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California vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 72-71
27-31 45-40
Position#79
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#269
Record10-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H22/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
36-28
47-33
44-34
36-41
44-31
42-34
37-38
36-27
31-34
28-31
65-40
37-37
42-33
50-23
47-27
28-16
46-40
34-48
36-42
146.3Avg total
79.7Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.168.4150.5+13.886%
Season at home (13)81.166.0147.1+15.192%
Season away (1)96.099.0195.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)79.766.6146.3+13.190%
Last 5 (5)82.667.4150.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.482.0149.4-14.60%
vs Similar (15)76.972.2149.1+4.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.971.1158.0+15.890%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H13/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
49-49
32-39
29-32
36-24
32-39
25-39
31-27
33-40
43-31
36-45
40-31
33-33
47-32
41-29
41-29
24-27
45-45
22-17
25-23
138.2Avg total
71.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.666.4140.9+8.271%
Season at home (9)81.167.0148.1+14.189%
Season away (5)62.865.2128.0-2.440%
Last 10 (10)71.267.0138.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)73.064.0137.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.070.7136.7-4.746%
vs Similar (13)77.370.6147.9+6.769%
vs Weaker (4)74.870.0144.8+4.850%
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +4.4+4.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +4.4+4.4
CaliforniaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H22/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.168.1-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.132.368.4+3.965%-
Last 30 away (10)29.537.867.3-8.310%-
Last 10 (10)36.931.968.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.066.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.241.669.8-13.40%-
vs Similar (15)32.131.964.0+0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.533.873.3+5.770%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A31/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.064.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.630.863.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.565.7-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.364.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.261.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.535.865.2-6.323%-
vs Similar (13)34.328.763.0+5.669%-
vs Weaker (4)36.230.266.5+6.075%-
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Notre Dame v California112-110 OT
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HLouisville70-90
21/12/25HColumbia74-56
20/12/25HMorgan State97-50
13/12/25HNorthwestern St.79-70
10/12/25HDominican Penguins93-71
06/12/25HPacific67-61
03/12/25HUtah Utes79-72
26/11/25HUCLA80-72
22/11/25HSacramento State91-67
19/11/25HPresbyterian67-57
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25AStanford47-40
21/12/25HIPFW69-72
13/12/25HEvansville82-58
11/12/25HIdaho80-65
06/12/25ATCU87-85 OT
03/12/25HMissouri76-71
26/11/25AHouston56-66
25/11/25HRutgers68-63
24/11/25AKansas61-71
20/11/25HBellarmine86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14131
Win %86%92%0%
Points / game82.181.196.0
Allowed / game68.466.099.0
Point differential+13.8+15.1-3.0
Avg total150.5147.1195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%89%40%
Points / game74.681.162.8
Allowed / game66.467.065.2
Point differential+8.2+14.1-2.4
Avg total140.9148.1128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1413193%81.263.7+17.5
2 Duke1312192%87.063.8+23.2
3 Miami (FL)1412286%88.567.8+20.7
4 California1412286%82.168.4+13.8
5 Virginia Tech1412286%83.973.5+10.4
6 SMU Mustangs1311285%91.176.5+14.6
7 Stanford1512380%78.970.9+8.1
8 Louisville1411379%90.469.1+21.2
9 Virginia1411379%84.671.4+13.3
10 Clemson1411379%78.665.5+13.1
11 NC State1410471%87.071.1+15.9
12 Notre Dame1410471%74.666.4+8.2
13 Syracuse149564%73.664.8+8.9
14 Wake Forest149564%82.074.0+8.0
15 Georgia Tech149564%76.771.4+5.4
16 Boston College137654%70.666.7+3.9
17 Florida State147750%83.678.4+5.3
18 Pittsburgh147750%73.668.4+5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California274572
Notre Dame314071
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