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Wake Forest vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-73
0-0 29-37 0-0 51-36
Position#190
Record15-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#79
Record21-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A27/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-30
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-49
0-0
47-47
0-0
34-43
0-0
46-45
0-0
37-33
0-0
46-34
0-0
30-39
0-0
38-24
0-0
45-32
0-0
40-45
0-0
33-43
0-0
30-39
0-0
29-22
0-0
38-46
0-0
42-46
0-0
46-37
0-0
24-32
0-0
46-43
153.7Avg total
75.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.877.0155.8+1.850%
Season at home (17)83.377.6160.9+5.665%
Season away (13)73.076.2149.2-3.231%
Last 10 (10)75.877.9153.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)74.677.0151.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.185.2161.2-9.18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.172.0153.1+9.180%
vs Weaker (3)78.769.3148.0+9.367%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H21/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-36
0-0
38-27
0-0
45-44
0-0
41-41
0-0
43-29
0-0
47-56
0-0
20-39
0-0
35-38
0-0
35-35
0-0
43-43
0-0
43-28
0-0
43-47
0-0
39-25
0-0
33-41
0-0
38-33
0-0
35-36
0-0
26-34
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-36
0-0
44-29
151.9Avg total
75.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.772.3150.0+5.470%
Season at home (21)76.868.9145.7+7.981%
Season away (9)79.880.2160.0-0.444%
Last 10 (10)75.576.4151.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)72.669.4142.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.082.5150.5-14.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.171.2147.2+4.969%
vs Weaker (13)82.270.3152.5+11.985%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
Wake ForestCalifornia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.674.4-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.879.0+1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)32.336.268.5-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.971.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.069.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.541.976.4-7.48%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.635.173.7+3.547%-
vs Weaker (3)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A14/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/03
NCAA
68.3Avg total
34.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.033.869.7+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.131.767.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (9)35.638.774.2-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.968.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.266.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.543.078.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.431.967.3+3.562%-
vs Weaker (13)36.732.869.5+3.954%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wake Forest wins
0
California wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25California v Wake Forest66-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AVirginia70-75
28/02/26HSyracuse88-83
25/02/26ABoston College67-68
21/02/26AVirginia Tech63-82
19/02/26HClemson85-77
14/02/26HStanford68-63
12/02/26AGeorgia Tech83-67
07/02/26HLouisville80-88
31/01/26HNC State78-96
27/01/26APittsburgh76-80 OT
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AGeorgia Tech76-65
28/02/26HPittsburgh56-72
26/02/26HSMU Mustangs73-69
21/02/26HStanford72-66
14/02/26ABoston College86-75
12/02/26ASyracuse100-107 OT
08/02/26HClemson55-77
05/02/26HGeorgia Tech90-85
31/01/26AMiami (FL)86-85
29/01/26AFlorida State61-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%65%31%
Points / game78.883.373.0
Allowed / game77.077.676.2
Point differential+1.8+5.6-3.2
Avg total155.8160.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)80% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %7%0%15%
California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWL81%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30219
Win %70%81%44%
Points / game77.776.879.8
Allowed / game72.368.980.2
Point differential+5.4+7.9-0.4
Avg total150.0145.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3028293%83.262.5+20.6
2 Virginia3227584%80.069.4+10.6
3 North Carolina3024680%80.470.9+9.6
4 Miami (FL)3124777%82.770.7+12.0
5 Louisville3122971%85.972.5+13.4
6 Clemson3122971%74.566.3+8.2
7 California3021970%77.772.3+5.4
8 Stanford31201165%76.473.0+3.4
9 NC State31191261%83.576.0+7.5
10 SMU Mustangs31191261%85.078.4+6.6
11 Virginia Tech31191261%78.574.2+4.2
12 Florida State31171455%79.977.5+2.4
13 Wake Forest30151550%78.877.0+1.8
14 Syracuse30151550%75.474.0+1.4
15 Notre Dame31131842%74.575.3-0.9
16 Pittsburgh30111937%70.171.3-1.2
17 Boston College31112035%67.470.7-3.3
18 Georgia Tech31112035%73.877.4-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wake Forest02905180
California03703673
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