PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Newcastle Falcons vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 May 2022
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 68-65
15-16 24-13 13-14 16-22
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game80.8
AustraliaNBL1 EastRound 4
Other2022
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Canberra
11 May 2025
NEWC75
CANB69
14 Apr 2024
NEWC60
CANB67
25 Mar 2023
NEWC81
CANB72
01 May 2022
NEWC68
CANB65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H02/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H09/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
82-50
82
50
+32
A23/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
14-16
14-18
14-23
18-11
14-31
16-13
14-18
20-15
0-0
42-27
20-8
131.3Avg total
67.0Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.064.3131.3+2.733%
Season at home (2)59.571.5131.0-12.00%
Season away (1)82.050.0132.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (3)67.064.3131.3+2.733%
Last 5 (3)67.064.3131.3+2.733%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)67.064.3131.3+2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
69-113
69
113
-44
H15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A21/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A22/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H29/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A04/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A05/08
SEABL
Norths Bears
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A03/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
112-75
112
75
+37
H09/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H10/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A30/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
12-23
21-29
16-29
17-23
12-23
18-34
22-20
25-27
19-24
19-20
21-22
19-20
23-27
22-16
15-26
24-30
17-24
19-25
21-23
11-22
25-25
11-17
22-23
12-16
24-13
24-24
20-15
27-15
25-16
33-23
27-21
26-20
23-17
28-36
12-24
18-21
21-20
19-14
30-28
172.7Avg total
82.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.280.8173.0+11.575%
Season at home (2)100.586.0186.5+14.550%
Season away (2)84.075.5159.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.090.7172.7-8.730%
Last 5 (5)87.682.0169.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)79.794.4174.0-14.79%
vs Similar (4)80.284.5164.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.280.8173.0+11.575%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
Newcastle FalconsCanberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H02/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H09/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
20-15
20
15
+5
A23/04
NBL1 East
55.7Avg total
27.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)27.028.755.7-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (2)30.535.566.0-5.00%-
Last 30 away (1)20.015.035.0+5.0100%-
Last 10 (3)27.028.755.7-1.733%-
Last 5 (3)27.028.755.7-1.733%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)27.028.755.7-1.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/08
SEABL
Norths Bears
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A03/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H09/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A30/04
NBL1 East
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.584.9-6.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.744.884.5-5.114%-
Last 30 away (16)39.246.185.2-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.648.487.0-9.89%-
vs Similar (4)39.540.279.8-0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.034.578.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Canberra wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/22AHills Hornets82-50
09/04/22HInner West Bulls62-73
02/04/22HMaitland M.57-70
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/22AMaitland M.88-83
10/04/22HIllawarra Hawks89-97
09/04/22HSutherland Sharks112-75
03/04/22ANorths Bears80-68
05/08/17ANunawading69-87
04/08/17ASouthern Sabres81-102
29/07/17HDandenong79-89
22/07/17ANW Tasmania84-93
21/07/17AHobart Chargers69-100
15/07/17HMt Gambier69-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game67.059.582.0
Allowed / game64.371.550.0
Point differential+2.7-12.0+32.0
Avg total131.3131.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game92.2100.584.0
Allowed / game80.886.075.5
Point differential+11.5+14.5+8.5
Avg total173.0186.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Inner West Bulls54180%74.073.0+1.0
2 Canberra43175%92.280.8+11.5
3 Norths Bears43175%75.071.5+3.5
4 Sutherland Sharks32167%78.087.7-9.7
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits53260%91.091.0+0.0
6 Illawarra Hawks63350%91.787.0+4.7
7 Central Coast Crusaders42250%79.081.2-2.2
8 Maitland M.52340%79.879.0+0.8
9 Manly W.52340%71.673.4-1.8
10 Newcastle Falcons31233%67.064.3+2.7
11 Hills Hornets62433%78.378.0+0.3
12 Bankstown Bruins4040%73.288.2-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1524131668
Canberra1613142265
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.