Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 80-78

19-22 21-18 16-24 24-14

Position#4

Record3-4

FormWLLLW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game77.0

Cairns 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#1

Record5-2

FormWLWWL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game75.3

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Cairns v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

67-85

-18

A20/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-81 OT

H24/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-71

-18

A29/04

NBL

Townsville

81-76

H08/10

NBL

Townsville

67-95

-28

A14/10

NBL

Gold Coast

91-82

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

64-69

-5

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

63-80

-17

A06/11

NBL

Perth

64-70

-6

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

85-67

+18

A17/11

NBL

14-17

13-24

25-29

15-15

14-12

19-18

12-15

16-16

15-17

15-20

8-14

19-15

21-25

26-13

15-23

22-29

18-21

12-19

15-26

18-17

26-30

23-19

24-16

18-21

18-17

11-17

17-14

9-26

14-19

16-19

24-16

15-17

14-13

16-19

19-21

26-17

17-15

23-14

149.6Avg total

72.0Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	73.6	77.0	150.6	-3.4	43%
Season at home (3)	69.7	71.7	141.3	-2.0	33%
Season away (4)	76.5	81.0	157.5	-4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	77.6	149.6	-5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	73.6	147.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	76.2	80.5	156.8	-4.2	50%
vs Similar (19)	76.7	77.9	154.6	-1.3	47%
vs Weaker (7)	76.0	73.9	149.9	+2.1	43%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

85-67

+18

H20/04

NBL

Cairns

81-85 OT

-4

A24/04

NBL

Cairns

71-53

+18

H29/04

NBL

Gold Coast

102-87

102

+15

A07/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-82

+16

A09/10

NBL

Sydney

98-61

+37

A15/10

NBL

Melbourne United

64-67

-3

A22/10

NBL

Sydney

76-59

+17

H28/10

NBL

Adelaide

99-90

H03/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

63-81

-18

H11/11

NBL

17-14

24-13

29-25

15-15

12-14

18-19

15-12

16-16

17-15

20-15

14-8

24-23

22-21

22-23

34-20

28-14

15-19

15-25

40-24

26-15

23-7

23-18

26-21

14-16

16-19

19-18

15-14

20-8

14-18

17-15

25-18

30-18

33-23

15-21

21-28

24-21

12-20

17-17

10-23

156.9Avg total

83.7Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	85.7	75.3	161.0	+10.4	71%
Season at home (3)	79.3	76.7	156.0	+2.7	67%
Season away (4)	90.5	74.2	164.8	+16.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	73.2	156.9	+10.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	71.6	151.6	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	84.0	83.1	167.1	+0.9	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	90.8	80.9	171.7	+9.9	80%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	16.2	36.6	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.2	35.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	16.5	33.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	37%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.6	38.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.9	21.3	46.3	+3.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	21.8	38.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.4	40.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	60%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

27-41

-14

A20/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

33-30

H24/04

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

30-37

-7

A29/04

NBL

Townsville

40-40

H08/10

NBL

Townsville

40-50

-10

A14/10

NBL

Gold Coast

44-47

-3

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-38

-2

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

23-45

-22

A06/11

NBL

Perth

29-30

-1

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

45-38

A17/11

NBL

74.3Avg total

34.7Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.3	75.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.8	33.7	74.4	+7.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.5	41.4	76.9	-5.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	39.6	74.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	39.6	75.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.5	38.2	71.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	71%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

41-27

+14

H20/04

NBL

Cairns

30-33

-3

A24/04

NBL

Cairns

37-30

H29/04

NBL

Gold Coast

46-44

A07/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-33

+10

A09/10

NBL

Sydney

49-22

+27

A15/10

NBL

Melbourne United

30-35

-5

A22/10

NBL

Sydney

34-26

H28/10

NBL

Adelaide

63-41

+22

H03/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-41

-5

H11/11

NBL

74.1Avg total

40.9Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	41.2	86.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	40.4	86.2	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	42.1	85.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	33.2	74.1	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	33.0	75.4	+9.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	41.9	42.1	83.9	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	47.7	40.3	88.1	+7.4	73%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.8	36.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.5	35.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.6	17.6	34.1	-1.0	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.9	38.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.6	39.4	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.3	19.5	40.7	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.7	75.2	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.1	36.8	71.9	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	36.0	70.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	34.0	72.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.5	39.8	79.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.5	37.8	75.3	-0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.0	36.4	72.4	-0.4	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.5	80.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	38.4	78.1	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	40.8	83.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/11	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	71-53
24/04/11	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	85-81 OT
20/04/11	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	85-67
30/01/11	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	74-77
13/01/11	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	94-88
09/12/10	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	93-79
13/02/10	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	79-84
26/11/09	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	94-77
18/11/09	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	77-64
24/09/09	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	95-75

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/11	A	Sydney	85-67
13/11/11	H	Perth	64-70
06/11/11	A	Melbourne United	63-80
28/10/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	64-69
16/10/11	A	Gold Coast	91-82
14/10/11	A	Townsville	67-95
08/10/11	H	Townsville	81-76
29/04/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	53-71
24/04/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-81 OT
20/04/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	67-85

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	63-81
03/11/11	H	Adelaide	99-90
28/10/11	H	Sydney	76-59
22/10/11	A	Melbourne United	64-67
15/10/11	A	Sydney	98-61
09/10/11	A	Illawarra Hawks	98-82
07/10/11	A	Gold Coast	102-87
29/04/11	H	Cairns	71-53
24/04/11	A	Cairns	81-85 OT
20/04/11	H	Cairns	85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	43%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	43%	33%	50%
Points / game	73.6	69.7	76.5
Allowed / game	77.0	71.7	81.0
Point differential	-3.4	-2.0	-4.5
Avg total	150.6	141.3	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	71%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	85.7	79.3	90.5
Allowed / game	75.3	76.7	74.2
Point differential	+10.4	+2.7	+16.2
Avg total	161.0	156.0	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	33%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	7	5	2	71%	85.7	75.3	+10.4
2	Melbourne United	9	6	3	67%	82.8	79.7	+3.1
3	Perth	8	5	3	62%	88.8	82.4	+6.4
4	Gold Coast	6	3	3	50%	86.0	82.7	+3.3
5	Townsville	6	3	3	50%	84.0	81.0	+3.0
6	Cairns	7	3	4	43%	73.6	77.0	-3.4
7	Illawarra Hawks	8	3	5	38%	77.6	82.6	-5.0
8	Sydney	8	3	5	38%	80.1	87.4	-7.2
9	Adelaide	7	2	5	29%	88.3	98.0	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	19	21	16	24	80
New Zealand Breakers	22	18	24	14	78

← all games of the day

Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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