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California vs Adams State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-86
0-0 66-37 0-0 49-49
Position#94
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
California 🏆
USA
Vs
83%
17%
■ CALI 83%■ ADAM 17%
Pythia win probability
Projected 81-70
Projected total 150.7
Adams State
USA
Position#327
Record-
FormLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
California host Adams State in the NCAA. Pythia makes California the favourite at 83% and projects 81-70, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
83.3%fair 1.20
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adams State winLost
16.7%fair 5.97
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H21/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A11/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-29
0-0
47-56
0-0
20-39
0-0
35-38
0-0
35-35
0-0
43-43
0-0
43-28
0-0
43-47
0-0
39-25
0-0
33-41
0-0
38-33
0-0
35-36
0-0
26-34
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-36
0-0
44-29
0-0
37-29
0-0
36-51
0-0
32-46
0-0
57-49
156.1Avg total
77.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.079.1156.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)73.476.2149.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.082.5150.5-14.525%
vs Similar (14)76.773.8150.5+2.957%
vs Weaker (12)81.871.2153.0+10.783%
Adams StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A26/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-106
61
106
-45
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-36
0-0
40-52
0-0
32-46
0-0
51-43
0-0
35-56
0-0
26-50
0-0
36-43
0-0
36-40
160.5Avg total
69.0Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)69.091.5160.5-22.50%
Last 5 (4)69.091.5160.5-22.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.097.5169.5-25.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
70.5%
Under 142
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
58.8%
Under 147
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
46.3%
Under 152
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

California total 73Actual: California over 73
Over 73
79.3%
Under 73
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
California total 77Actual: California over 77
Over 77
65.7%
Under 77
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
California total 81Actual: California over 81
Over 81
49.4%
Under 81
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adams State total 66Actual: Adams State over 66
Over 66
64.9%
Under 66
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adams State total 70Actual: Adams State over 70
Over 70
48.9%
Under 70
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adams State total 74Actual: Adams State over 74
Over 74
33.2%
Under 74
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread California -3Actual: California -3
CALI -3
77.7%
ADAM +3
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
ADAM
No market prices yet.
Spread California 0Actual: California 0
CALI 0
83.3%
ADAM 0
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
ADAM
No market prices yet.
Spread California +3Actual: California +3
CALI +3
88.4%
ADAM -3
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
ADAM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -14.5-14.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -8.0-8.0
-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -14.5-14.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -8.0-8.0
CaliforniaAdams State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A14/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.570.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.232.268.4+4.158%-
Last 30 away (11)35.438.573.8-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.467.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.668.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.543.078.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (14)35.433.068.4+2.457%-
vs Weaker (12)36.733.370.0+3.350%-
Adams StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#36
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A26/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A30/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/11
NCAA
76.0Avg total
30.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)30.845.276.0-14.50%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (4)30.845.276.0-14.50%-
Last 10 (4)30.845.276.0-14.50%-
Last 5 (4)30.845.276.0-14.50%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.551.084.5-17.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Adams State wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AFlorida State89-95
07/03/26AWake Forest73-80
05/03/26AGeorgia Tech76-65
28/02/26HPittsburgh56-72
26/02/26HSMU Mustangs73-69
21/02/26HStanford72-66
14/02/26ABoston College86-75
12/02/26ASyracuse100-107 OT
08/02/26HClemson55-77
05/02/26HGeorgia Tech90-85
Adams Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25ANew Mexico State72-83
30/12/23AColorado State61-106
19/12/23ADenver83-89
26/11/20AWeber State60-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Adams State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Sacred Heart110100%111.044.0+67.0
3 UMass Lowell110100%121.057.0+64.0
4 Delaware110100%105.044.0+61.0
5 Kennesaw State110100%116.057.0+59.0
6 Stephen F. Austin110100%120.061.0+59.0
7 Charleston110100%111.055.0+56.0
8 Longwood110100%123.067.0+56.0
9 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
10 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
11 Siu Edwardsville110100%91.039.0+52.0
12 Eastern Kentucky110100%105.054.0+51.0
13 Morgan State110100%103.052.0+51.0
14 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
15 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
16 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
17 Vanderbilt110100%93.047.0+46.0
18 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
19 West Virginia110100%91.046.0+45.0
20 Xavier110100%97.052.0+45.0
21 Jacksonville Dolphins110100%105.061.0+44.0
22 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
23 Florida International110100%101.058.0+43.0
24 Wisc. Green Bay110100%94.051.0+43.0
25 Nebraska110100%106.064.0+42.0
26 Penn State110100%97.057.0+40.0
27 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
28 Pittsburgh110100%95.057.0+38.0
29 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
30 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
31 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
32 Michigan State110100%96.059.0+37.0
33 Butler110100%96.060.0+36.0
34 NC Wilmington110100%101.065.0+36.0
35 Marquette110100%78.043.0+35.0
36 Delaware State110100%86.052.0+34.0
37 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
38 Indiana110100%91.057.0+34.0
39 Texas Tech110100%76.042.0+34.0
40 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
41 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
42 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
43 Wright State110100%102.071.0+31.0
44 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
45 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
