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Caen vs La Rochelle Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#20
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.6
FrancePro BRound 11· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caen v La Rochelle
20 Nov 2026
CAEN v LRO
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
CAEN74
LRO92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A01/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H08/05
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#16
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#11
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-16
21-18
17-28
14-20
20-24
11-32
30-23
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
171.9Avg total
83.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.688.7174.3-3.143%
Season at home (4)82.882.0164.8+0.850%
Season away (3)89.397.7187.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)83.888.1171.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)77.883.8161.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.884.4159.2-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.585.9171.4-0.462%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
89-107
89
107
-18
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
27-13
22-18
26-24
22-30
18-25
21-31
28-21
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
174.6Avg total
84.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.989.6175.4-3.714%
Season at home (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.690.0174.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)81.887.2169.0-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.986.8166.7-6.920%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.682.9166.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)79.878.5158.2+1.275%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
CaenLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#1
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A01/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/05
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
80.7Avg total
39.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.679.1-0.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.981.0+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)36.440.476.9-4.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.980.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.684.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.638.476.0-0.853%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.040.982.9+1.175%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
89.6Avg total
43.2Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.983.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.182.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.489.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.491.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.244.484.6-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.341.483.8+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)44.237.281.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
LLLLWWWWLL
La Rochelle
LLLLLLWLLW
#15
League position
#20
-4.3
Net rating
-7.0
92.4
Offensive rating
93.8
96.7
Defensive rating
100.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
36.5%
57.3%
Assist %
75.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 93.8Defence96.7 · 100.8Shooting50.9% · 53.4%3-point %33.0% · 36.5%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Caen   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caen wins
2
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Caen v La Rochelle74-92
12/12/25La Rochelle v Caen81-78
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86
08/05/26HChalons-Reims75-99
01/05/26ARoanne71-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90
19/05/26ANantes89-107
15/05/26HSt. Chamond87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game85.682.889.3
Allowed / game88.782.097.7
Point differential-3.1+0.8-8.3
Avg total174.3164.8187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %29%25%33%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game85.985.086.5
Allowed / game89.685.792.5
Point differential-3.7-0.7-6.0
Avg total175.4170.7179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire76186%88.776.7+12.0
2 Antibes75271%87.181.7+5.4
3 Poitiers75271%86.081.0+5.0
4 Chalons-Reims75271%82.080.6+1.4
5 Quimper64267%79.372.2+7.2
6 Evreux74357%85.986.3-0.4
7 Nantes74357%81.982.7-0.9
8 Hyeres-Toulon74357%85.486.6-1.1
9 Ada Blois63350%92.788.3+4.3
10 Orleans63350%85.383.3+2.0
11 Vichy63350%87.288.0-0.8
12 Le Havre73443%90.787.1+3.6
13 St. Chamond73443%83.986.1-2.3
14 Levallois73443%82.184.6-2.4
15 Caen73443%85.688.7-3.1
16 Aix Maurienne73443%81.688.4-6.9
17 ASA72529%82.486.0-3.6
18 Rouen72529%83.788.9-5.1
19 Fos-sur-Mer72529%71.680.3-8.7
20 La Rochelle71614%85.989.6-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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