Cairns vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 87-78

21-23 21-17 18-18 27-20

Position#4

Record4-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game77.1

Cairns 🏆

Gold Coast

Position#3

Record4-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game82.6

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Cairns v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

85-81 OT

H24/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-71

-18

A29/04

NBL

Townsville

81-76

H08/10

NBL

Townsville

67-95

-28

A14/10

NBL

Gold Coast

91-82

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

64-69

-5

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

63-80

-17

A06/11

NBL

Perth

64-70

-6

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

85-67

+18

A17/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-78

H20/11

NBL

14-12

19-18

12-15

16-16

15-17

15-20

8-14

19-15

21-25

26-13

15-23

22-29

18-21

12-19

15-26

18-17

26-30

23-19

24-16

18-21

18-17

11-17

17-14

9-26

14-19

16-19

24-16

15-17

14-13

16-19

19-21

26-17

17-15

23-14

19-22

21-18

16-24

24-14

150.2Avg total

73.3Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.4	77.1	151.5	-2.8	50%
Season at home (4)	72.2	73.2	145.5	-1.0	50%
Season away (4)	76.5	81.0	157.5	-4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	76.9	150.2	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	72.8	144.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	77.0	80.0	157.0	-3.0	60%
vs Similar (18)	76.2	77.7	153.9	-1.6	44%
vs Weaker (7)	76.0	73.9	149.9	+2.1	43%

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

82-81

A20/03

NBL

Adelaide

101-102 OT

101

102

-1

H25/03

NBL

Sydney

96-79

+17

A01/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-102

102

-15

H07/10

NBL

Cairns

82-91

-9

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-58

+25

A21/10

NBL

Townsville

70-78

-8

A29/10

NBL

Perth

107-92

107

+15

H12/11

NBL

Townsville

87-75

+12

H19/11

NBL

Adelaide

95-82

+13

A26/11

NBL

19-27

30-18

13-21

20-15

19-24

31-34

20-12

27-27

31-19

24-29

22-20

19-11

23-24

21-22

23-22

20-34

17-18

30-26

19-23

16-24

20-8

19-13

21-17

23-20

18-19

16-20

19-22

17-17

23-26

32-23

33-26

19-17

22-16

23-22

22-19

20-18

27-22

24-21

16-17

28-22

173.0Avg total

89.0Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.3	82.6	169.9	+4.7	57%
Season at home (4)	90.8	90.0	180.8	+0.8	50%
Season away (3)	82.7	72.7	155.3	+10.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	84.0	173.0	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	77.0	165.4	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	92.4	97.0	189.4	-4.6	43%
vs Similar (20)	84.0	83.1	167.1	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	86.7	77.0	163.7	+9.7	67%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.7	36.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.4	37.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.7	26.4	50.1	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.7	21.2	44.0	+1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.9	38.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	17.2	37.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.6	43.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.7	45.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	22.8	47.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.6	25.9	49.4	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	24.3	20.0	44.3	+4.3	100%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

33-30

H24/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

30-37

-7

A29/04

NBL

Townsville

40-40

H08/10

NBL

Townsville

40-50

-10

A14/10

NBL

Gold Coast

44-47

-3

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-38

-2

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

23-45

-22

A06/11

NBL

Perth

29-30

-1

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

45-38

A17/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-40

H20/11

NBL

75.5Avg total

36.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	33.0	73.2	+7.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.5	41.4	76.9	-5.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.5	75.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.2	72.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	34.8	38.6	73.4	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	71%	-

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

49-45

A20/03

NBL

Adelaide

50-58

-8

H25/03

NBL

Sydney

55-48

A01/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-46

-2

H07/10

NBL

Cairns

47-44

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-21

+18

A21/10

NBL

Townsville

34-39

-5

A29/10

NBL

Perth

55-49

H12/11

NBL

Townsville

45-38

H19/11

NBL

Adelaide

51-43

A26/11

NBL

90.0Avg total

46.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	43.5	87.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	44.3	89.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	42.7	85.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	43.1	90.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.0	82.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	47.3	52.3	99.6	-5.0	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	43.0	41.5	84.5	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	45.7	36.0	81.7	+9.7	100%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.2	37.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.2	19.2	37.3	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.6	17.6	34.1	-1.0	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.1	22.1	45.3	+1.0	57%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	15.8	37.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.8	20.9	40.6	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.1	37.2	72.2	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	35.4	70.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	34.6	71.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.0	36.4	72.4	-0.4	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.0	81.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	42.3	86.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	39.7	77.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.4	82.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.0	82.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	43.1	41.6	84.7	+1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/11	Gold Coast v Cairns	82-91
19/01/11	Gold Coast v Cairns	90-85
07/01/11	Cairns v Gold Coast	86-82
13/11/10	Cairns v Gold Coast	96-76
29/10/10	Gold Coast v Cairns	92-81
09/01/10	Cairns v Gold Coast	66-79
04/12/09	Gold Coast v Cairns	69-68
23/10/09	Gold Coast v Cairns	80-63
07/10/09	Cairns v Gold Coast	83-66

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-78
17/11/11	A	Sydney	85-67
13/11/11	H	Perth	64-70
06/11/11	A	Melbourne United	63-80
28/10/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	64-69
16/10/11	A	Gold Coast	91-82
14/10/11	A	Townsville	67-95
08/10/11	H	Townsville	81-76
29/04/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	53-71
24/04/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-81 OT

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/11	A	Adelaide	95-82
19/11/11	H	Townsville	87-75
12/11/11	H	Perth	107-92
29/10/11	A	Townsville	70-78
21/10/11	A	Illawarra Hawks	83-58
16/10/11	H	Cairns	82-91
07/10/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-102
01/04/11	A	Sydney	96-79
25/03/11	H	Adelaide	101-102 OT
20/03/11	A	Melbourne United	82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	74.4	72.2	76.5
Allowed / game	77.1	73.2	81.0
Point differential	-2.8	-1.0	-4.5
Avg total	151.5	145.5	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gold Coast

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	57%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	50%	67%
Points / game	87.3	90.8	82.7
Allowed / game	82.6	90.0	72.7
Point differential	+4.7	+0.8	+10.0
Avg total	169.9	180.8	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	10	7	3	70%	87.4	77.9	+9.5
2	Perth	10	7	3	70%	89.9	82.1	+7.8
3	Gold Coast	7	4	3	57%	87.3	82.6	+4.7
4	Melbourne United	11	6	5	55%	83.9	83.1	+0.8
5	Cairns	8	4	4	50%	74.4	77.1	-2.8
6	Townsville	7	3	4	43%	82.6	82.0	+0.6
7	Sydney	10	4	6	40%	82.2	88.2	-6.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	9	3	6	33%	76.8	83.0	-6.2
9	Adelaide	8	2	6	25%	87.5	97.6	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	21	21	18	27	87
Gold Coast	23	17	18	20	78

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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