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Cairns vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 92-84
26-22 11-21 32-19 23-22
Position#3
Record9-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game90.7
Cairns 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#8
Record8-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game99.1
AustraliaNBL
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CairnsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H16/11
NBL
Perth
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H23/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
106-114 OT
106
114
-8
A25/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-90
108
90
+18
H06/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
109-98
109
98
+11
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H12/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
A15/12
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A26/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-19
27-18
18-28
21-21
19-29
20-20
31-14
23-29
24-30
24-20
28-20
20-26
27-18
22-13
24-29
31-22
30-22
20-27
27-19
30-19
19-24
25-20
35-35
21-24
30-23
18-16
15-25
28-30
18-21
30-20
19-24
31-17
26-27
17-21
20-21
20-9
26-21
17-23
14-22
187.9Avg total
96.1Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.090.7182.7+1.350%
Season at home (9)90.787.1177.8+3.667%
Season away (9)93.394.2187.6-0.933%
Last 10 (10)96.191.8187.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)93.891.8185.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.391.6178.9-4.340%
vs Similar (14)89.487.2176.6+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.8100.5197.3-3.717%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#6
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
91-103
91
103
-12
H18/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H23/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
110-95
110
95
+15
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#2
L
98-108
98
108
-10
H08/12
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
111-113
111
113
-2
A13/12
NBL
Cairns
#3
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A23/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
112-102
112
102
+10
H28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
22-21
19-21
23-28
24-26
14-24
28-21
25-32
19-25
18-30
28-12
21-23
35-31
18-30
31-18
26-16
28-30
23-16
23-31
24-31
22-31
26-20
28-35
35-27
30-28
21-18
20-30
24-19
22-24
22-26
19-26
21-14
27-29
20-30
24-29
27-22
29-27
29-31
33-23
21-21
200.9Avg total
99.7Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)99.399.1198.4+0.247%
Season at home (10)102.098.2200.2+3.860%
Season away (7)95.4100.3195.7-4.929%
Last 10 (10)99.7101.2200.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)103.4104.0207.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)97.297.8195.0-0.542%
vs Similar (3)101.0102.3203.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (2)109.0102.0211.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Cairns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
CairnsSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/11
NBL
Perth
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A25/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H06/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H12/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/12
NBL
Adelaide
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A26/12
NBL
94.4Avg total
49.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.591.6+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.744.591.2+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)45.646.492.0-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)49.345.194.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.092.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.444.388.7+0.140%-
vs Similar (14)46.644.190.6+2.571%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.851.098.8-3.233%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H18/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H23/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H08/12
NBL
Adelaide
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A13/12
NBL
Cairns
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A23/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H28/12
NBL
100.3Avg total
48.0Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)47.251.498.6-4.135%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.450.497.8-3.040%-
Last 30 away (7)47.052.799.7-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)48.052.3100.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)49.652.8102.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)46.651.598.1-4.942%-
vs Similar (3)44.350.394.7-6.00%-
vs Weaker (2)55.552.0107.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Cairns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cairns wins
1
South East Melbourne wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19South East Melbourne v Cairns112-105 OT
Cairnslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19AMelbourne United77-75
22/12/19HAdelaide94-86
15/12/19ASouth East Melbourne105-112 OT
12/12/19HPerth84-88
08/12/19ASydney109-98
06/12/19HNew Zealand Breakers108-90
29/11/19HMelbourne United93-86
25/11/19AIllawarra Hawks106-114 OT
23/11/19HPerth91-84
16/11/19HBrisbane Bullets94-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/19HIllawarra Hawks112-102
23/12/19ASydney98-110
20/12/19ANew Zealand Breakers84-90
15/12/19HCairns112-105 OT
13/12/19AAdelaide111-113
08/12/19HPerth98-108
30/11/19ABrisbane Bullets110-95
23/11/19HSydney86-90
18/11/19HAdelaide91-103
16/11/19AMelbourne United95-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game92.090.793.3
Allowed / game90.787.194.2
Point differential+1.3+3.6-0.9
Avg total182.7177.8187.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%60%29%
Points / game99.3102.095.4
Allowed / game99.198.2100.3
Point differential+0.2+3.8-4.9
Avg total198.4200.2195.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney1913668%93.488.8+4.6
2 Perth1913668%90.387.2+3.1
3 Melbourne United1910953%96.393.4+2.9
4 Cairns189950%92.090.7+1.3
5 South East Melbourne178947%99.399.1+0.2
6 New Zealand Breakers1881044%90.892.0-1.2
7 Brisbane Bullets1881044%90.892.9-2.1
8 Adelaide1881044%96.599.1-2.6
9 Illawarra Hawks1851328%87.394.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns2611322392
South East Melbourne2221192284
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