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California vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-66
39-25 33-41
Position#79
Record18-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.0
California 🏆
USA
vs
Stanford
USA
Position#103
Record16-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · California v Stanford
23 Jan 2027
CALI v STAN
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
CALI72
STAN66
07 Dec 2024
CALI81
STAN89
13 Mar 2024
CALI76
STAN87
26 Jan 2024
CALI73
STAN71
06 Jan 2023
CALI92
STAN70
26 Feb 2022
CALI53
STAN39
04 Feb 2021
CALI55
STAN70
26 Jan 2020
CALI52
STAN50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
38-41
30-37
26-34
54-37
30-41
38-34
40-32
23-36
38-27
45-44
41-41
43-29
47-56
20-39
35-38
35-35
43-43
43-28
43-47
155.6Avg total
77.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.073.0151.9+6.069%
Season at home (18)78.468.9147.3+9.583%
Season away (8)80.282.1162.4-1.938%
Last 10 (10)77.178.5155.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.485.8169.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.083.0151.0-15.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.275.2154.4+4.057%
vs Weaker (11)85.270.6155.8+14.591%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
50-80
50
80
-30
H17/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
21-29
45-47
50-43
19-35
31-45
34-38
32-40
40-35
30-44
33-41
47-47
32-30
32-36
43-39
52-33
34-34
36-30
39-30
24-38
146.3Avg total
70.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.472.5148.0+2.962%
Season at home (16)77.672.1149.7+5.462%
Season away (10)72.073.2145.2-1.260%
Last 10 (10)70.875.5146.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)74.471.6146.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.678.1149.7-6.643%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.572.6148.1+2.956%
vs Weaker (6)79.767.2146.8+12.583%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -3.0-3.0
CaliforniaStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#122
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A14/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.570.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.431.868.3+4.661%-
Last 30 away (12)34.238.572.7-4.325%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.672.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.072.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.642.676.2-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.233.367.5+0.943%-
vs Weaker (11)38.132.470.5+5.764%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H17/01
NCAA
California
#79
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
35.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.170.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.633.169.7+3.568%-
Last 30 away (11)34.635.870.5-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.072.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.871.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.638.473.0-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.933.668.6+1.356%-
vs Weaker (6)38.231.269.3+7.067%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
California wins
6
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Stanford v California66-78
12/03/25Stanford v California78-73
23/02/25Stanford v California66-61
07/12/24California v Stanford81-89
14/03/24California v Stanford76-87 OT
08/03/24Stanford v California80-58
27/01/24California v Stanford73-71
29/01/23Stanford v California75-46
07/01/23California v Stanford92-70
27/02/22California v Stanford53-39
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ABoston College86-75
12/02/26ASyracuse100-107 OT
08/02/26HClemson55-77
05/02/26HGeorgia Tech90-85
31/01/26AMiami (FL)86-85
29/01/26AFlorida State61-63
25/01/26AStanford78-66
17/01/26HNorth Carolina84-78
15/01/26HDuke56-71
10/01/26AVirginia Tech75-78
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AWake Forest63-68
12/02/26ABoston College70-64
08/02/26HGeorgia Tech95-72
05/02/26HClemson64-66
31/01/26AFlorida State80-88
29/01/26AMiami (FL)70-79
25/01/26HCalifornia66-78
17/01/26HDuke50-80
15/01/26HNorth Carolina95-90
10/01/26AVirginia55-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWLWWL83%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %69%83%38%
Points / game79.078.480.2
Allowed / game73.068.982.1
Point differential+6.0+9.5-1.9
Avg total151.9147.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %62%62%60%
Points / game75.477.672.0
Allowed / game72.572.173.2
Point differential+2.9+5.4-1.2
Avg total148.0149.7145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2624292%83.063.2+19.8
2 Virginia2824486%81.069.4+11.7
3 Miami (FL)2721678%82.970.5+12.4
4 North Carolina2721678%80.770.6+10.1
5 Louisville2720774%86.871.8+15.0
6 Clemson2820871%74.565.6+8.9
7 NC State2719870%84.973.8+11.1
8 SMU Mustangs2719870%86.877.6+9.3
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse28151354%75.673.4+2.2
13 Florida State27141352%80.077.7+2.3
14 Wake Forest27141352%79.377.2+2.1
15 Notre Dame27121544%74.473.4+1.0
16 Georgia Tech28111739%74.177.3-3.2
17 Pittsburgh27101737%70.071.6-1.6
18 Boston College2791833%67.770.6-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California393372
Stanford254166
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