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Canberra vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-68
19-9 31-11 25-26 20-22
Position#1
Record12-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#4
Record11-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.6
AustraliaNBL1 EastRound 14
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
113-93
113
93
+20
H14/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
110-74
110
74
+36
H21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A28/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
97-71
97
71
+26
A04/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H18/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H19/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A25/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
102-79
102
79
+23
A02/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H10/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H16/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
22-23
36-22
28-24
27-20
31-15
28-16
24-23
17-28
13-21
32-13
30-25
25-13
20-15
23-15
29-28
13-16
15-27
24-23
22-8
21-20
18-29
29-14
18-26
19-16
21-22
16-15
14-16
22-23
28-14
19-23
33-19
33-13
26-24
23-22
24-26
18-25
23-20
32-13
32-23
177.7Avg total
96.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.280.5173.8+12.875%
Season at home (9)99.884.8184.6+15.067%
Season away (7)84.975.0159.9+9.986%
Last 10 (10)96.381.4177.7+14.980%
Last 5 (5)93.880.6174.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.995.9172.8-19.08%
vs Similar (2)83.582.5166.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.280.5173.8+12.875%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H25/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H02/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A16/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
22-28
29-19
12-15
22-15
11-25
26-24
27-21
30-8
19-15
26-22
17-16
16-18
16-12
22-17
19-15
21-15
10-13
30-18
21-19
15-22
14-26
18-23
24-22
17-26
25-8
27-23
20-13
20-19
14-11
21-26
23-10
10-9
21-21
8-18
15-7
20-25
19-12
28-28
25-19
151.1Avg total
79.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.369.6145.9+6.773%
Season at home (9)73.167.2140.3+5.967%
Season away (6)81.073.2154.2+7.883%
Last 10 (10)79.571.6151.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)76.873.6150.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.065.0133.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (8)71.070.9141.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (6)84.768.7153.3+16.0100%
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
CanberraNewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H14/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A04/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H18/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A25/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H10/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/07
NBL1 East
84.7Avg total
43.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.783.2-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.485.2+0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.081.1-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.884.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.447.985.3-10.50%-
vs Similar (2)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.739.181.8+3.656%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H09/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A16/07
NBL1 East
69.8Avg total
35.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)34.732.166.8+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.431.468.9+6.067%-
Last 30 away (6)30.733.063.7-2.367%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.169.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.870.8-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (8)30.634.465.0-3.838%-
vs Weaker (6)39.529.569.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Canberra wins
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateGameScore
01/05/22Newcastle Falcons v Canberra68-65
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/22HBankstown Bruins105-81
10/07/22HInner West Bulls106-85
02/07/22AHills Hornets102-79
25/06/22ASutherland Sharks70-69
19/06/22HBankstown Bruins86-89
18/06/22HNorths Bears82-86 OT
04/06/22AInner West Bulls97-71
28/05/22AManly W.92-87
21/05/22HCentral Coast Crusaders110-74
14/05/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits113-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/22AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-84
09/07/22HHills Hornets54-55
02/07/22HIllawarra Hawks78-66
25/06/22HManly W.89-70
18/06/22AMaitland M.71-93
04/06/22ABankstown Bruins82-65
29/05/22AManly W.73-62
28/05/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-61
21/05/22AIllawarra Hawks86-85
14/05/22HSutherland Sharks78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%67%86%
Points / game93.299.884.9
Allowed / game80.584.875.0
Point differential+12.8+15.0+9.9
Avg total173.8184.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %73%67%83%
Points / game76.373.181.0
Allowed / game69.667.273.2
Point differential+6.7+5.9+7.8
Avg total145.9140.3154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1612475%93.280.5+12.8
2 Newcastle Falcons1511473%76.369.6+6.7
3 Maitland M.159660%84.983.3+1.6
4 Norths Bears159660%78.577.5+1.1
5 Illawarra Hawks169756%87.684.4+3.2
6 Inner West Bulls168850%81.184.1-3.0
7 Albury-Wodonga Bandits178947%87.590.4-2.9
8 Sutherland Sharks157847%78.180.7-2.6
9 Hills Hornets1871139%76.378.1-1.8
10 Manly W.1871139%76.579.1-2.6
11 Central Coast Crusaders1651131%78.783.9-5.2
12 Bankstown Bruins1751229%76.281.9-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra1931252095
Newcastle Falcons911262268
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