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Caimanes del Llano vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-92
15-24 22-26 20-21 24-21
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
Position#2
Record5-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.6
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Alvaro Mesa Amaya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caimanes del Llano v Paisas
30 Oct 2026
CAIM73
PAIS87
25 May 2026
CAIM97
PAIS105
29 Apr 2026
CAIM90
PAIS80
28 Apr 2026
CAIM81
PAIS92
04 Feb 2026
CAIM91
PAIS107
16 Jul 2025
CAIM71
PAIS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caimanes del Llano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
L
75-98
75
98
-23
61avg 70
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
69-140
69
140
-71
49avg 70
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 70
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 70
A13/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
69-36
69
36
+33
71avg 70
H16/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
98-96
98
96
+2
98avg 70
H18/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
87avg 70
A21/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
100-103
100
103
-3
97avg 70
A21/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 70
H25/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
51avg 70
H25/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
16-22
24-23
19-24
24-24
19-39
9-36
17-41
24-19
17-22
24-19
16-16
13-18
22-23
19-17
24-22
17-9
27-7
15-7
10-13
22-19
27-23
24-23
25-31
20-21
21-24
21-21
27-20
18-25
25-28
32-21
25-29
19-21
14-23
23-16
17-8
19-17
19-20
10-24
15-24
166.3Avg total
79.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.478.8160.1+2.662%
Season at home (4)75.871.2147.0+4.575%
Season away (4)87.086.2173.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)79.586.8166.3-7.350%
Last 5 (5)84.687.6172.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.7101.5177.2-25.88%
vs Similar (9)82.072.7154.7+9.389%
vs Weaker (8)71.468.9140.2+2.550%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
82avg 81
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
75-96
75
96
-21
64avg 81
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 81
A10/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
68avg 81
A11/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
73-68
73
68
+5
51avg 81
A15/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 81
A15/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 81
H19/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
50avg 81
H19/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
59avg 81
H24/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 81
H25/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-28
23-26
20-18
17-22
19-22
17-30
22-22
27-22
20-13
16-20
15-13
15-16
24-15
17-17
19-9
17-13
19-18
16-16
21-21
21-21
15-20
18-19
17-20
17-21
21-22
18-24
20-17
16-24
12-24
21-24
18-20
23-18
18-27
21-18
18-17
23-17
16-18
20-17
22-26
158.7Avg total
78.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.576.6153.1-0.162%
Season at home (4)78.885.0163.8-6.250%
Season away (4)74.268.2142.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)78.180.6158.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.284.0161.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.497.3173.7-20.90%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.069.1159.0+20.987%
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Caimanes del LlanoPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H16/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A21/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H25/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/04
LBP
83.2Avg total
39.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.242.181.3-2.945%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.541.279.7-2.764%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.082.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.383.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.285.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.448.886.2-11.423%-
vs Similar (9)41.837.479.2+4.356%-
vs Weaker (7)39.335.975.1+3.471%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A10/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A11/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A15/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H19/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/04
LBP
79.7Avg total
39.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.982.3+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.637.983.5+7.864%-
Last 30 away (16)43.337.981.2+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.679.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.748.486.1-10.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.434.781.1+11.883%-
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.0
59.5%
50.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.7
29.1%
30.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
66.5%10.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.3
52.9%
50.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.2
31.1%
30.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.210.0
61.7%
66.5%10.0
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caimanes del Llano
LWLWWWLWLL
Paisas
WWLLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#2
-15.0
Net rating
-7.4
81.7
Offensive rating
86.4
96.7
Defensive rating
93.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.1%
3-point %
31.1%
61.0%
Assist %
47.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence81.7 · 86.4Defence96.7 · 93.9Shooting52.0% · 49.9%3-point %29.1% · 31.1%Ball care18.2% · 16.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Caimanes del Llano   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caimanes del Llano wins
8
Paisas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HToros del Valle63-85
25/04/26HToros del Valle73-68
21/04/26AMotilones del Norte100-103
21/04/26AMotilones del Norte89-86
18/04/26HCimarrones del Choco98-96
16/04/26HCimarrones del Choco69-36
13/04/26APiratas de Bogota78-80
12/04/26APiratas de Bogota81-76
13/02/26AAstros69-140
12/02/26APaisas75-98
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HMotilones del Norte81-78
24/04/26HMotilones del Norte91-86 OT
19/04/26HToros del Valle67-92
19/04/26HToros del Valle76-84
15/04/26ASabios Baloncesto71-80
15/04/26ASabios Baloncesto73-68
11/04/26ACaribbean Storm Islands75-57
10/04/26ACaribbean Storm Islands78-68
14/03/26ANacional75-96
07/03/26HNacional94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game81.475.887.0
Allowed / game78.871.286.2
Point differential+2.6+4.5+0.8
Avg total160.1147.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game76.578.874.2
Allowed / game76.685.068.2
Point differential-0.1-6.2+6.0
Avg total153.1163.8142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle87188%79.058.9+20.1
2 Cimarrones del Choco85362%78.171.5+6.6
3 Caimanes del Llano85362%81.478.8+2.6
4 Piratas de Bogota85362%77.675.0+2.6
5 Paisas85362%76.576.6-0.1
6 Sabios Baloncesto83538%74.878.5-3.8
7 Motilones del Norte82625%81.285.0-3.8
8 Caribbean Storm Islands8080%62.286.6-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caimanes del Llano1522202481
Paisas2426212192
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