Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 91-84

21-21 19-29 20-20 31-14

Position#3

Record3-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game88.8

Cairns 🏆

Perth

Position#2

Record8-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game90.3

Allowed / game87.1

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Cairns v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

84-89

-5

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

71-79

-8

H04/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-90

-16

A11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-89

-1

A14/10

NBL

Perth

99-76

+23

A18/10

NBL

Adelaide

97-101

101

-4

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

90-85

H28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-93

-8

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-101

101

-10

H09/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-85

H16/11

NBL

22-29

21-18

22-19

19-23

20-13

21-24

22-20

8-22

24-21

25-24

14-31

11-14

23-18

20-20

17-28

28-23

24-22

22-22

28-16

25-16

30-22

19-33

20-29

28-17

19-31

22-14

26-21

23-19

11-22

23-23

23-17

28-31

21-22

24-37

23-19

23-23

24-20

25-19

27-18

18-28

176.1Avg total

87.3Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.7	88.8	176.4	-1.1	33%
Season at home (4)	86.5	87.5	174.0	-1.0	50%
Season away (5)	88.6	89.8	178.4	-1.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	88.8	176.1	-1.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	93.0	184.4	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	85.6	90.9	176.5	-5.4	28%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.9	88.3	174.2	-2.4	33%
vs Weaker (3)	92.0	97.0	189.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

103-76

103

+27

H11/10

NBL

Cairns

76-99

-23

H18/10

NBL

Melbourne United

95-93

A20/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

110-79

110

+31

H25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-76

A27/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

78-87

-9

A01/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-79

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

85-104

104

-19

A10/11

NBL

Adelaide

99-95

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-77

+11

H17/11

NBL

28-22

27-20

29-14

19-20

22-24

22-22

16-28

16-25

19-22

23-22

27-21

26-28

26-13

32-22

25-24

27-20

24-30

19-14

19-18

16-17

22-24

18-22

15-20

20-21

31-21

18-17

20-20

26-29

18-30

21-25

22-25

23-21

31-25

23-24

20-19

27-16

20-27

21-15

176.4Avg total

89.9Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	90.3	87.1	177.4	+3.2	73%
Season at home (5)	94.2	84.8	179.0	+9.4	80%
Season away (6)	87.0	89.0	176.0	-2.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.9	86.5	176.4	+3.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	88.4	175.2	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	84.8	85.1	169.8	-0.3	62%
vs Weaker (17)	91.1	82.4	173.5	+8.7	71%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	24.7	47.6	-1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.9	22.8	44.8	-0.9	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	23.7	44.3	-3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	20.7	45.3	+4.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.9	44.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.7	44.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.4	45.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	25.2	47.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.2	22.2	43.3	-1.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.7	21.7	45.3	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.9	42.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	71%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

43-47

-4

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

41-37

H04/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-45

A11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-38

A14/10

NBL

Perth

46-44

A18/10

NBL

Adelaide

49-55

-6

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-45

-4

H28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-45

-11

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-59

-14

H09/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-39

+10

H16/11

NBL

89.4Avg total

44.0Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	45.7	89.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	43.9	86.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	47.4	92.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	45.4	89.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	48.6	92.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	43.1	45.0	88.1	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	44.3	45.3	89.7	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	50.7	96.3	-5.0	33%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

55-42

+13

H11/10

NBL

Cairns

44-46

-2

H18/10

NBL

Melbourne United

42-44

-2

A20/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

58-35

+23

H25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-44

-1

A27/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-41

-3

A01/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-41

-6

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

46-49

-3

A10/11

NBL

Adelaide

45-46

-1

A15/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-35

+12

H17/11

NBL

87.6Avg total

45.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	41.9	86.3	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	42.0	86.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	41.8	86.5	+3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	42.3	87.6	+3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.4	84.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	46.4	42.5	88.9	+3.9	65%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.0	42.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.4	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	19.5	43.9	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	25.4	49.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.7	44.3	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	21.0	47.3	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.6	42.4	-2.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.6	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	43.8	85.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	45.7	87.3	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	43.4	86.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	44.4	92.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.7	43.8	84.6	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.3	46.3	92.7	+0.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.9	37.6	84.4	+9.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	43.9	84.0	-3.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	44.2	88.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	46.0	90.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.7	43.0	85.7	-0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.6	39.4	83.1	+4.2	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/19	Perth v Cairns	76-99
11/01/19	Perth v Cairns	79-81
31/12/18	Cairns v Perth	78-93
09/12/18	Perth v Cairns	94-72
17/11/18	Cairns v Perth	83-88 OT
18/02/18	Perth v Cairns	89-61
09/02/18	Perth v Cairns	83-85
31/12/17	Cairns v Perth	68-83
22/10/17	Cairns v Perth	90-69
25/01/16	Perth v Cairns	84-74

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	94-85
09/11/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-101
31/10/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-93
28/10/19	H	Melbourne United	90-85
25/10/19	A	Adelaide	97-101
18/10/19	A	Perth	99-76
14/10/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-89
11/10/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	74-90
04/10/19	H	Sydney	71-79
16/02/19	A	Sydney	84-89

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-77
15/11/19	A	Adelaide	99-95
10/11/19	A	Sydney	85-104
03/11/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-79
01/11/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	78-87
27/10/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	81-76
25/10/19	H	South East Melbourne	110-79
20/10/19	A	Melbourne United	95-93
18/10/19	H	Cairns	76-99
11/10/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	33%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	33%	50%	20%
Points / game	87.7	86.5	88.6
Allowed / game	88.8	87.5	89.8
Point differential	-1.1	-1.0	-1.2
Avg total	176.4	174.0	178.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	73%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	80%	67%
Points / game	90.3	94.2	87.0
Allowed / game	87.1	84.8	89.0
Point differential	+3.2	+9.4	-2.0
Avg total	177.4	179.0	176.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	11	10	1	91%	93.6	84.8	+8.8
2	Perth	11	8	3	73%	90.3	87.1	+3.2
3	Melbourne United	10	6	4	60%	98.9	95.6	+3.3
4	South East Melbourne	10	5	5	50%	96.3	96.1	+0.2
5	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	50%	89.6	90.6	-1.0
6	Adelaide	10	4	6	40%	96.2	99.3	-3.1
7	Cairns	9	3	6	33%	87.7	88.8	-1.1
8	New Zealand Breakers	9	2	7	22%	87.3	90.2	-2.9
9	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	20%	84.5	93.5	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	21	19	20	31	91
Perth	21	29	20	14	84

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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