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Caimanes del Llano vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-65
24-22 16-15 19-18 30-10
Position#2
Record17-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.0
Caimanes del Llano 🏆
Colombia
vs
Toros del Valle
Colombia
Position#3
Record15-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.3
ColombiaLBPLBP - Semi-finals· Coliseo Alvaro Mesa Amaya
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle
25 Apr 2026
CAIM63
TORO85
24 Apr 2026
CAIM73
TORO68
09 Jul 2025
CAIM89
TORO65
02 Jul 2025
CAIM94
TORO77
01 Jul 2025
CAIM64
TORO65
17 Jun 2025
CAIM57
TORO67
16 Jun 2025
CAIM70
TORO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caimanes del Llano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
56avg 70
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
59avg 70
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
70-59
70
59
+11
60avg 70
H16/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 70
H17/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
75-30
75
30
+45
69avg 70
H21/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-89
99
89
+10
95avg 70
H22/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
64-65
64
65
-1
60avg 70
H01/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 70
H03/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 70
A05/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
58avg 70
A06/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
20-17
18-10
9-14
17-23
23-13
18-25
16-24
13-12
17-15
27-17
13-15
16-12
11-18
11-14
19-23
14-2
19-13
19-6
23-9
24-24
24-19
21-17
30-29
17-18
15-11
22-15
10-21
18-21
23-19
31-19
22-18
19-15
20-30
26-21
23-17
20-31
15-20
17-14
28-21
148.3Avg total
77.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.972.0151.0+6.971%
Season at home (12)78.869.6148.3+9.275%
Season away (12)79.174.5153.6+4.667%
Last 10 (10)77.371.0148.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)85.080.0165.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.875.6152.4+1.258%
vs Weaker (12)81.068.5149.5+12.583%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
51avg 77
A16/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
67-57
67
57
+10
55avg 77
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 77
H20/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 77
H21/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 77
A24/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 77
H27/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
65-64
65
64
+1
55avg 77
A01/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
70avg 77
A03/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
71avg 77
H05/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 77
H06/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
15-17
17-27
15-13
12-16
18-11
14-11
23-19
21-19
27-26
21-26
21-22
20-18
15-25
27-19
28-14
16-17
16-22
25-23
30-21
13-15
19-17
25-10
21-28
18-17
11-15
15-22
21-10
21-18
19-23
19-31
18-22
15-19
30-20
21-26
17-23
31-20
20-15
14-17
21-28
155.7Avg total
78.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.977.3158.2+3.658%
Season at home (15)87.178.7165.7+8.467%
Season away (11)72.575.4147.8-2.945%
Last 10 (10)78.277.5155.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.879.2157.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.580.2151.8-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.678.4158.1+1.250%
vs Weaker (12)86.678.9165.5+7.767%
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Caimanes del LlanoToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H16/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
33-15
33
15
+18
H21/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A05/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A06/07
LBP
73.1Avg total
37.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.835.273.1+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.033.269.2+2.875%-
Last 30 away (12)39.737.377.0+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.173.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.237.371.6-3.133%-
vs Weaker (12)41.433.274.6+8.292%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A16/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H20/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H27/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H06/07
LBP
73.2Avg total
36.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.679.0+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.939.683.5+4.447%-
Last 30 away (13)35.837.273.0-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.373.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.875.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.574.8-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.637.477.9+3.257%-
vs Weaker (12)42.239.381.6+2.933%-
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.5
45.6%
49.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.4
30.6%
30.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.713.5
68.5%
67.7%13.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.421.7
47.8%
49.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.5
27.3%
30.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.014.7
66.8%
67.7%14.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caimanes del Llano
LWWLWWLWLW
Toros del Valle
WLLWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#3
+8.3
Net rating
+1.1
97.5
Offensive rating
96.2
89.2
Defensive rating
95.1
45.7%
Effective FG%
45.4%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.6%
3-point %
27.3%
57.6%
Assist %
50.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 96.2Defence89.2 · 95.1Shooting45.7% · 45.4%3-point %30.6% · 27.3%Ball care15.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds23.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Caimanes del Llano   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caimanes del Llano wins
4
Toros del Valle wins
DateGameScore
06/07/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano86-80
05/07/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano83-88
03/07/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle94-77
01/07/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle64-65
17/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle57-67
16/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle70-59
13/06/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano85-74
13/06/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano69-72
Caimanes del Llanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25AToros del Valle80-86
05/07/25AToros del Valle88-83
03/07/25HToros del Valle94-77
01/07/25HToros del Valle64-65
22/06/25HCimarrones del Choco99-89
21/06/25HCimarrones del Choco75-30
17/06/25HToros del Valle57-67
16/06/25HToros del Valle70-59
13/06/25AToros del Valle74-85
13/06/25AToros del Valle72-69
Toros del Vallelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25HCaimanes del Llano86-80
05/07/25HCaimanes del Llano83-88
03/07/25ACaimanes del Llano77-94
01/07/25ACaimanes del Llano65-64
27/06/25HSabios de Manizales78-70
24/06/25ASabios de Manizales87-83
21/06/25HCaribbean Storm Islands90-76
20/06/25HCaribbean Storm Islands90-93
17/06/25ACaimanes del Llano67-57
16/06/25ACaimanes del Llano59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game78.978.879.1
Allowed / game72.069.674.5
Point differential+6.9+9.2+4.6
Avg total151.0148.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)0% (1)100% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Toros del Valle
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%67%45%
Points / game80.987.172.5
Allowed / game77.378.775.4
Point differential+3.6+8.4-2.9
Avg total158.2165.7147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas2418675%87.978.2+9.6
2 Caimanes del Llano2417771%78.972.0+6.9
3 Toros del Valle26151158%80.977.3+3.6
4 Motilones del Norte23121152%77.077.9-0.8
5 Caribbean Storm Islands27141352%82.880.1+2.7
6 Sabios de Manizales2291341%76.980.0-3.1
7 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco2041620%76.292.5-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caimanes del Llano2416193089
Toros del Valle2215181065
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