PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cairns Marlins vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 97-82
29-32 22-10 20-17 26-23
Position#5
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#7
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.9
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2021
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Brisbane Capitals
17 May 2025
CAIR75
BRIS111
14 Apr 2023
CAIR91
BRIS86
23 Jul 2021
CAIR97
BRIS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H15/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A21/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A22/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H29/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H04/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H11/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H19/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A10/07
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H17/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
19-14
20-21
20-15
18-21
13-27
23-25
14-24
18-23
17-5
17-15
31-29
28-26
19-22
19-22
22-12
23-29
26-16
26-17
17-23
28-26
20-10
26-17
11-15
15-24
26-29
16-18
24-11
23-20
13-13
17-25
26-24
27-23
17-16
13-20
31-23
162.9Avg total
82.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.180.8162.9+1.356%
Season at home (6)84.879.3164.2+5.567%
Season away (3)76.783.7160.3-7.033%
Last 10 (9)82.180.8162.9+1.356%
Last 5 (5)85.079.8164.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.885.8166.5-5.050%
vs Weaker (4)85.276.8162.0+8.575%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suncoast Clippers
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A28/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A29/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H05/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
L
90-107
90
107
-17
A12/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A18/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#12
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A19/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#14
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H26/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H04/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
H09/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H17/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
20-19
27-13
20-15
18-23
19-22
21-17
21-34
23-15
16-20
25-16
22-27
19-28
21-27
23-31
27-21
17-19
22-25
18-25
20-20
22-19
16-14
32-21
27-14
29-29
31-8
33-23
15-26
17-22
30-20
22-22
18-26
14-20
18-18
19-24
9-30
20-19
24-24
23-20
12-12
169.3Avg total
84.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.782.9168.6+2.858%
Season at home (7)86.780.6167.3+6.171%
Season away (5)84.286.2170.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)84.185.2169.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.282.2168.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.590.5159.0-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.082.6166.6+1.460%
vs Weaker (5)94.280.2174.4+14.080%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
Cairns MarlinsBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A21/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A22/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H19/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/07
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/07
NBL1 North
81.9Avg total
40.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)40.741.281.9-0.656%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.043.787.7+0.350%-
Last 30 away (3)34.036.370.3-2.367%-
Last 10 (9)40.741.281.9-0.656%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.542.081.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (4)43.240.583.8+2.875%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suncoast Clippers
#11
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A28/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A12/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#14
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H26/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H09/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/07
NBL1 North
82.2Avg total
40.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)40.841.882.7-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.640.383.9+3.371%-
Last 30 away (5)37.044.081.0-7.020%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.582.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.541.076.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.645.886.4-5.240%-
vs Weaker (5)43.238.281.4+5.080%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cairns Marlins wins
0
Brisbane Capitals wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/21HSuncoast Clippers88-82
10/07/21ATownsville Heat79-82
19/06/21HUSC Rip City81-82
11/06/21HSouthern District85-68
04/06/21HRockhampton Rockets92-85
29/05/21HTownsville Heat88-82
22/05/21AIpswich Force83-72
21/05/21AGold Coast Rollers68-97
15/05/21HMackay Meteors75-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/21HUSC Rip City79-75
09/07/21HMackay Meteors60-92
04/07/21HIpswich Force87-90
26/06/21HRockhampton Rockets108-86
19/06/21ARed City Roar97-68
18/06/21ALogan Thunder77-89
12/06/21AUSC Rip City90-107
05/06/21HSouth West Metro Pirates86-78
29/05/21ANorthside Wizards79-96
28/05/21ASuncoast Clippers78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game82.184.876.7
Allowed / game80.879.383.7
Point differential+1.3+5.5-7.0
Avg total162.9164.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game85.786.784.2
Allowed / game82.980.686.2
Point differential+2.8+6.1-2.0
Avg total168.6167.3170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Logan Thunder1211192%93.279.2+13.9
2 Townsville Heat108280%84.074.9+9.1
3 Mackay Meteors1310377%91.280.8+10.4
4 Gold Coast Rollers117464%93.787.8+5.9
5 Brisbane Capitals127558%85.782.9+2.8
6 Cairns Marlins95456%82.180.8+1.3
7 Southern District116555%87.786.1+1.6
8 Northside Wizards105550%83.792.7-9.0
9 Suncoast Clippers125742%83.982.1+1.8
10 Ipswich Force125742%83.785.4-1.8
11 USC Rip City114736%80.886.6-5.8
12 Red City Roar103730%89.298.9-9.7
13 South West Metro Pirates112918%87.991.5-3.5
14 Rockhampton Rockets120120%82.0101.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins2922202697
Brisbane Capitals3210172382
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.