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Cafeteros vs Sabios de Manizales Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 100-61
29-18 29-20 26-11 16-12
Position#3
Record17-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.2
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Sabios de Manizales
Colombia
Position#10
Record2-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game84.9
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora (Cali)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Sabios de Manizales
01 Oct 2023
CAFE100
SABI61
14 May 2023
CAFE101
SABI54
13 May 2023
CAFE90
SABI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sabios de Manizales winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 70
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 70
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 70
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
65-64
65
64
+1
52avg 70
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
61-65
61
65
-4
50avg 70
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
39avg 70
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 70
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 70
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 70
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 70
A29/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-11
14-21
28-17
17-26
26-23
24-18
25-19
20-24
17-15
13-26
17-17
13-17
23-18
17-11
12-18
20-25
11-13
15-16
15-11
20-21
10-27
12-19
12-15
12-21
22-18
27-14
21-20
17-26
12-30
21-18
20-18
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
144.3Avg total
72.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.669.2147.8+9.371%
Season at home (13)81.568.9150.5+12.685%
Season away (11)75.169.6144.7+5.555%
Last 10 (10)72.971.4144.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)72.069.0141.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.00%
vs Similar (11)73.874.6148.5-0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.367.2151.6+17.188%
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManizales
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
54avg 53
H19/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
91-83
91
83
+8
85avg 53
H30/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
75avg 53
H31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
64-106
64
106
-42
41avg 53
H03/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
56avg 53
H04/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
53-83
53
83
-30
51avg 53
A08/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-72
54
72
-18
52avg 53
A08/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
66avg 53
A25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 53
H27/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
L
51-78
51
78
-27
32avg 53
H28/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-19
15-29
13-26
25-22
20-15
20-28
26-18
14-18
20-32
21-24
34-32
16-31
11-27
13-29
24-19
15-15
22-28
24-22
20-25
19-23
11-18
14-27
9-15
14-23
9-23
16-11
15-15
22-29
17-13
20-19
19-29
13-25
23-21
23-14
21-12
12-22
9-9
14-24
16-23
158.7Avg total
71.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)65.984.9150.8-19.113%
Season at home (8)73.587.5161.0-14.025%
Season away (7)57.182.0139.1-24.90%
Last 10 (10)71.587.2158.7-15.720%
Last 5 (5)63.279.0142.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.486.3151.7-20.88%
vs Similar (4)77.079.8156.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (1)74.058.0132.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
CafeterosSabios de Manizales
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
75.2Avg total
36.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.476.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.938.880.7+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)36.935.872.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.775.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.473.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.782.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (11)35.640.576.1-4.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.533.976.4+8.688%-
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
27-58
27
58
-31
H03/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A08/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A08/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H28/09
LBP
76.9Avg total
33.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.642.775.3-10.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.944.278.1-10.320%-
Last 30 away (15)31.441.272.6-9.87%-
Last 10 (10)33.843.176.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.841.271.0-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)31.643.575.1-11.88%-
vs Similar (4)37.242.079.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker (1)39.026.065.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.2
45.7%
48.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
31.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.012.4
65.3%
66.7%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sabios de Manizalestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sabios de Manizales: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.519.3
45.4%
48.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.4
30.4%
31.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
66.7%7.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWLWLLWLWW
Sabios de Manizales
LWLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#10
+2.4
Net rating
-17.8
96.0
Offensive rating
87.8
93.7
Defensive rating
105.7
45.9%
Effective FG%
45.5%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
22.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.7%
3-point %
30.4%
52.7%
Assist %
46.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 87.8Defence93.7 · 105.7Shooting45.9% · 45.5%3-point %30.7% · 30.4%Ball care18.3% · 22.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 26.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Sabios de Manizales
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cafeteros wins
0
Sabios de Manizales wins
DateGameScore
04/06/23Sabios de Manizales v Cafeteros81-90
03/06/23Sabios de Manizales v Cafeteros64-106
14/05/23Cafeteros v Sabios de Manizales101-54
13/05/23Cafeteros v Sabios de Manizales90-59
08/11/21Sabios de Manizales v Cafeteros62-66
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52
02/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands70-92
01/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands82-73
28/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-82
27/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands61-65
24/06/23HPiratas de Bogota65-64
23/06/23HPiratas de Bogota67-82
19/06/23APiratas de Bogota92-86
16/06/23HMotilones del Norte84-72
Sabios de Manizaleslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui51-78
27/09/23HCimarrones del Choco80-72
25/09/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-90
08/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-72
08/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands53-83
04/06/23HCafeteros81-90
03/06/23HCafeteros64-106
31/05/23HCimarrones del Choco89-106
30/05/23HCimarrones del Choco91-83
19/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLWWLW85%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %71%85%55%
Points / game78.681.575.1
Allowed / game69.268.969.6
Point differential+9.3+12.6+5.5
Avg total147.8150.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sabios de Manizales
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL13%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%25%0%
Points / game65.973.557.1
Allowed / game84.987.582.0
Point differential-19.1-14.0-24.9
Avg total150.8161.0139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands2319483%77.464.3+13.1
2 Titanes de Barranquilla2217577%84.570.3+14.2
3 Cafeteros2417771%78.669.2+9.3
4 Piratas de Bogota2617965%80.973.2+7.7
5 Bucaros22111150%75.573.6+1.9
6 Motilones del Norte2391439%75.675.6+0.0
7 Tigrillos de Antioqui31233%60.371.0-10.7
8 Cimarrones del Choco1851328%67.074.1-7.1
9 Sabios de Manizales1521313%65.984.9-19.1
10 Corsarios Cartagena2021810%58.285.0-26.7
11 Condores de Cundinamarca4040%80.0105.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros29292616100
Sabios de Manizales1820111261
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