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SMU Mustangs vs East Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-77 (OT)
22-30 43-35 15-12
Position#99
Record19-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game67.0
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
East Carolina
USA
Position#250
Record14-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v East Carolina
06 Mar 2024
SMU 80
EAST77
19 Feb 2023
SMU 86
EAST70
16 Dec 2020
SMU 70
EAST55
22 Jan 2020
SMU 84
EAST64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
31-40
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
30-34
41-34
37-41
50-38
58-36
48-43
37-41
33-39
26-34
42-45
36-34
37-43
154.7Avg total
79.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.067.0144.0+10.066%
Season at home (16)79.865.1144.8+14.781%
Season away (13)73.669.5143.1+4.246%
Last 10 (10)79.475.3154.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)80.878.8159.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
vs Similar (9)71.370.8142.1+0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.565.3144.9+14.280%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
70-64 OT
70
64
+6
H28/01
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A10/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A24/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
58-82
58
82
-24
H01/03
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-22
28-30
27-26
33-34
28-40
32-31
24-26
28-41
48-25
36-48
38-27
30-28
38-33
43-34
27-29
25-41
24-36
34-46
29-40
40-44
133.3Avg total
64.8Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.868.9137.7-0.148%
Season at home (19)71.767.9139.6+3.858%
Season away (10)63.370.7134.0-7.430%
Last 10 (10)64.868.5133.3-3.750%
Last 5 (5)65.671.6137.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)61.071.9132.9-10.98%
vs Similar (15)71.567.8139.3+3.767%
vs Weaker (2)72.558.0130.5+14.5100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
SMU MustangsEast Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A25/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/03
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.068.0+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.629.568.1+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)35.232.767.9+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.372.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.028.064.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (9)35.431.166.6+4.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.831.168.8+6.680%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H28/01
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A10/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A24/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/03
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A03/03
NCAA
61.3Avg total
30.9Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.464.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.233.366.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (11)30.930.861.7+0.145%-
Last 10 (10)30.930.461.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.064.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.834.562.3-6.78%-
vs Similar (15)35.131.166.2+4.167%-
vs Weaker (2)34.530.064.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
SMU Mustangs wins
2
East Carolina wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24East Carolina v SMU Mustangs64-75
19/02/23SMU Mustangs v East Carolina86-70
04/02/23East Carolina v SMU Mustangs77-72
12/02/22East Carolina v SMU Mustangs66-80
08/02/21East Carolina v SMU Mustangs56-71
17/12/20SMU Mustangs v East Carolina70-55
23/01/20SMU Mustangs v East Carolina84-64
11/01/20East Carolina v SMU Mustangs71-68
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HUTSA Roadrunners73-77
25/02/24ASouth Florida68-79
23/02/24AFlorida Atlantic70-80
18/02/24HMemphis106-79
16/02/24ATulane87-79
11/02/24HNorth Texas71-68
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76
28/01/24AWichita State72-77
East Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ANorth Texas69-84
01/03/24HMemphis58-82
24/02/24ARice52-70
18/02/24HTulane81-67
16/02/24HWichita State68-55
10/02/24AUTSA Roadrunners84-73
03/02/24ACharlotte52-67
01/02/24HSouth Florida60-71
28/01/24HTemple70-64 OT
25/01/24AWichita State54-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL66%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %66%81%46%
Points / game77.079.873.6
Allowed / game67.065.169.5
Point differential+10.0+14.7+4.2
Avg total144.0144.8143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)60% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWWL58%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %48%58%30%
Points / game68.871.763.3
Allowed / game68.967.970.7
Point differential-0.1+3.8-7.4
Avg total137.7139.6134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3024680%80.266.7+13.6
2 North Carolina3024680%81.569.8+11.8
3 Clemson3021970%78.270.8+7.4
4 Virginia3021970%63.259.2+4.0
5 Pittsburgh30201067%75.667.3+8.3
6 SMU Mustangs29191066%77.067.0+10.0
7 Syracuse31201165%76.775.4+1.3
8 Wake Forest30181260%78.670.3+8.3
9 Virginia Tech30171357%74.770.4+4.3
10 NC State30171357%75.672.5+3.1
11 Boston College30161453%75.073.5+1.6
12 Florida State30151550%76.375.8+0.5
13 Miami (FL)31151648%75.773.0+2.7
14 Georgia Tech30141647%71.275.0-3.9
15 California30131743%74.476.6-2.2
16 Stanford29121741%76.377.0-0.7
17 Notre Dame30121840%63.166.1-2.9
18 Louisville3082227%71.979.0-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Florida2823582%75.668.3+7.3
2 Florida Atlantic2922776%82.872.9+10.0
3 Memphis3022873%80.975.4+5.5
4 Charlotte29181162%68.865.7+3.1
5 UAB29181162%76.676.0+0.6
6 North Texas28161257%68.362.0+6.2
7 Tulsa29151452%74.873.7+1.2
8 East Carolina29141548%68.868.9-0.1
9 Tulane29131645%82.280.2+2.0
10 Wichita State30131743%72.772.7+0.0
11 Temple29111838%70.972.7-1.9
12 Rice30111937%72.375.4-3.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners30111937%78.081.4-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
SMU Mustangs22431580
East Carolina30351277
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