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Cantu vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-51
28-16 25-11 20-14 8-10
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.3
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record9-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Urania Milano
08 Dec 2024
KAN81
URAN51
30 Dec 2023
KAN84
URAN85
21 Dec 2022
KAN79
URAN61
21 Dec 2021
KAN77
URAN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
72-68
72
68
+4
68avg 70
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 70
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 70
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
85-65
85
65
+20
87avg 70
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 70
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
77avg 70
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 70
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
89-60
89
60
+29
92avg 70
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 70
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 70
A01/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
20-23
21-17
15-14
17-29
21-20
29-20
13-8
25-24
27-20
11-19
20-17
24-16
29-11
13-22
19-16
16-20
16-15
23-26
17-19
18-15
23-14
14-24
28-18
13-17
28-25
17-25
27-22
22-16
31-13
18-20
18-11
20-16
15-21
21-25
20-9
19-20
20-25
20-27
8-18
154.3Avg total
79.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.273.3151.5+4.969%
Season at home (5)80.864.2145.0+16.6100%
Season away (8)76.679.0155.6-2.450%
Last 10 (10)79.275.1154.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)80.076.2156.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)73.774.8148.5-1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.371.8150.1+6.571%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
54avg 74
H16/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 74
A20/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 74
H26/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
78avg 74
A03/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 74
A06/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
83avg 74
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
73avg 74
H14/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 74
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 74
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
74avg 74
A01/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
14-17
16-21
14-15
16-14
18-20
24-14
16-27
19-20
17-13
20-11
21-16
20-26
21-21
26-13
13-6
18-27
25-17
21-13
22-22
22-19
24-22
17-23
20-15
11-16
19-10
30-21
14-16
19-17
21-23
24-20
17-11
17-32
20-21
28-17
15-12
17-17
20-24
18-13
16-17
151.1Avg total
78.2Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.673.9153.6+5.764%
Season at home (7)80.072.3152.3+7.771%
Season away (7)79.375.6154.9+3.757%
Last 10 (10)78.272.9151.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)79.875.6155.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.184.5163.5-5.427%
vs Similar (18)81.378.1159.4+3.356%
vs Weaker (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
CantuUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/12
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
42.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.674.7+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.732.673.4+8.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.738.275.9-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.479.4+4.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.136.672.7-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.634.477.0+8.171%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A20/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A06/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H14/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/12
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
38.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.781.6-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.580.1-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.983.1-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.742.978.6-7.29%-
vs Similar (18)41.940.882.8+1.156%-
vs Weaker (1)48.044.092.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.8
51.9%
50.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.3
36.5%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.5
70.6%
74.4%11.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
74.4%13.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWLWLWWWW
Urania Milano
LLWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#12
+5.1
Net rating
+7.6
108.2
Offensive rating
106.5
103.1
Defensive rating
98.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
32.0%
69.0%
Assist %
70.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 106.5Defence103.1 · 98.9Shooting53.2% · 49.9%3-point %36.5% · 32.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Cantu   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
2
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Cantu v Urania Milano84-85
28/10/23Urania Milano v Cantu84-97
21/12/22Cantu v Urania Milano79-61
01/10/22Urania Milano v Cantu70-85
02/04/22Urania Milano v Cantu66-58
21/12/21Cantu v Urania Milano77-67
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24APesaro67-90
17/11/24AForli76-71
13/11/24HFortitudo Bologna89-60
10/11/24AVigevano85-89
06/11/24HAvellino Basket83-71
01/11/24ACividale72-80
27/10/24HCento85-65
20/10/24ALibertas Livorno83-80
16/10/24AVerona80-77
13/10/24HBasket Torino72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AAvellino Basket81-83 OT
23/11/24HForli80-82
17/11/24ABasket Torino81-71
14/11/24HBrindisi74-63
09/11/24HJuVi Cremona83-79
06/11/24AOrzinuovi86-79
03/11/24AVigevano80-66
26/10/24HPesaro77-60
20/10/24AUdine74-75
16/10/24HSebastiani Rieti66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %69%100%50%
Points / game78.280.876.6
Allowed / game73.364.279.0
Point differential+4.9+16.6-2.4
Avg total151.5145.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game79.680.079.3
Allowed / game73.972.375.6
Point differential+5.7+7.7+3.7
Avg total153.6152.3154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1312192%83.976.5+7.4
2 Udine1411379%84.972.8+12.1
3 Cividale1411379%79.274.9+4.3
4 Cantu139469%78.273.3+4.9
5 Urania Milano149564%79.673.9+5.7
6 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%73.672.4+1.2
9 Avellino Basket147750%77.278.3-1.1
10 Basket Torino147750%74.175.4-1.4
11 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
12 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
13 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
14 JuVi Cremona145936%79.682.5-2.9
15 Pesaro145936%73.878.8-5.0
16 Nardo134931%73.681.2-7.5
17 Vigevano1441029%76.580.7-4.2
18 Libertas Livorno1441029%73.077.5-4.5
19 Cento1441029%69.878.1-8.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza1531220%75.580.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu282520881
Urania Milano1611141051
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