Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 108-90

31-22 30-22 20-27 27-19

Position#3

Record5-7

FormLWWLW

Points / game89.9

Allowed / game90.2

Cairns 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#5

Record3-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game91.6

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Cairns v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

88-89

-1

A14/10

NBL

Perth

99-76

+23

A18/10

NBL

Adelaide

97-101

101

-4

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

90-85

H28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-93

-8

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-101

101

-10

H09/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-85

H16/11

NBL

Perth

91-84

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

106-114 OT

106

114

-8

A25/11

NBL

Melbourne United

93-86

H29/11

NBL

23-18

20-20

17-28

28-23

24-22

22-22

28-16

25-16

30-22

19-33

20-29

28-17

19-31

22-14

26-21

23-19

11-22

23-23

23-17

28-31

21-22

24-37

23-19

23-23

24-20

25-19

27-18

18-28

21-21

19-29

20-20

31-14

23-29

24-30

24-20

28-20

20-26

27-18

22-13

24-29

184.8Avg total

93.4Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.9	90.2	180.2	-0.3	42%
Season at home (6)	88.3	86.7	175.0	+1.7	67%
Season away (6)	91.5	93.8	185.3	-2.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	93.4	91.4	184.8	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	94.0	189.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	85.1	90.0	175.1	-4.9	31%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	87.3	87.0	174.3	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (4)	95.5	101.2	196.8	-5.8	0%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

66-76

-10

H20/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

103-72

103

+31

H24/10

NBL

Melbourne United

98-104

104

-6

A26/10

NBL

Cairns

93-85

H31/10

NBL

Perth

79-84

-5

H03/11

NBL

Melbourne United

101-104

101

104

-3

H07/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

78-103

103

-25

A09/11

NBL

Perth

77-88

-11

A17/11

NBL

Adelaide

100-117

100

117

-17

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-79

+12

H30/11

NBL

21-25

24-15

13-17

8-19

30-18

24-19

28-18

21-17

30-22

28-29

23-27

17-26

22-11

23-23

17-23

31-28

20-15

21-20

21-31

17-18

27-27

26-24

14-33

34-20

17-18

31-24

14-29

16-32

19-20

16-27

27-20

15-21

28-29

15-31

26-30

31-27

28-19

22-19

19-21

22-20

179.8Avg total

88.6Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.8	91.6	180.5	-2.8	27%
Season at home (6)	88.8	83.3	172.2	+5.5	50%
Season away (5)	88.8	101.6	190.4	-12.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	91.2	179.8	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	98.2	187.6	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	92.0	91.0	183.0	+1.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	90.8	95.3	186.1	-4.6	19%
vs Weaker (11)	99.1	93.1	192.2	+6.0	64%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	25.1	47.6	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.6	23.4	44.9	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	22.0	47.0	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	21.4	46.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.2	22.5	47.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.4	22.9	47.3	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.5	20.9	47.5	+5.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	26.6	50.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.4	21.6	43.1	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	30.0	51.8	-8.2	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	24.1	46.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	24.7	46.7	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.1	46.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	23.7	45.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	24.8	45.8	-3.7	19%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	23.2	47.7	+1.4	73%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

43-38

A14/10

NBL

Perth

46-44

A18/10

NBL

Adelaide

49-55

-6

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-45

-4

H28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-45

-11

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-59

-14

H09/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-39

+10

H16/11

NBL

Perth

40-50

-10

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-59

-12

A25/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-44

H29/11

NBL

91.9Avg total

44.1Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	46.1	90.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	44.5	87.8	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	47.7	92.3	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	47.8	91.9	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	50.2	95.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	43.0	45.0	88.0	-2.0	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.5	45.3	89.8	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.0	52.8	98.8	-6.8	25%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

45-40

H20/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-37

+17

H24/10

NBL

Melbourne United

58-51

A26/10

NBL

Cairns

45-34

+11

H31/10

NBL

Perth

41-35

H03/11

NBL

Melbourne United

53-51

H07/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

48-42

A09/11

NBL

Perth

35-47

-12

A17/11

NBL

Adelaide

43-60

-17

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-38

+12

H30/11

NBL

90.7Avg total

47.2Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	46.0	93.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.8	44.8	92.6	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.1	47.3	94.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	43.5	90.7	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	47.6	93.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.0	44.3	89.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	45.4	47.7	93.1	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	51.1	44.1	95.2	+7.0	91%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.5	45.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	24.5	47.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	24.9	45.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.6	46.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	23.9	44.6	-3.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.4	23.9	48.3	+0.5	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.5	44.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	22.0	47.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.8	47.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.8	20.8	47.5	+6.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.8	21.8	47.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	24.3	45.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.3	22.8	47.1	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	43.0	85.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	44.7	86.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	42.1	90.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	40.8	88.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.7	43.4	84.1	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.8	41.7	84.5	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	44.8	92.5	+3.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	46.6	92.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	44.3	91.6	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	48.8	93.0	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	47.7	89.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	50.6	94.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	44.9	46.7	91.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.4	47.6	95.0	-0.3	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
31/10/19	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	93-85
24/01/19	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	113-106
21/01/19	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	106-98 OT
16/12/18	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	78-89
09/11/18	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	104-81
20/01/18	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	81-71
07/01/18	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	82-69
04/11/17	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	70-73
08/10/17	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	71-82
07/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	85-74

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/19	H	Melbourne United	93-86
25/11/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	106-114 OT
23/11/19	H	Perth	91-84
16/11/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	94-85
09/11/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-101
31/10/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-93
28/10/19	H	Melbourne United	90-85
25/10/19	A	Adelaide	97-101
18/10/19	A	Perth	99-76
14/10/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-89

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-79
24/11/19	A	Adelaide	100-117
17/11/19	A	Perth	77-88
09/11/19	A	South East Melbourne	78-103
07/11/19	H	Melbourne United	101-104
03/11/19	H	Perth	79-84
31/10/19	H	Cairns	93-85
26/10/19	A	Melbourne United	98-104
24/10/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-72
20/10/19	H	Sydney	66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	42%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	LWLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	42%	67%	17%
Points / game	89.9	88.3	91.5
Allowed / game	90.2	86.7	93.8
Point differential	-0.3	+1.7	-2.3
Avg total	180.2	175.0	185.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	27%
Home	WWLLW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	50%	0%
Points / game	88.8	88.8	88.8
Allowed / game	91.6	83.3	101.6
Point differential	-2.8	+5.5	-12.8
Avg total	180.5	172.2	190.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	12	11	1	92%	95.1	86.2	+8.9
2	Perth	13	8	5	62%	89.6	88.3	+1.3
3	South East Melbourne	11	6	5	55%	97.5	96.0	+1.5
4	Melbourne United	13	7	6	54%	98.8	96.5	+2.3
5	Adelaide	12	6	6	50%	98.2	98.4	-0.2
6	Cairns	12	5	7	42%	89.9	90.2	-0.3
7	Brisbane Bullets	12	5	7	42%	90.4	93.7	-3.2
8	New Zealand Breakers	11	3	8	27%	88.8	91.6	-2.8
9	Illawarra Hawks	12	3	9	25%	86.5	94.3	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	31	30	20	27	108
New Zealand Breakers	22	22	27	19	90

← all games of the day

Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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