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Cairns Marlins vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 91-86
18-22 22-21 32-26 19-17
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game106.0
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Brisbane Capitals
17 May 2025
CAIR75
BRIS111
14 Apr 2023
CAIR91
BRIS86
23 Jul 2021
CAIR97
BRIS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#14
W
109-81
109
81
+28
H15/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A22/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A23/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A24/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H29/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
W
116-68
116
68
+48
H06/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
H13/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A20/08
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A26/03
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A01/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
24-13
30-21
27-28
24-19
17-8
19-23
39-44
17-17
31-25
21-23
23-25
18-15
21-33
32-22
14-20
16-17
15-24
29-21
18-26
26-19
21-17
32-11
37-21
16-23
31-23
17-24
17-11
17-23
15-17
21-21
10-29
25-25
20-23
12-22
13-29
18-28
15-24
24-22
33-13
177.4Avg total
89.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.093.0173.0-13.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.093.0173.0-13.050%
Last 10 (10)89.687.8177.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.687.0173.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.384.3170.7+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.488.4175.7-1.059%
vs Weaker (7)99.183.0182.1+16.157%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#8
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H26/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H02/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A08/07
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H09/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
107-83
107
83
+24
A16/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H22/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
77-101
77
101
-24
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A02/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
21-15
26-21
27-24
24-23
24-25
24-22
21-16
22-19
21-33
14-13
19-20
28-17
23-21
22-26
27-23
22-24
30-18
26-20
29-21
19-24
8-17
23-19
44-39
18-33
18-22
27-18
13-19
22-18
17-25
19-33
19-25
23-27
31-27
21-25
25-21
26-21
19-27
18-27
25-24
184.2Avg total
92.0Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.5106.0204.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)109.0113.0222.0-4.00%
Season away (1)88.099.0187.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)92.092.2184.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)88.8100.8189.6-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.390.3167.7-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.290.1177.3-2.931%
vs Weaker (8)99.182.1181.2+17.088%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
Cairns MarlinsBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H15/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A22/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H29/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/08
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A26/03
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A01/04
NBL1 North
82.7Avg total
41.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.286.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.240.988.1+6.382%-
Last 30 away (19)42.343.085.3-0.737%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.282.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.485.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.843.085.8-0.241%-
vs Weaker (7)48.039.787.7+8.386%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H02/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/07
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H09/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H22/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H25/03
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/04
NBL1 North
89.5Avg total
44.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.788.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.043.187.1+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)45.844.290.1+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)44.245.389.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.288.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.046.287.2-5.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.643.487.9+1.256%-
vs Weaker (8)48.842.691.4+6.162%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cairns Marlins wins
0
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23ADarwin Salties90-87
26/03/23ATownsville Heat70-99
20/08/22AUSC Rip City63-90
13/08/22HIpswich Force94-91 OT
06/08/22HTownsville Heat116-68
29/07/22HMackay Meteors78-88
24/07/22ASouthern District85-90
23/07/22ANorthside Wizards92-90
22/07/22ABrisbane Capitals99-94
15/07/22HRed City Roar109-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23AUSC Rip City88-99
25/03/23HNorthside Wizards109-113 OT
06/08/22HNorthside Wizards77-101
30/07/22ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks76-92
22/07/22HCairns Marlins94-99
16/07/22ASouth West Metro Pirates107-83
09/07/22HSuncoast Clippers100-87
08/07/22AUSC Rip City76-85
02/07/22HTownsville Heat93-86
26/06/22HDarwin Salties100-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game98.5109.088.0
Allowed / game106.0113.099.0
Point differential-7.5-4.0-11.0
Avg total204.5222.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors220100%94.077.0+17.0
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix220100%93.577.5+16.0
3 Ipswich Force220100%93.580.5+13.0
4 Northside Wizards43175%89.590.2-0.8
5 Townsville Heat32167%88.784.7+4.0
6 Logan Thunder21150%89.583.5+6.0
7 Darwin Salties21150%94.589.5+5.0
8 North Gold Coast Seahawks21150%81.580.5+1.0
9 Red City Roar21150%82.082.0+0.0
10 Gold Coast Rollers21150%90.594.0-3.5
11 USC Rip City21150%90.594.5-4.0
12 Cairns Marlins21150%80.093.0-13.0
13 Brisbane Capitals2020%98.5106.0-7.5
14 Rockhampton Rockets2020%96.0104.5-8.5
15 Southern District3030%82.391.7-9.3
16 South West Metro Pirates2020%81.093.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins1822321991
Brisbane Capitals2221261786
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