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Bucaros vs Cafeteros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 62-76
19-14 10-25 14-17 19-20
Position#5
Record17-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.4
Bucaros
Colombia
vs
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
Position#3
Record23-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game68.2
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Salitre Coliseum
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Bucaros v Cafeteros
23 Oct 2023
BUCA79
CAFE91
22 Oct 2023
BUCA62
CAFE76
30 May 2022
BUCA77
CAFE85
27 May 2022
BUCA76
CAFE96
11 May 2022
BUCA83
CAFE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucaros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 61
A28/09
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 61
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
58avg 61
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 61
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 61
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
48avg 61
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
87avg 61
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 61
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
43avg 61
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
70avg 61
A21/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-26
16-28
20-14
18-22
18-16
28-31
15-21
25-15
15-22
24-15
22-25
12-25
25-18
16-24
28-23
18-21
27-12
23-19
22-6
17-31
16-23
18-20
29-24
18-19
28-12
19-21
26-16
23-20
30-23
24-21
22-25
20-18
19-15
13-18
13-12
14-15
14-22
23-13
26-19
160.8Avg total
81.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.774.4152.1+3.357%
Season at home (14)79.475.6155.0+3.757%
Season away (16)76.273.3149.5+2.956%
Last 10 (10)81.779.1160.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)82.477.4159.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.078.9148.9-8.940%
vs Similar (12)74.277.7151.9-3.442%
vs Weaker (8)92.463.9156.2+28.5100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 69
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 69
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 69
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 69
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 69
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 69
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-55
100
55
+45
104avg 69
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 69
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
63-65
63
65
-2
33avg 69
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 69
H21/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
21-22
20-21
18-15
22-13
15-10
28-20
31-8
26-17
15-13
14-21
25-18
23-22
18-20
15-19
18-13
12-13
15-14
22-14
13-23
19-26
142.1Avg total
80.3Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.268.2147.4+11.072%
Season at home (18)80.669.1149.7+11.478%
Season away (14)77.567.0144.5+10.564%
Last 10 (10)80.361.8142.1+18.580%
Last 5 (5)78.068.4146.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)74.974.6149.5+0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.564.0146.5+18.579%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.2+5.2
BucarosCafeteros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/09
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A21/10
LBP
78.6Avg total
39.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.976.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.979.9-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.274.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.678.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.143.979.0-8.830%-
vs Similar (12)35.238.373.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker (8)45.533.679.1+11.9100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H21/10
LBP
72.9Avg total
40.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.075.9+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.536.877.3+3.767%-
Last 30 away (12)38.834.873.7+4.058%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.972.9+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.871.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.340.876.1-5.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.533.375.7+9.284%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.0
48.3%
48.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.4
32.9%
31.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.712.7
61.4%
66.7%12.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.5
57.6%
48.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.9
30.5%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.510.0
69.0%
66.7%10.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bucaros
WWWWLWLWLL
Cafeteros
LLWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+2.8
Net rating
+24.8
102.5
Offensive rating
103.5
99.7
Defensive rating
78.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.9%
3-point %
30.5%
41.8%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 103.5Defence99.7 · 78.7Shooting48.6% · 52.4%3-point %32.9% · 30.5%Ball care17.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bucaros   ■ Cafeteros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bucaros wins
5
Cafeteros wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros69-77
20/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros63-65
30/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros77-85
27/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros76-96
26/05/22Cafeteros v Bucaros94-82
11/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros83-69
25/04/22Cafeteros v Bucaros90-86
06/11/21Cafeteros v Bucaros54-45
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ACafeteros77-69
20/10/23ACafeteros65-63
12/10/23HCorsarios Cartagena99-89
11/10/23APiratas de Bogota91-68
09/10/23HTitanes de Barranquilla80-98
08/10/23HCondores de Cundinamarca90-58
06/10/23AMotilones del Norte81-90
02/10/23ACorsarios Cartagena86-77
01/10/23HPiratas de Bogota79-90
28/09/23ATitanes de Barranquilla69-89
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HBucaros69-77
20/10/23HBucaros63-65
13/10/23HCaribbean Storm Islands77-74
11/10/23ASabios de Manizales100-55
09/10/23HCimarrones del Choco81-71
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucaros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %57%57%56%
Points / game77.779.476.2
Allowed / game74.475.673.3
Point differential+3.3+3.7+2.9
Avg total152.1155.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %72%78%64%
Points / game79.280.677.5
Allowed / game68.269.167.0
Point differential+11.0+11.4+10.5
Avg total147.4149.7144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla3025583%88.972.1+16.8
2 Caribbean Storm Islands3024680%79.666.9+12.7
3 Cafeteros3223972%79.268.2+11.0
4 Piratas de Bogota32201262%81.476.7+4.7
5 Bucaros30171357%77.774.4+3.3
6 Motilones del Norte31131842%77.576.7+0.8
7 Cimarrones del Choco2581732%68.474.0-5.6
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui82625%72.282.1-9.9
9 Corsarios Cartagena2632312%63.885.5-21.7
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%65.988.2-22.3
11 Condores de Cundinamarca100100%71.899.7-27.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bucaros1910141962
Cafeteros1425172076
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