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Caimanes del Llano vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-36
17-9 27-7 15-7 10-13
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.0
Caimanes del Llano 🏆
Colombia
vs
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Alvaro Mesa Amaya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caimanes del Llano v Cimarrones del Choco
17 Apr 2026
CAIM98
CIMA96
16 Apr 2026
CAIM69
CIMA36
21 Jun 2025
CAIM99
CIMA89
20 Jun 2025
CAIM75
CIMA30
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caimanes del Llano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 69
H08/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H08/11
LBP
Paisas
#8
L
62-109
62
109
-47
48avg 69
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
70-123
70
123
-53
54avg 69
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
69-131
69
131
-62
55avg 69
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
78avg 69
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
75-98
75
98
-23
61avg 69
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
69-140
69
140
-71
49avg 69
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 69
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 69
A13/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
25-15
22-27
19-26
–
–
–
–
17-24
15-26
9-29
21-30
16-35
13-29
23-29
18-30
13-28
20-38
13-36
23-29
17-28
25-28
22-20
27-31
16-29
16-22
24-23
19-24
24-24
19-39
9-36
17-41
24-19
17-22
24-19
16-16
13-18
22-23
19-17
24-22
164.6Avg total
67.5Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)67.597.1164.6-29.610%
Last 5 (5)78.8100.2179.0-21.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.1106.0183.1-28.90%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.575.7157.3+5.873%
vs Weaker (8)69.560.1129.6+9.462%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
49avg 62
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 62
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
54-76
54
76
-22
44avg 62
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
67avg 62
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 62
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 62
A06/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
59avg 62
H10/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
78avg 62
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 62
H14/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
9-12
10-12
15-8
25-17
15-21
21-18
18-19
13-27
25-22
12-14
4-13
24-13
22-23
15-23
20-20
19-25
14-10
26-15
20-18
9-19
14-31
22-19
16-16
19-28
16-24
20-23
30-18
19-13
25-21
16-18
9-29
18-15
15-13
22-15
10-22
21-12
14-22
18-26
27-14
148.0Avg total
72.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season at home (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.375.7148.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)75.083.4158.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)68.282.2150.4-14.029%
vs Similar ◀ (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.8-7.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.8-7.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Caimanes del LlanoCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/11
LBP
Paisas
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
29-64
29
64
-35
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/04
LBP
88.0Avg total
36.2Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.541.780.2-3.148%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.840.478.1-2.671%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.982.1-3.727%-
Last 10 (9)36.251.888.0-15.611%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.489.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.750.388.0-12.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.140.479.5-1.345%-
vs Weaker (7)38.930.169.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A06/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H10/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/04
LBP
73.5Avg total
35.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.642.175.7-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.540.374.8-5.835%-
Last 30 away (13)32.344.576.8-12.223%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.873.5-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.673.6-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)33.542.976.4-9.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.618.2
57.6%
50.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.98.9
26.3%
30.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.111.4
66.7%
66.5%11.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.9
48.1%
50.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
30.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.412.7
62.3%
66.5%12.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caimanes del Llano
LWLLLLLLLL
Cimarrones del Choco
WLLLLWWLWW
#5
League position
#6
-34.3
Net rating
+0.1
77.3
Offensive rating
91.3
111.6
Defensive rating
91.1
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
15.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.3%
3-point %
31.8%
62.0%
Assist %
57.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence77.3 · 91.3Defence111.6 · 91.1Shooting48.2% · 48.0%3-point %26.3% · 31.8%Ball care18.0% · 22.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Caimanes del Llano   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caimanes del Llano wins
1
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateGameScore
24/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Caimanes del Llano74-72
24/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Caimanes del Llano46-79
22/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Cimarrones del Choco99-89
21/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Cimarrones del Choco75-30
09/06/25Cimarrones del Choco v Caimanes del Llano44-97
08/06/25Cimarrones del Choco v Caimanes del Llano62-77
Caimanes del Llanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26APiratas de Bogota78-80
12/04/26APiratas de Bogota81-76
13/02/26AAstros69-140
12/02/26APaisas75-98
04/02/26HPaisas91-107
02/02/26HAstros69-131
29/01/26HAstros70-123
28/01/26APaisas62-109
08/11/25HSabios de Manizales0-20
08/11/25HSabios de Manizales80-87
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-74
12/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-84 OT
10/12/25HPaisas69-81
06/12/25APaisas85-93
05/12/25APaisas61-85
23/11/25HToros del Valle79-68
22/11/25HToros del Valle81-79
20/11/25AToros del Valle54-76
19/11/25AToros del Valle79-75
16/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands55-42

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game79.5-79.5
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+1.5-+1.5
Avg total157.5-157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle440100%75.848.0+27.8
2 Paisas43175%74.268.2+6.0
3 Caimanes del Llano21150%79.578.0+1.5
4 Cimarrones del Choco21150%80.079.0+1.0
5 Motilones del Norte21150%79.080.0-1.0
6 Piratas de Bogota21150%78.079.5-1.5
7 Sabios Baloncesto41325%64.070.0-6.0
8 Caribbean Storm Islands4040%52.280.0-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caimanes del Llano1727151069
Cimarrones del Choco9771336
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