04/04
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A08/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/04
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/04
Pro B
81.8Avg total
40.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.979.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.579.3-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.479.3+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.681.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.082.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.242.982.2-3.732%-
vs Similar (8)39.035.874.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.332.073.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A07/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H11/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H29/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A08/04
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H12/04
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H18/04
Pro B
74.7Avg total
32.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.477.0-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.839.776.4-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)34.343.477.7-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.941.874.7-8.90%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.278.2-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.142.377.5-7.212%-
vs Similar (6)37.537.875.3-0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
52.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
73.2%14.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.1
47.6%
52.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.4
29.6%
33.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
73.2%16.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
LLWLWLLWWL
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLWLLLLLL
#15
League position
#20
-0.8
Net rating
-19.9
106.6
Offensive rating
95.4
107.4
Defensive rating
115.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.5%
3-point %
29.6%
72.3%
Assist %
79.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 95.4Defence107.4 · 115.3Shooting50.1% · 46.4%3-point %32.5% · 29.6%Ball care18.5% · 20.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Caen   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caen wins
2
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Fos-sur-Mer v Caen73-79
27/04/18Caen v Fos-sur-Mer71-74
16/01/18Fos-sur-Mer v Caen97-76
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25AChalons-Reims77-78
11/04/25HDenain-Voltaire78-83
08/04/25ANantes87-82
04/04/25AAntibes80-94
28/03/25HRoanne76-67
21/03/25AAix Maurienne92-106
18/03/25AASA77-80
14/03/25HChartres84-72
28/02/25AHyeres-Toulon77-67
08/02/25HEvreux79-82
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25HEvreux89-92
12/04/25HVichy79-94
08/04/25AAda Blois58-103
04/04/25HChartres67-65
29/03/25HOrleans60-77
21/03/25AChalons-Reims68-82
14/03/25AASA80-86
11/03/25HBoulazac56-82
07/03/25ARouen60-70
28/02/25APau-Orthez78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%50%47%
Points / game77.677.977.2
Allowed / game80.580.280.8
Point differential-3.0-2.3-3.6
Avg total158.1158.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLWLL35%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %24%35%12%
Points / game73.774.772.6
Allowed / game82.678.886.5
Point differential-9.0-4.1-13.8
Avg total156.3153.5159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)43% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois3425974%87.478.4+9.0
2 Boulazac3324973%81.374.3+6.9
3 Orleans34231168%82.978.5+4.4
4 Roanne34211362%86.082.5+3.4
5 Pau-Orthez33201361%83.280.5+2.7
6 ASA34201459%84.180.4+3.8
7 Aix Maurienne34201459%89.086.4+2.6
8 Poitiers34191556%83.582.2+1.3
9 Antibes34181653%80.079.4+0.6
10 St. Chamond33171652%87.785.8+1.8
11 Rouen34171750%82.180.0+2.1
12 Vichy34171750%80.979.1+1.8
13 Caen33161748%77.680.5-3.0
14 Denain-Voltaire34161847%81.380.4+0.9
15 Chalons-Reims33141942%80.484.6-4.3
16 Nantes34142041%81.784.0-2.3
17 Hyeres-Toulon34112332%74.981.2-6.3
18 Evreux3492526%79.384.9-5.6
19 Chartres3592626%77.087.4-10.4
20 Fos-sur-Mer3482624%73.782.6-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen2025171577
Fos-sur-Mer2019131971
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