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Cafeteros vs Sabios de Manizales Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 90-59
24-13 24-21 25-10 17-15
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game51.0
Allowed / game69.0
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero (Rionegro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Sabios de Manizales
01 Oct 2023
CAFE100
SABI61
14 May 2023
CAFE101
SABI54
13 May 2023
CAFE90
SABI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sabios de Manizales winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
117-106 OT
117
106
+11
no box
H21/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A22/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
96-76
96
76
+20
no box
A27/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A30/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
A04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H07/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
48avg 62
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
77avg 62
A07/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
22-22
21-28
27-18
30-16
20-15
21-26
24-20
20-17
36-23
20-13
18-29
16-21
21-23
27-16
32-16
17-10
19-20
25-28
24-19
25-23
18-29
15-13
25-19
19-20
12-14
19-27
16-18
20-27
20-21
27-21
23-22
11-21
12-18
17-15
16-25
23-18
19-16
26-14
19-18
168.6Avg total
86.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.981.7168.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)76.479.8156.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (7)66.972.1139.0-5.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.571.8155.3+11.789%
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManizales
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A07/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
A08/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
H16/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
H16/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
no box
A23/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#2
L
54-94
54
94
-40
no box
A24/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A28/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
no box
A29/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
36avg 42
A09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-76
55
76
-21
47avg 42
A10/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-20
22-25
23-25
11-24
23-15
18-22
22-30
27-31
12-16
18-27
22-24
12-23
24-24
16-20
17-21
6-19
26-18
10-16
12-22
12-27
14-19
13-27
15-21
9-11
25-33
19-21
21-23
25-31
15-18
20-28
26-20
2-21
14-13
10-19
21-9
18-19
10-22
20-24
7-11
153.1Avg total
67.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)51.069.0120.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)51.069.0120.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)67.086.1153.1-19.10%
Last 5 (5)63.283.4146.6-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.182.8145.9-19.76%
vs Similar (4)77.079.8156.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (4)75.863.0138.8+12.875%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
CafeterosSabios de Manizales
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A22/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A30/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
LBP
79.0Avg total
39.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.874.9+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.734.775.5+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)37.536.974.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.379.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (7)33.133.466.6-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.934.875.8+6.156%-
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A07/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H16/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A24/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A10/05
LBP
74.4Avg total
31.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.840.271.9-8.415%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.240.873.0-8.627%-
Last 30 away (15)31.539.771.1-8.27%-
Last 10 (10)31.842.674.4-10.80%-
Last 5 (5)28.842.871.6-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.041.771.7-11.76%-
vs Similar (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker (4)34.231.265.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.0
53.0%
48.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.04.5
20.5%
31.7%13.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.0
68.3%
66.7%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sabios de Manizalestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sabios de Manizales: 50.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.013.0
35.1%
48.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.06.0
40.0%
31.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws11.56.0
52.2%
66.7%6.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 13 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WLLLLWWWWW
Sabios de Manizales
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
-1.4
Net rating
-26.4
99.3
Offensive rating
65.9
100.7
Defensive rating
92.2
45.3%
Effective FG%
42.3%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
31.1%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
20.5%
3-point %
40.0%
58.5%
Assist %
44.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 65.9Defence100.7 · 92.2Shooting45.3% · 42.3%3-point %20.5% · 40.0%Ball care18.1% · 31.1%Off. rebounds35.1% · 17.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Sabios de Manizales
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cafeteros wins
0
Sabios de Manizales wins
DateGameScore
08/11/21Sabios de Manizales v Cafeteros62-66
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands87-66
06/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands56-79
07/06/22HTitanes de Barranquilla90-91
04/06/22ATitanes de Barranquilla66-79
04/06/22HTitanes de Barranquilla83-84
30/05/22ABucaros85-77
27/05/22ABucaros96-76
26/05/22HBucaros94-82
22/05/22ACaribbean Storm Islands95-77
21/05/22HCaribbean Storm Islands117-106 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-76
09/05/23ACimarrones del Choco47-62
29/10/22ACondores de Cundinamarca86-97
28/10/22ACondores de Cundinamarca74-88
24/10/22ACimarrones del Choco54-94
23/10/22ACimarrones del Choco54-75
16/10/22HPiratas de Bogota69-88
16/10/22HPiratas de Bogota79-98
08/10/22APiratas de Bogota74-91
07/10/22APiratas de Bogota78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game71.5-71.5
Allowed / game72.5-72.5
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sabios de Manizales
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game51.0-51.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total120.0-120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla86275%84.567.1+17.4
2 Caribbean Storm Islands43175%65.859.0+6.8
3 Bucaros64267%83.766.7+17.0
4 Piratas de Bogota64267%77.377.7-0.3
5 Cimarrones del Choco42250%57.855.0+2.8
6 Cafeteros21150%71.572.5-1.0
7 Motilones del Norte62433%69.070.3-1.3
8 Sabios de Manizales2020%51.069.0-18.0
9 Corsarios Cartagena6060%48.386.8-38.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros2424251790
Sabios de Manizales1321101559
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