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Cafeteros vs Bucaros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-71 (OT)
23-19 16-14 13-18 15-16 6-4
Position#3
Record25-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game68.3
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Bucaros
Colombia
Position#5
Record17-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game75.0
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Cafeteros v Bucaros
25 Oct 2023
CAFE73
BUCA71
20 Oct 2023
CAFE69
BUCA77
19 Oct 2023
CAFE63
BUCA65
26 May 2022
CAFE94
BUCA82
25 Apr 2022
CAFE90
BUCA86
06 Nov 2021
CAFE54
BUCA45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bucaros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 70
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 70
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 70
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 70
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-55
100
55
+45
104avg 70
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 70
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
63-65
63
65
-2
33avg 70
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 70
H21/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
76-62
76
62
+14
68avg 70
A22/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
91-79
91
79
+12
91avg 70
A24/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
21-22
20-21
18-15
22-13
15-10
28-20
31-8
26-17
15-13
14-21
25-18
23-22
18-20
15-19
18-13
12-13
15-14
22-14
13-23
19-26
14-19
25-10
17-14
20-19
22-21
28-17
23-17
18-24
147.7Avg total
81.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.568.3147.8+11.174%
Season at home (18)80.669.1149.7+11.478%
Season away (16)78.267.4145.7+10.869%
Last 10 (10)81.666.1147.7+15.580%
Last 5 (5)75.271.4146.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)74.974.6149.5+0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.365.5146.7+15.879%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
58avg 61
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 61
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 61
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
48avg 61
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
87avg 61
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 61
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
43avg 61
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
70avg 61
A21/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 61
H22/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 61
H24/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
15-22
24-15
22-25
12-25
25-18
16-24
28-23
18-21
27-12
23-19
22-6
17-31
16-23
18-20
29-24
18-19
28-12
19-21
26-16
23-20
30-23
24-21
22-25
20-18
19-15
13-18
13-12
14-15
14-22
23-13
26-19
19-14
10-25
14-17
19-20
21-22
17-28
17-23
24-18
158.9Avg total
81.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.275.0152.2+2.253%
Season at home (16)78.276.6154.9+1.650%
Season away (16)76.273.3149.5+2.956%
Last 10 (10)81.077.9158.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)76.477.6154.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.179.7149.8-9.633%
vs Similar (10)73.977.7151.6-3.840%
vs Weaker (8)92.463.9156.2+28.5100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
CafeterosBucaros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H21/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A24/10
LBP
75.3Avg total
40.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.075.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.537.276.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.634.674.3+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)40.634.775.3+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.340.876.1-5.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.133.375.3+8.884%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A21/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H24/10
LBP
78.8Avg total
38.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.077.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.180.2-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.274.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.078.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.844.078.8-9.225%-
vs Similar (10)35.837.473.2-1.630%-
vs Weaker (8)45.533.679.1+11.9100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.5
57.5%
48.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.7
30.2%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
66.7%11.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.521.9
48.1%
48.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.5
33.5%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.9
64.1%
66.7%13.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWLLWWWWWW
Bucaros
LLWWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+20.2
Net rating
+3.7
103.7
Offensive rating
101.8
83.6
Defensive rating
98.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
41.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.2%
3-point %
33.5%
59.9%
Assist %
44.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 101.8Defence83.6 · 98.2Shooting52.2% · 48.8%3-point %30.2% · 33.5%Ball care18.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Bucaros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cafeteros wins
3
Bucaros wins
DateGameScore
24/10/23Bucaros v Cafeteros79-91
22/10/23Bucaros v Cafeteros62-76
21/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros69-77
20/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros63-65
30/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros77-85
27/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros76-96
26/05/22Cafeteros v Bucaros94-82
11/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros83-69
25/04/22Cafeteros v Bucaros90-86
06/11/21Cafeteros v Bucaros54-45
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23ABucaros91-79
22/10/23ABucaros76-62
21/10/23HBucaros69-77
20/10/23HBucaros63-65
13/10/23HCaribbean Storm Islands77-74
11/10/23ASabios de Manizales100-55
09/10/23HCimarrones del Choco81-71
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HCafeteros79-91
22/10/23HCafeteros62-76
21/10/23ACafeteros77-69
20/10/23ACafeteros65-63
12/10/23HCorsarios Cartagena99-89
11/10/23APiratas de Bogota91-68
09/10/23HTitanes de Barranquilla80-98
08/10/23HCondores de Cundinamarca90-58
06/10/23AMotilones del Norte81-90
02/10/23ACorsarios Cartagena86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW74%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %74%78%69%
Points / game79.580.678.2
Allowed / game68.369.167.4
Point differential+11.1+11.4+10.8
Avg total147.8149.7145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bucaros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game77.278.276.2
Allowed / game75.076.673.3
Point differential+2.2+1.6+2.9
Avg total152.2154.9149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%19%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla3025583%88.972.1+16.8
2 Caribbean Storm Islands3024680%79.666.9+12.7
3 Cafeteros3425974%79.568.3+11.1
4 Piratas de Bogota32201262%81.476.7+4.7
5 Bucaros32171553%77.275.0+2.2
6 Motilones del Norte31131842%77.576.7+0.8
7 Cimarrones del Choco2581732%68.474.0-5.6
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui82625%72.282.1-9.9
9 Corsarios Cartagena2632312%63.885.5-21.7
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%65.988.2-22.3
11 Condores de Cundinamarca100100%71.899.7-27.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cafeteros23161315673
Bucaros19141816471
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