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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 71-46
33-27 38-19
Position#133
Record5-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#364
Record4-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UC Davis v Cal Poly
07 Feb 2026
UC D67
CAL 58
12 Mar 2025
UC D76
CAL 86
05 Dec 2024
UC D77
CAL 66
30 Dec 2023
UC D71
CAL 46
21 Jan 2023
UC D65
CAL 63
08 Mar 2022
UC D63
CAL 53
01 Feb 2020
UC D66
CAL 51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A16/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H20/12
NCAA
California Merced
#398
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H22/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
33-36
38-29
30-24
29-26
34-43
32-27
27-44
27-29
41-51
35-39
44-42
43-34
39-27
30-36
31-37
47-20
33-37
39-34
37-28
138.6Avg total
70.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.969.4140.3+1.545%
Season at home (7)72.367.6139.9+4.757%
Season away (4)68.572.5141.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)70.168.5138.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)75.666.8142.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.782.0157.7-6.30%
vs Similar (15)73.374.7148.1-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)70.260.9131.1+9.383%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
63-70 OT
63
70
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-22
30-38
22-35
35-38
26-26
32-41
30-38
39-31
30-43
40-42
28-25
21-24
22-42
28-36
23-26
30-36
35-21
31-32
35-46
38-37
134.0Avg total
63.2Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.772.8138.5-7.231%
Season at home (5)70.667.4138.0+3.260%
Season away (8)62.676.2138.9-13.612%
Last 10 (10)63.270.8134.0-7.630%
Last 5 (5)61.069.2130.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)62.270.8133.0-8.715%
vs Similar (3)59.768.3128.0-8.70%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -3.1-3.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -3.1-3.1
UC DavisCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H20/12
NCAA
California Merced
#398
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H22/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.765.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.632.867.4+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)31.332.663.9-1.323%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.666.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.671.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.036.767.7-5.70%-
vs Similar (15)33.735.469.1-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.128.361.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/12
NCAA
60.6Avg total
28.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.532.561.0-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.632.261.8-2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)27.632.860.5-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)28.232.460.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)28.632.060.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)27.733.160.8-5.331%-
vs Similar (3)29.027.756.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UC Davis wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Cal Poly v UC Davis52-58
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
02/02/20UC Davis v Cal Poly66-51
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HUC Santa Barbara76-62
22/12/23HCalifornia Merced80-57
20/12/23HMontana61-73
16/12/23APacific82-61
09/12/23HWisc. Milwaukee79-81
07/12/23ANevada68-80
01/12/23AOregon State59-71
27/11/23HSacramento State63-69
14/11/23HNorth Dakota St68-53
13/11/23AMontana65-78
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HCS Northridge73-83
22/12/23HNebraska O.66-53
19/12/23HEast. Washington53-62
10/12/23AWeber State50-78
05/12/23AOregon State63-70 OT
02/12/23AIdaho70-85
30/11/23HSan Jose State81-77 OT
20/11/23ACalifornia Baptist58-67
18/11/23APortland State57-73
18/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)61-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game70.972.368.5
Allowed / game69.467.672.5
Point differential+1.5+4.7-4.0
Avg total140.3139.9141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%60%12%
Points / game65.770.662.6
Allowed / game72.867.476.2
Point differential-7.2+3.2-13.6
Avg total138.5138.0138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %15%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Northridge1411379%80.669.7+10.9
2 Long Beach State149564%80.076.7+3.3
3 Hawaii117464%73.566.5+7.0
4 UC Santa Barbara117464%80.874.7+6.1
5 UC Irvine138562%78.868.2+10.6
6 UC San Diego137654%76.567.8+8.6
7 CS Fullerton137654%68.268.4-0.2
8 UC Davis115645%70.969.4+1.5
9 CSU Bakersfield125742%70.870.3+0.4
10 UC Riverside135838%68.971.4-2.5
11 Cal Poly134931%65.772.8-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis333871
Cal Poly271946
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