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Caen vs La Rochelle Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 83-84
Projected total 166.6
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
Vs
46%
54%
■ CAEN 46%■ LRO 54%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.4
FrancePro BRound 11· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caen v La Rochelle
20 Nov 2026
CAEN v LRO
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
CAEN74
LRO92
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Caen host La Rochelle in the Pro B. Pythia makes La Rochelle the favourite at 54% and projects 83-84, about 167 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Caen are 4-5 this season (85.6 scored, 87.9 allowed a game), form LLLLW; La Rochelle are 3-6 this season (85.7 scored, 86.4 allowed a game), form LLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen win
46.3%fair 2.16
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle win
53.7%fair 1.86
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 71
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 71
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 71
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 71
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 71
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 71
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 71
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 71
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
66avg 75
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 75
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
86avg 75
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
76avg 75
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
no box
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 75
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 75
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 75
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
27-12
21-23
17-19
20-19
25-14
21-19
19-26
20-19
170.8Avg total
84.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.786.4172.1-0.833%
Season at home (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.086.8170.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)81.880.2162.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.685.4166.0-4.830%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.783.3167.0+0.441%
vs Weaker (3)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
61.2%
Under 161.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
49.3%
Under 166.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
37.6%
Under 171.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Caen total 80.5
Over 80.5
58.3%
Under 80.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen total 84.5
Over 84.5
43.0%
Under 84.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen total 88.5
Over 88.5
28.8%
Under 88.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 78
Over 78
71.9%
Under 78
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 82
Over 82
57.0%
Under 82
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 86
Over 86
41.0%
Under 86
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Caen -3
CAEN -3
37.2%
LRO +3
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
CAEN
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Caen 0
CAEN 0
46.3%
LRO 0
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
CAEN
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Caen +3
CAEN +3
55.4%
LRO -3
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
CAEN
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
CaenLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/11
Pro B
89.0Avg total
44.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.783.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.481.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.385.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.389.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.542.182.6-1.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
La Rochelle
WWLLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#17
-4.3
Net rating
-7.0
92.4
Offensive rating
93.8
96.7
Defensive rating
100.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
36.5%
57.3%
Assist %
75.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 93.8Defence96.7 · 100.8Shooting50.9% · 53.4%3-point %33.0% · 36.5%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Caen   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caen wins
2
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Caen v La Rochelle74-92
12/12/25La Rochelle v Caen81-78
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAntibes85-78
06/11/26HDenain-Voltaire85-73
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.785.086.5
Allowed / game86.481.692.5
Point differential-0.8+3.4-6.0
Avg total172.1166.6179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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