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Newcastle Falcons vs Manly W. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 89-70
17-26 25-8 27-23 20-13
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#9
Record5-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.0
AustraliaNBL1 EastRound 11
Other2022
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Manly W.
12 May 2024
NEWC68
MANL66
18 Mar 2023
NEWC77
MANL41
25 Jun 2022
NEWC89
MANL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manly W. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H09/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
82-50
82
50
+32
A23/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H01/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
14-31
16-13
14-18
20-15
0-0
42-27
20-8
15-16
24-13
13-14
16-22
22-9
22-16
21-19
15-26
15-13
22-28
29-19
12-15
22-15
11-25
26-24
27-21
30-8
19-15
26-22
17-16
16-18
16-12
22-17
19-15
21-15
10-13
30-18
21-19
15-22
14-26
18-23
24-22
147.3Avg total
77.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.569.9145.5+5.673%
Season at home (6)72.869.0141.8+3.867%
Season away (5)78.871.0149.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)77.469.9147.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.065.0133.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (6)72.774.3147.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.864.5146.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H24/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A30/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A14/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H21/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H28/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H29/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
W
105-92
105
92
+13
H04/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H18/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
24-17
11-21
19-22
19-16
23-19
20-22
31-14
22-17
13-13
10-18
21-11
15-15
19-12
22-19
20-18
23-33
21-22
17-19
11-16
12-25
19-29
26-17
31-25
28-17
21-13
13-32
25-30
18-16
12-16
17-22
15-19
20-16
30-25
24-28
31-23
19-23
14-21
13-17
23-20
158.3Avg total
79.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.678.0153.6-2.438%
Season at home (8)78.278.9157.1-0.638%
Season away (5)71.476.6148.0-5.240%
Last 10 (10)79.179.2158.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)82.286.8169.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.586.8168.2-5.225%
vs Similar (9)73.074.1147.1-1.144%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Newcastle FalconsManly W.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H09/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
20-15
20
15
+5
A23/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/06
NBL1 East
66.7Avg total
34.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)34.131.865.9+2.355%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.331.569.8+6.850%-
Last 30 away (5)29.032.261.2-3.260%-
Last 10 (10)34.632.166.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (6)30.035.865.8-5.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.026.565.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H24/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A14/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H21/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H28/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H29/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H18/06
NBL1 East
77.0Avg total
39.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.238.275.4-1.146%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.136.174.2+2.062%-
Last 30 away (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.977.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.278.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.239.582.8+3.850%-
vs Similar (9)34.437.772.1-3.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Manly W. wins
DateGameScore
29/05/22Manly W. v Newcastle Falcons62-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/22AMaitland M.71-93
04/06/22ABankstown Bruins82-65
29/05/22AManly W.73-62
28/05/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-61
21/05/22AIllawarra Hawks86-85
14/05/22HSutherland Sharks78-75
07/05/22HCentral Coast Crusaders80-70
01/05/22HCanberra68-65
23/04/22AHills Hornets82-50
09/04/22HInner West Bulls62-73
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/22HCentral Coast Crusaders69-81
04/06/22HMaitland M.105-92
29/05/22HNewcastle Falcons62-73
28/05/22HCanberra87-92
21/05/22HHills Hornets88-96
14/05/22AIllawarra Hawks72-90
08/05/22HBankstown Bruins76-64
07/05/22HNorths Bears66-59
30/04/22AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits93-71
24/04/22HInner West Bulls73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game75.572.878.8
Allowed / game69.969.071.0
Point differential+5.6+3.8+7.8
Avg total145.5141.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manly W.
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %38%38%40%
Points / game75.678.271.4
Allowed / game78.078.976.6
Point differential-2.4-0.6-5.2
Avg total153.6157.1148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Falcons118373%75.569.9+5.6
2 Canberra139469%90.780.2+10.5
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits138562%88.689.1-0.5
4 Illawarra Hawks127558%92.286.3+5.9
5 Inner West Bulls127558%79.980.0-0.1
6 Maitland M.137654%84.483.8+0.6
7 Norths Bears126650%76.277.2-1.1
8 Sutherland Sharks126650%76.280.0-3.8
9 Hills Hornets135838%76.477.7-1.3
10 Manly W.135838%75.678.0-2.4
11 Central Coast Crusaders135838%81.384.2-2.9
12 Bankstown Bruins1321115%71.280.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1725272089
Manly W.268231370
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