46 Samford110100%87.058.0+29.0
47 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
48 Harvard110100%73.045.0+28.0
49 Stonehill110100%84.056.0+28.0
50 Marshall110100%92.065.0+27.0
51 Providence110100%83.056.0+27.0
52 South Florida110100%98.071.0+27.0
53 Cincinnati110100%79.053.0+26.0
54 Western Kentucky110100%83.058.0+25.0
55 Seton Hall110100%66.042.0+24.0
56 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
57 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
58 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
59 Prairie View A&M110100%86.065.0+21.0
60 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
61 NC State110100%83.064.0+19.0
62 Belmont110100%72.054.0+18.0
63 Mississippi St.110100%106.088.0+18.0
64 Georgia110100%78.062.0+16.0
65 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
66 Syracuse110100%74.058.0+16.0
67 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
68 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
69 Florida Atlantic110100%74.060.0+14.0
70 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
71 William & Mary110100%80.066.0+14.0
72 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
73 East Carolina110100%83.070.0+13.0
74 Elon110100%84.071.0+13.0
75 Georgia Southern110100%67.055.0+12.0
76 Old Dominion110100%61.049.0+12.0
77 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
78 UMass110100%71.060.0+11.0
79 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
80 Louisiana Tech110100%85.075.0+10.0
81 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
82 Yale110100%72.062.0+10.0
83 Miami (Ohio)110100%86.077.0+9.0
84 St. Thomas (Minn.)110100%87.078.0+9.0
85 Boston University110100%93.085.0+8.0
86 Charlotte110100%78.070.0+8.0
87 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
88 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
89 Youngstown State110100%79.071.0+8.0
90 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
91 Dartmouth110100%69.062.0+7.0
92 Southeast Missouri State110100%86.079.0+7.0
93 Wisconsin110100%75.068.0+7.0
94 Purdue110100%78.072.0+6.0
95 Central Michigan110100%83.078.0+5.0
96 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
97 Memphis110100%80.076.0+4.0
98 New Hampshire Wildcats110100%59.055.0+4.0
99 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
100 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
101 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
102 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
103 Eastern Michigan110100%71.070.0+1.0
104 Iona110100%56.055.0+1.0
105 UCF Knights110100%96.095.0+1.0
106 Coastal Carolina1010%70.071.0-1.0
107 Florida Gulf Coast1010%95.096.0-1.0
108 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
109 Vermont1010%55.056.0-1.0
110 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
111 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
112 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
113 Brown1010%55.059.0-4.0
114 Iowa State1010%76.080.0-4.0
115 Louisiana Monroe1010%78.083.0-5.0
116 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
117 Gonzaga1010%72.078.0-6.0
118 Denver1010%68.075.0-7.0
119 Lipscomb1010%79.086.0-7.0
120 Marist1010%62.069.0-7.0
121 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
122 Indiana State1010%70.078.0-8.0
123 Northeastern1010%85.093.0-8.0
124 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
125 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
126 Western Carolina1010%72.080.0-8.0
127 James Madison1010%77.086.0-9.0
128 Presbyterian1010%78.087.0-9.0
129 Howard1010%62.072.0-10.0
130 Kent State1010%75.085.0-10.0
131 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
132 UALR1010%72.082.0-10.0
133 Troy1010%60.071.0-11.0
134 Ball State1010%55.067.0-12.0
135 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
136 Western Michigan1010%49.061.0-12.0
137 Columbia1010%71.084.0-13.0
138 Stetson1010%72.085.0-13.0
139 USC Upstate1010%70.083.0-13.0
140 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
141 Bridgewater College (VA)1010%66.080.0-14.0
142 LIU Sharks1010%60.074.0-14.0
143 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
144 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
145 N. Carolina Central1010%62.078.0-16.0
146 New Haven Chargers1010%58.074.0-16.0
147 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
148 Southern Indiana1010%54.072.0-18.0
149 Tennessee Tech1010%88.0106.0-18.0
150 Campbell1010%64.083.0-19.0
151 Paul Quinn1010%65.086.0-21.0
152 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
153 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
154 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
155 UNC Asheville1010%77.0100.0-23.0
156 St. Peters1010%42.066.0-24.0
157 Morehead State1010%58.083.0-25.0
158 American University1010%53.079.0-26.0
159 Buffalo1010%65.092.0-27.0
160 Charleston Southern1010%71.098.0-27.0
161 Maine Black Bears1010%56.083.0-27.0
162 Curry1010%56.084.0-28.0
163 MIT1010%45.073.0-28.0
164 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
165 Berry Vikings1010%58.087.0-29.0
166 Bucknell1010%67.096.0-29.0
167 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
168 Air Force1010%71.0102.0-31.0
169 NJIT1010%58.089.0-31.0
170 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
171 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
172 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
173 Eastern Illinois1010%57.091.0-34.0
174 Jackson State1010%42.076.0-34.0
175 St. Vincent1010%52.086.0-34.0
176 Mercyhurst Lakers1010%43.078.0-35.0
177 Lafayette1010%60.096.0-36.0
178 Mount Olive Trojans1010%65.0101.0-36.0
179 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
180 Quinnipiac1010%59.096.0-37.0
181 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
182 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
183 Rider1010%57.095.0-38.0
184 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
185 Canisius1010%57.097.0-40.0
186 Le Moyne1010%64.0106.0-42.0
187 Lawrence University Vikings1010%51.094.0-43.0
188 New College (FL)1010%58.0101.0-43.0
189 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
190 Trinity Baptist1010%61.0105.0-44.0
191 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
192 Mount St. Mary's1010%52.097.0-45.0
193 Niagara1010%46.091.0-45.0
194 Bellarmine1010%47.093.0-46.0
195 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
196 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
197 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
198 Cheyney Wolves1010%52.0103.0-51.0
199 Kentucky Christian1010%54.0105.0-51.0
200 Eureka1010%39.091.0-52.0
201 Navy1010%39.091.0-52.0
202 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
203 Pfeiffer Falcons1010%67.0123.0-56.0
204 Southern W.1010%55.0111.0-56.0
205 Lyon1010%61.0120.0-59.0
206 Midway1010%57.0116.0-59.0
207 Notre Dame MD1010%44.0105.0-61.0
208 Rivier1010%57.0121.0-64.0
209 Coast Guard1010%44.0111.0-67.0
210 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 210 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
California066049115
Adams State03704986
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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