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Cairns Marlins vs Southern District Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 70-98
19-22 30-18 12-27 9-31
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#7
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Southern District
14 Jun 2025
CAIR90
SOUT104
06 May 2023
CAIR70
SOUT98
11 Jun 2021
CAIR85
SOUT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#12
W
116-68
116
68
+48
H06/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
H13/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A20/08
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A26/03
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A01/04
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H14/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A21/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A22/04
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A23/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H28/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
21-17
32-11
37-21
16-23
31-23
17-24
17-11
17-23
15-17
21-21
10-29
25-25
20-23
12-22
13-29
18-28
15-24
24-22
33-13
18-22
22-21
32-26
19-17
25-30
18-18
23-15
16-34
25-22
14-24
25-26
26-26
16-23
17-16
25-20
16-16
20-25
31-25
19-10
20-13
172.4Avg total
86.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.987.9171.7-4.043%
Season at home (2)90.579.5170.0+11.0100%
Season away (5)81.291.2172.4-10.020%
Last 10 (10)86.086.4172.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.485.8171.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.885.2171.0+0.750%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.989.9176.8-2.950%
vs Weaker (6)101.382.0183.3+19.367%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H24/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A30/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
106-91
106
91
+15
H06/08
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A25/03
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H01/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H14/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A15/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H23/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
82-101
82
101
-19
H29/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A05/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
33-21
22-32
20-14
24-28
21-27
26-18
11-26
26-25
35-28
25-15
20-23
24-25
27-22
18-25
20-30
16-31
17-21
21-15
19-19
18-23
23-19
27-25
17-20
–
–
–
–
20-28
25-22
21-31
24-19
27-32
19-23
9-23
27-23
22-21
24-14
17-29
29-20
177.6Avg total
87.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.189.6174.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)82.593.5176.0-11.00%
Season away (3)88.784.3173.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)87.490.2177.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)86.887.8174.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)85.4102.2187.6-16.818%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.985.4174.3+3.443%
vs Weaker (1)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Cairns MarlinsSouthern District
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/08
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/08
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/08
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A26/03
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A01/04
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A21/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A22/04
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/04
NBL1 North
85.8Avg total
41.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.686.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.941.888.7+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)40.643.383.9-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.885.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.844.887.7-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.343.085.3-0.739%-
vs Weaker (6)47.239.386.5+7.883%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A30/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H06/08
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A25/03
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H01/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/04
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H29/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/05
NBL1 North
93.8Avg total
46.2Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.551.795.2-8.231%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.251.895.0-8.625%-
Last 30 away (13)43.951.595.5-7.638%-
Last 10 (9)46.247.693.8-1.344%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.889.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)43.454.597.9-11.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.544.287.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cairns Marlins wins
1
Southern District wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23HDarwin Salties90-73
23/04/23ASouth West Metro Pirates74-75
22/04/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks90-98
21/04/23AGold Coast Rollers82-97
14/04/23HBrisbane Capitals91-86
01/04/23ADarwin Salties90-87
26/03/23ATownsville Heat70-99
20/08/22AUSC Rip City63-90
13/08/22HIpswich Force94-91 OT
06/08/22HTownsville Heat116-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23ATownsville Heat92-84
29/04/23HGold Coast Rollers82-101
23/04/23HMackay Meteors90-100
15/04/23ASunshine Coast Phoenix85-67
14/04/23HNorthside Wizards85-87
01/04/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix73-86
25/03/23ADarwin Salties89-102
06/08/22HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks106-91
30/07/22ANorthside Wizards82-99
24/07/22HCairns Marlins90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game83.990.581.2
Allowed / game87.979.591.2
Point differential-4.0+11.0-10.0
Avg total171.7170.0172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern District
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%0%67%
Points / game85.182.588.7
Allowed / game89.693.584.3
Point differential-4.4-11.0+4.3
Avg total174.7176.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ipswich Force660100%93.884.7+9.2
2 Logan Thunder76186%97.184.7+12.4
3 Gold Coast Rollers86275%98.987.6+11.2
4 Mackay Meteors75271%93.387.1+6.1
5 Northside Wizards75271%88.789.9-1.1
6 Darwin Salties53260%93.690.0+3.6
7 USC Rip City63350%92.288.0+4.2
8 Sunshine Coast Phoenix63350%82.584.3-1.8
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks63350%82.885.0-2.2
10 South West Metro Pirates73443%85.382.7+2.6
11 Cairns Marlins73443%83.987.9-4.0
12 Townsville Heat93633%87.891.6-3.8
13 Southern District72529%85.189.6-4.4
14 Red City Roar72529%83.092.4-9.4
15 Brisbane Capitals61517%91.796.8-5.2
16 Rockhampton Rockets7070%86.3102.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins193012970
Southern District2218273198
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