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Caen vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-92
18-24 28-20 10-15 18-33
Position#17
Record12-20
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.5
Caen
France
vs
La Rochelle 🏆
France
Position#10
Record17-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.0
FrancePro BRound 33· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caen v La Rochelle
20 Nov 2026
CAEN v LRO
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
CAEN74
LRO92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
58-87
58
87
-29
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
H17/03
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H20/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A27/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/04
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A10/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
17-21
22-23
15-20
23-17
7-27
14-22
14-21
28-15
13-9
23-31
18-16
16-16
24-18
5-17
14-20
15-18
27-23
21-23
16-15
19-20
18-27
15-17
14-15
23-16
20-19
18-18
7-24
23-28
21-14
22-24
23-21
23-25
23-16
18-17
21-19
18-15
17-18
28-13
13-15
154.0Avg total
75.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.482.5160.9-4.138%
Season at home (16)84.683.6168.1+1.062%
Season away (16)72.281.4153.6-9.112%
Last 10 (10)75.778.3154.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.685.0163.5-6.427%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.879.8157.6-2.040%
vs Weaker (3)80.773.0153.7+7.7100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A10/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H06/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A13/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A17/03
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H20/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H27/03
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A03/04
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H07/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H10/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
17-9
21-22
18-23
25-22
22-17
21-30
21-28
29-15
18-21
22-22
20-17
25-15
17-23
27-15
22-23
30-18
21-21
17-12
17-30
18-18
17-9
22-14
26-24
21-18
18-27
22-20
20-20
15-11
18-28
26-22
24-15
15-15
27-26
15-16
23-26
23-19
27-31
22-21
16-27
166.5Avg total
85.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.080.0159.0-1.053%
Season at home (16)81.476.4157.8+4.962%
Season away (16)76.683.6160.2-7.044%
Last 10 (10)85.281.3166.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.081.4164.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.484.2160.6-7.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.884.2166.0-2.447%
vs Weaker (5)82.474.4156.8+8.080%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
CaenLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/03
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H20/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/04
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/04
Pro B
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.678.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.180.3+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.077.4-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.680.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.539.878.3-1.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.239.881.0+1.460%-
vs Weaker (3)40.338.078.3+2.367%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/02
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/03
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/03
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H27/03
Pro B
Challans
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A03/04
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H10/04
Pro B
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.381.4+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.380.5+3.853%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.382.3-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.243.183.3-2.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.040.780.7-0.753%-
vs Weaker (5)46.233.679.8+12.680%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.3
51.7%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.3
28.6%
32.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
71.4%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.7
40.8%
32.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.5
75.7%
71.4%16.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
WWWLLWLWLL
La Rochelle
LLWLWWWWLW
#17
League position
#10
-4.1
Net rating
+5.4
85.0
Offensive rating
99.4
89.0
Defensive rating
94.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
57.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.6%
3-point %
40.8%
67.3%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.0 · 99.4Defence89.0 · 94.0Shooting48.5% · 57.4%3-point %28.6% · 40.8%Ball care19.4% · 15.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Caen   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caen wins
1
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25La Rochelle v Caen81-78
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26AAix Maurienne76-61
07/04/26HQuimper85-77
02/04/26HPoitiers89-87
27/03/26ASt. Chamond68-77
20/03/26HNantes66-79
17/03/26HHyeres-Toulon104-95 OT
13/03/26ARouen59-71
06/03/26HAda Blois82-71
17/02/26ADenain-Voltaire58-87
13/02/26HOrleans70-78
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HNantes88-98
07/04/26HRouen80-83
03/04/26AChallans83-76
27/03/26HPau-Orthez81-85
20/03/26HAntibes83-65
17/03/26AQuimper85-81
13/03/26AChalons-Reims91-76
06/03/26HDenain-Voltaire89-75
13/02/26AASA89-97
10/02/26AHyeres-Toulon83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game78.484.672.2
Allowed / game82.583.681.4
Point differential-4.1+1.0-9.1
Avg total160.9168.1153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)75% (8)0% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game79.081.476.6
Allowed / game80.076.483.6
Point differential-1.0+4.9-7.0
Avg total159.0157.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne3225778%89.079.9+9.1
2 Pau-Orthez32221069%87.979.9+8.0
3 Vichy32201262%80.676.6+4.0
4 Orleans31191261%82.278.2+4.0
5 Poitiers33201361%84.080.8+3.2
6 Ada Blois32191359%81.980.8+1.1
7 Nantes32181456%84.982.8+2.1
8 Denain-Voltaire32181456%84.682.7+1.9
9 ASA32181456%83.883.3+0.5
10 Chalons-Reims32171553%81.281.3-0.1
11 La Rochelle32171553%79.080.0-1.0
12 Hyeres-Toulon32161650%84.784.7-0.0
13 Aix Maurienne31151648%85.686.5-0.8
14 Antibes32151747%82.281.7+0.5
15 St. Chamond31141745%83.581.6+1.9
16 Rouen32131941%81.685.2-3.6
17 Caen32122038%78.482.5-4.1
18 Evreux33112233%79.885.8-6.0
19 Quimper3182326%74.984.7-9.8
20 Challans322306%76.086.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen1828101874
La Rochelle2420153392
← all games of the day
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