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Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 82-89
37-38 45-51
Position#364
Record4-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#140
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cal Poly v Long Beach State
07 Jan 2027
CAL v LONG
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
CAL 102
LONG92
25 Jan 2025
CAL 78
LONG69
04 Jan 2024
CAL 82
LONG89
26 Jan 2023
CAL 52
LONG70
05 Feb 2020
CAL 92
LONG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
63-70 OT
63
70
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-35
35-38
26-26
32-41
30-38
39-31
30-43
40-42
28-25
21-24
22-42
28-36
23-26
30-36
35-21
31-32
35-46
38-37
27-33
19-38
133.6Avg total
61.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)64.372.7137.0-8.429%
Season at home (5)70.667.4138.0+3.260%
Season away (9)60.875.7136.4-14.911%
Last 10 (10)61.771.9133.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)57.669.4127.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)61.770.6132.3-8.915%
vs Similar (3)59.768.3128.0-8.70%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Life Pacific
#484
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H07/12
NCAA
USC
#249
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A10/12
NCAA
CSU D. H.
#479
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H20/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A29/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-32
28-29
40-41
40-35
43-40
39-52
30-34
45-35
43-39
40-34
50-34
38-32
30-45
44-29
62-42
45-36
38-32
43-39
37-43
31-41
154.9Avg total
80.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.076.7156.7+3.364%
Season at home (4)86.575.2161.8+11.275%
Season away (10)77.477.3154.7+0.160%
Last 10 (10)80.074.9154.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)85.675.6161.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.588.0172.5-3.550%
vs Similar (16)74.376.3150.6-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.174.5155.6+6.582%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
Cal PolyLong Beach State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/12
NCAA
61.3Avg total
27.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.732.461.1-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.632.261.8-2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)28.032.660.6-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)27.833.561.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.662.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)28.033.060.9-5.031%-
vs Similar (3)29.027.756.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Life Pacific
#484
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/12
NCAA
USC
#249
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A10/12
NCAA
CSU D. H.
#479
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H20/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/12
NCAA
77.9Avg total
39.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.074.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.835.776.5+5.275%-
Last 30 away (18)36.136.372.4-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.277.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.282.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.041.578.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (16)34.837.572.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.632.473.0+8.382%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
5
Long Beach State wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AUC Davis46-71
29/12/23HCS Northridge73-83
22/12/23HNebraska O.66-53
19/12/23HEast. Washington53-62
10/12/23AWeber State50-78
05/12/23AOregon State63-70 OT
02/12/23AIdaho70-85
30/11/23HSan Jose State81-77 OT
20/11/23ACalifornia Baptist58-67
18/11/23APortland State57-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HCS Northridge68-84
29/12/23ACS Fullerton81-71
20/12/23HCSU D. H.107-78
10/12/23AUSC84-79 OT
07/12/23HLife Pacific88-66
03/12/23HSacramento State83-73
26/11/23AMontana State75-69
22/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette82-92
21/11/23AIona80-76
20/11/23AIllinois State52-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%60%11%
Points / game64.370.660.8
Allowed / game72.767.475.7
Point differential-8.4+3.2-14.9
Avg total137.0138.0136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%20%11%
Long Beach State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %64%75%60%
Points / game80.086.577.4
Allowed / game76.775.277.3
Point differential+3.3+11.2+0.1
Avg total156.7161.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%75%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Northridge1411379%80.669.7+10.9
2 UC Irvine149564%78.567.3+11.2
3 Long Beach State149564%80.076.7+3.3
4 Hawaii127558%72.466.2+6.2
5 UC Santa Barbara127558%80.575.1+5.4
6 CS Fullerton148657%67.867.9-0.1
7 UC San Diego137654%76.567.8+8.6
8 UC Davis126650%70.967.4+3.5
9 UC Riverside146843%69.671.8-2.1
10 CSU Bakersfield135838%69.670.7-1.1
11 Cal Poly1441029%64.372.7-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly374582
Long Beach State385189
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