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California vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 91-67
47-33 44-34
Position#79
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#324
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · California v Sacramento State
21 Nov 2025
CALI91
SACR67
24 Nov 2024
CALI83
SACR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
110-112 OT
110
112
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
A11/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A12/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H07/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
40-40
26-41
42-44
33-37
35-31
31-34
29-26
32-38
41-40
37-26
50-34
34-28
43-39
42-27
51-38
34-55
62-44
31-29
36-28
160.2Avg total
83.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.069.6153.6+14.480%
Season at home (4)81.062.2143.2+18.8100%
Season away (1)96.099.0195.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)83.576.7160.2+6.860%
Last 5 (5)84.069.6153.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.880.4146.2-14.70%
vs Similar (16)77.573.8151.3+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.076.2162.2+9.880%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-31
39-29
34-45
26-42
35-34
21-25
33-37
37-46
41-39
62-40
37-33
49-43
43-45
44-47
36-34
37-43
27-36
37-26
17-42
31-37
145.5Avg total
70.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.877.5154.3-0.750%
Season at home (4)85.077.2162.2+7.875%
Season away (2)60.578.0138.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)70.175.4145.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)71.677.2148.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.475.2138.6-11.915%
vs Similar (6)67.272.8140.0-5.717%
vs Weaker (3)93.054.7147.7+38.3100%
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +0.5+0.5
CaliforniaSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H07/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H19/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.967.8-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.734.868.5-1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)29.937.166.9-7.214%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.068.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.838.767.4-9.911%-
vs Similar (16)31.734.265.9-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.236.074.2+2.280%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
15-31
15
31
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A19/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
31.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.337.168.4-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.935.966.8-5.129%-
Last 30 away (13)31.838.670.4-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.669.4-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.070.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.438.367.7-8.920%-
vs Similar (6)31.338.269.5-6.817%-
vs Weaker (3)42.028.370.3+13.7100%-
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
California wins
0
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24California v Sacramento State83-77
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HPresbyterian67-57
14/11/25AKansas State96-99
11/11/25HCS Fullerton93-65
07/11/25HWright State77-67
04/11/25HCSU Bakersfield87-60
12/03/25AStanford73-78
11/03/25AVirginia Tech82-73 OT
08/03/25ANotre Dame110-112 OT
06/03/25ALouisville68-85
02/03/25HBoston College82-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AUCLA48-79
16/11/25HPresbyterian64-62
15/11/25AUC Davis73-77
12/11/25HUC Santa Barbara87-92
08/11/25HWilliam Jessup86-76
05/11/25HDominican Penguins103-79
09/03/25AWeber State70-83
04/03/25APortland State56-59
01/03/25HMontana State60-87
28/02/25HMontana54-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game84.081.096.0
Allowed / game69.662.299.0
Point differential+14.4+18.8-3.0
Avg total153.6143.2195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game76.885.060.5
Allowed / game77.577.278.0
Point differential-0.7+7.8-17.5
Avg total154.3162.2138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke660100%93.757.2+36.5
2 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
3 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
4 Louisville550100%97.269.6+27.6
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 SMU Mustangs660100%93.373.2+20.2
7 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
8 Stanford440100%87.570.2+17.2
9 Clemson65183%82.260.0+22.2
10 Virginia65183%83.371.7+11.7
11 Miami (FL)54180%91.269.0+22.2
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Notre Dame54180%83.667.6+16.0
14 California54180%84.069.6+14.4
15 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh64267%71.763.8+7.8
18 Boston College63350%66.862.0+4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado43175%88.069.0+19.0
2 Montana64267%86.772.0+14.7
3 Portland State53260%90.876.8+14.0
4 Idaho42250%79.570.8+8.8
5 Northern Arizona42250%78.873.8+5.0
6 Idaho State63350%71.268.3+2.8
7 Sacramento State63350%76.877.5-0.7
8 Weber State52340%90.675.4+15.2
9 Montana State62433%80.566.2+14.3
10 East. Washington51420%78.283.8-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California474491
Sacramento State333467
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