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California Baptist vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 77-79
32-45 45-34
Position#179
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#58
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
74-63 OT
74
63
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
28-34
21-41
26-27
28-30
32-30
26-43
31-38
34-43
49-35
42-42
46-42
37-30
32-40
47-40
43-37
28-40
40-39
41-32
38-36
145.1Avg total
71.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.576.0155.5+3.567%
Season at home (6)79.576.0155.5+3.567%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.273.9145.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)78.875.6154.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)62.970.4133.3-7.611%
vs Similar (16)70.669.5140.1+1.162%
vs Weaker (5)73.865.0138.8+8.860%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#250
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H07/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-30
0-0
43-35
0-0
29-33
0-0
41-41
0-0
33-32
0-0
27-43
0-0
49-40
0-0
43-61
0-0
51-28
0-0
45-34
0-0
51-29
0-0
51-44
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-33
0-0
33-36
0-0
37-45
0-0
51-46
0-0
59-23
0-0
38-33
0-0
41-51
160.4Avg total
84.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.772.8162.5+16.867%
Season at home (5)93.671.2164.8+22.480%
Season away (1)70.081.0151.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.076.4160.4+7.650%
Last 5 (5)88.475.0163.4+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)75.073.5148.5+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.569.6151.0+11.971%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
California BaptistSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
33.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.664.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.633.566.1-0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)29.633.663.2-4.023%-
Last 10 (10)33.337.871.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.234.964.1-5.733%-
vs Similar (16)31.733.465.1-1.838%-
vs Weaker (5)33.831.665.4+2.260%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#250
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.532.871.3+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.231.671.8+8.788%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.270.7+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.274.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.878.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.532.170.6+6.481%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California Baptist wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HEast. Washington79-68
21/11/24HNorthern Colorado68-79
16/11/24HLIU Sharks90-77
13/11/24HUC Riverside69-70
10/11/24HKennesaw State88-84
05/11/24HIncarnate Word83-78
15/03/24ASeattle57-81
14/03/24AUtah Valley State74-63 OT
10/03/24HGrand Canyon47-68
08/03/24AUT Arlington57-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
08/11/24HFlorida A&M102-73
05/11/24HTarleton96-62
20/03/24AIndiana State92-101
15/03/24HTemple60-75
10/03/24AUAB70-74
07/03/24HEast Carolina80-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game79.579.5-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+3.5+3.5-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%-
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game89.793.670.0
Allowed / game72.871.281.0
Point differential+16.8+22.4-11.0
Avg total162.5164.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah76186%84.068.6+15.4
2 Utah Valley State54180%81.268.6+12.6
3 California Baptist64267%79.576.0+3.5
4 Abilene Christian74357%79.373.0+6.3
5 UT Arlington62433%81.878.5+3.3
6 Utah Tech82625%68.174.5-6.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State550100%82.663.0+19.6
2 Florida State87188%79.164.0+15.1
3 Pittsburgh76186%84.363.1+21.1
4 Clemson76186%78.463.6+14.9
5 Stanford76186%78.064.9+13.1
6 Wake Forest76186%72.966.3+6.6
7 Boston College76186%71.365.3+6.0
8 California65183%79.773.8+5.8
9 North Carolina54180%93.076.4+16.6
10 Notre Dame54180%82.268.4+13.8
11 Louisville43175%81.062.8+18.2
12 Duke64267%82.560.3+22.2
13 SMU Mustangs64267%89.772.8+16.8
14 Virginia64267%61.361.7-0.3
15 Syracuse53260%80.879.6+1.2
16 Miami (FL)63350%84.572.7+11.8
17 Virginia Tech63350%70.870.2+0.7
18 Georgia Tech52340%77.277.4-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist324577
SMU Mustangs453479
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