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Cafeteros vs Bucaros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-65
18-20 15-19 18-13 12-13
Position#3
Record23-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Bucaros 🏆
Colombia
Position#5
Record15-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.0
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Cafeteros v Bucaros
25 Oct 2023
CAFE73
BUCA71
20 Oct 2023
CAFE69
BUCA77
19 Oct 2023
CAFE63
BUCA65
26 May 2022
CAFE94
BUCA82
25 Apr 2022
CAFE90
BUCA86
06 Nov 2021
CAFE54
BUCA45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bucaros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 71
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 71
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 71
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 71
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 71
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 71
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 71
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 71
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-55
100
55
+45
104avg 71
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 71
H13/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
22-18
27-14
21-20
17-26
12-30
21-18
20-18
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
21-22
20-21
18-15
22-13
15-10
28-20
31-8
26-17
15-13
14-21
25-18
23-22
146.4Avg total
82.3Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.168.0148.1+12.177%
Season at home (16)82.468.9151.2+13.588%
Season away (14)77.567.0144.5+10.564%
Last 10 (10)82.364.1146.4+18.290%
Last 5 (5)83.463.4146.8+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)74.474.3148.7+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.563.2147.6+21.388%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
63avg 62
H26/09
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
119-87
119
87
+32
no box
A28/09
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 62
A28/09
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 62
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
58avg 62
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 62
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 62
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
48avg 62
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
87avg 62
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 62
H12/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
12-16
30-24
20-20
27-29
29-14
32-13
31-31
18-21
15-26
16-28
20-14
18-22
18-16
28-31
15-21
25-15
15-22
24-15
22-25
12-25
25-18
16-24
28-23
18-21
27-12
23-19
22-6
17-31
16-23
18-20
29-24
18-19
28-12
19-21
26-16
23-20
30-23
24-21
22-25
169.9Avg total
87.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.175.0153.1+3.154%
Season at home (14)79.475.6155.0+3.757%
Season away (14)76.974.4151.3+2.650%
Last 10 (10)87.382.6169.9+4.750%
Last 5 (5)88.280.6168.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.182.4150.5-14.320%
vs Similar (12)74.277.7151.9-3.442%
vs Weaker (8)92.463.9156.2+28.5100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
CafeterosBucaros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/10
LBP
75.0Avg total
39.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.275.9+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.278.4+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)37.935.173.0+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.775.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.072.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)34.840.275.0-5.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.433.276.6+10.188%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H26/09
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A28/09
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/09
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/10
LBP
81.3Avg total
40.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.777.2-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.980.0-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.837.574.3-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.581.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.746.279.9-12.520%-
vs Similar (12)35.238.373.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker (8)45.533.679.1+11.9100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
48.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
31.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.2
68.7%
66.7%11.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.325.5
52.8%
48.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.414.4
64.3%
66.7%14.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWWWWWWWLW
Bucaros
WWLWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#5
+24.5
Net rating
+5.9
106.5
Offensive rating
108.2
82.0
Defensive rating
102.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.7%
3-point %
31.1%
60.0%
Assist %
36.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 108.2Defence82.0 · 102.4Shooting53.9% · 50.8%3-point %33.7% · 31.1%Ball care18.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 35.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Bucaros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cafeteros wins
1
Bucaros wins
DateGameScore
30/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros77-85
27/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros76-96
26/05/22Cafeteros v Bucaros94-82
11/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros83-69
25/04/22Cafeteros v Bucaros90-86
06/11/21Cafeteros v Bucaros54-45
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HCaribbean Storm Islands77-74
11/10/23ASabios de Manizales100-55
09/10/23HCimarrones del Choco81-71
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52
02/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands70-92
01/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands82-73
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23HCorsarios Cartagena99-89
11/10/23APiratas de Bogota91-68
09/10/23HTitanes de Barranquilla80-98
08/10/23HCondores de Cundinamarca90-58
06/10/23AMotilones del Norte81-90
02/10/23ACorsarios Cartagena86-77
01/10/23HPiratas de Bogota79-90
28/09/23ATitanes de Barranquilla69-89
28/09/23ACondores de Cundinamarca119-87
26/09/23HMotilones del Norte79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %77%88%64%
Points / game80.182.477.5
Allowed / game68.068.967.0
Point differential+12.1+13.5+10.5
Avg total148.1151.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bucaros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game78.179.476.9
Allowed / game75.075.674.4
Point differential+3.1+3.7+2.6
Avg total153.1155.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla3025583%88.972.1+16.8
2 Caribbean Storm Islands3024680%79.666.9+12.7
3 Cafeteros3023777%80.168.0+12.1
4 Piratas de Bogota32201262%81.476.7+4.7
5 Bucaros28151354%78.175.0+3.1
6 Motilones del Norte31131842%77.576.7+0.8
7 Cimarrones del Choco2581732%68.474.0-5.6
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui82625%72.282.1-9.9
9 Corsarios Cartagena2632312%63.885.5-21.7
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%65.988.2-22.3
11 Condores de Cundinamarca100100%71.899.7-27.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros1815181263
Bucaros2019131365
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