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California Baptist vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-78
34-43 49-35
Position#179
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#190
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
46-69
46
69
-23
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H03/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
74-63 OT
74
63
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
23-34
29-30
47-49
25-33
40-38
32-35
33-47
20-28
31-23
41-24
47-28
29-37
28-34
21-41
26-27
28-30
32-30
26-43
31-38
133.3Avg total
63.5Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.569.8133.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)64.667.0131.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.768.6131.2-5.922%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.667.5135.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (7)70.763.7134.4+7.057%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#244
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
40-40
41-45
42-41
35-33
41-34
34-34
27-47
25-36
41-30
21-44
50-43
34-47
48-45
36-39
44-48
30-31
26-42
21-32
31-39
149.3Avg total
69.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.779.6149.3-9.910%
Last 5 (5)68.282.0150.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.877.2147.0-7.425%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.881.5153.3-9.710%
vs Weaker (3)88.774.7163.3+14.067%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
California BaptistIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
NCAA
61.0Avg total
27.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.232.362.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.930.860.7-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)30.533.864.3-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)27.433.661.0-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)29.035.064.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.133.964.0-3.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.032.162.1-2.136%-
vs Weaker (7)30.930.661.4+0.343%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#244
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
30.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.870.0-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.833.369.2+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)32.937.770.6-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)30.137.767.8-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)28.438.667.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.336.467.8-5.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.536.070.5-1.520%-
vs Weaker (3)44.733.378.0+11.367%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California Baptist wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ASeattle57-81
14/03/24AUtah Valley State74-63 OT
10/03/24HGrand Canyon47-68
08/03/24AUT Arlington57-71
03/03/24HUTRGV88-52
01/03/24HStephen F. Austin60-62 OT
24/02/24ATarleton65-82
23/02/24AAbilene Christian65-71
18/02/24AGrand Canyon76-79
16/02/24HUtah Valley State46-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24ATexas A&M-CC52-71
05/03/24HSE Louisiana56-73
02/03/24HNew Orleans80-87
27/02/24ANicholls State82-92
24/02/24AMcNeese State71-87
20/02/24HTX A&M Commerce72-76 OT
17/02/24HNorthwestern St.61-81
13/02/24HLamar76-67
10/02/24AHouston Christian83-86
06/02/24ASE Louisiana64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Arlington110100%90.055.0+35.0
2 Utah Valley State110100%92.057.0+35.0
3 Abilene Christian110100%107.074.0+33.0
4 Southern Utah110100%96.068.0+28.0
5 Tarleton1010%62.096.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lamar110100%113.042.0+71.0
2 Northwestern St.110100%96.055.0+41.0
3 SE Louisiana110100%91.053.0+38.0
4 Stephen F. Austin110100%85.051.0+34.0
5 Houston Christian110100%86.059.0+27.0
6 McNeese State1010%73.080.0-7.0
7 Nicholls State1010%84.091.0-7.0
8 Texas A&M-CC1010%73.090.0-17.0
9 UTRGV1010%67.087.0-20.0
10 TX A&M Commerce1010%67.089.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California Baptist344983
Incarnate Word433578
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