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Canisius vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 53-71
29-34 24-37
Position#327
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#180
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Canisius v Buffalo
29 Nov 2025
CANI53
BUFF71
18 Dec 2021
CANI65
BUFF64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canisius winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#209
L
52-82
52
82
-30
H02/03
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A07/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
48-88
48
88
-40
A04/11
NCAA
Allegheny
#552
W
84-43
84
43
+41
H07/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H13/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
50-93
50
93
-43
A18/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
27-43
25-44
25-34
27-38
35-32
27-51
21-37
42-23
42-20
35-50
35-39
32-25
26-30
17-46
33-47
26-20
34-37
24-26
51-40
133.0Avg total
60.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.670.1133.7-6.657%
Season at home (4)69.255.2124.5+14.0100%
Season away (3)56.090.0146.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)60.972.1133.0-11.240%
Last 5 (5)62.672.0134.6-9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.377.4141.7-13.115%
vs Similar (2)67.561.5129.0+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
55-42
35-47
34-37
24-47
46-41
36-38
49-41
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
31-33
47-37
45-32
28-39
153.4Avg total
78.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.971.9151.7+8.0100%
Season at home (5)84.075.8159.8+8.2100%
Season away (2)69.562.0131.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.574.9153.4+3.680%
Last 5 (5)78.269.6147.8+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.982.1151.0-13.214%
vs Similar (5)80.273.0153.2+7.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.068.3145.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +2.1+2.1
CanisiusBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#209
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H02/03
NCAA
Rider
#276
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A07/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A04/11
NCAA
Allegheny
#552
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H07/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H13/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A18/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H23/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
28.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.666.5-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.030.561.5+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.840.871.6-10.013%-
Last 10 (10)28.036.264.2-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)26.833.460.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.937.068.0-6.126%-
vs Similar (2)25.023.048.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.936.669.5-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.936.167.9-4.219%-
Last 30 away (14)34.137.271.4-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.670.7+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.871.2+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.539.469.9-8.914%-
vs Similar (5)35.229.664.8+5.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.031.073.0+11.067%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canisius wins
2
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Buffalo v Canisius86-66
18/12/21Canisius v Buffalo65-64
19/12/19Buffalo v Canisius82-73
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HBinghamton75-66
22/11/25HMd.-East. Shore60-57
18/11/25AHigh Point50-93
13/11/25HMercyhurst Lakers58-55
08/11/25ASt. Bonaventure70-89
07/11/25HAllegheny84-43
04/11/25ADayton48-88
08/03/25ASt. Peters62-70
07/03/25ARider50-78
02/03/25HIona52-82
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ABucknell73-71
24/11/25HVMI78-70
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76
03/11/25HSouthern Miss85-79
08/03/25AAkron70-88
05/03/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
01/03/25HToledo87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canisius
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game63.669.256.0
Allowed / game70.155.290.0
Point differential-6.6+14.0-34.0
Avg total133.7124.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.984.069.5
Allowed / game71.975.862.0
Point differential+8.0+8.2+7.5
Avg total151.7159.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena86275%69.263.6+5.6
2 Iona75271%84.680.6+4.0
3 Marist64267%73.059.8+13.2
4 Quinnipiac74357%80.178.1+2.0
5 Fairfield74357%76.179.0-2.9
6 Canisius74357%63.670.1-6.6
7 Manhattan83538%83.887.5-3.8
8 Sacred Heart62433%82.081.2+0.8
9 St. Peters62433%67.278.7-11.5
10 Niagara72529%63.474.7-11.3
11 Merrimack Warriors82625%64.578.1-13.6
12 Mount St. Mary's82625%66.880.9-14.1
13 Rider61517%61.280.0-18.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)660100%93.568.0+25.5
2 Buffalo770100%79.971.9+8.0
3 Akron75271%94.974.1+20.7
4 Bowling Green75271%85.665.7+19.9
5 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
6 Eastern Michigan85362%71.571.0+0.5
7 UMass74357%78.072.9+5.1
8 Toledo74357%79.677.9+1.7
9 Central Michigan73443%75.974.0+1.9
10 Northern Illinois73443%77.476.4+1.0
11 Western Michigan83538%74.579.5-5.0
12 Ball State72529%62.668.1-5.6
13 Ohio71614%71.184.4-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Canisius292453
Buffalo343771
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