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Forli vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-76
16-20 21-15 25-21 9-20
Position#6
Record6-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game72.0
ItalySerie A2Round 12· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Cantu
17 Nov 2024
FORL71
KAN76
12 Apr 2024
FORL67
KAN77
16 Apr 2023
FORL67
KAN60
14 May 2022
FORL61
KAN64
12 May 2022
FORL76
KAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
73avg 68
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
84avg 68
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 68
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
71-50
71
50
+21
62avg 68
H16/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 68
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
57avg 68
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
55avg 68
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-67
92
67
+25
93avg 68
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
76avg 68
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 68
A13/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-13
20-18
16-15
21-17
19-23
16-21
16-11
9-20
19-25
19-18
16-19
18-9
20-15
11-14
22-12
14-14
20-18
17-17
22-15
20-17
27-20
9-22
17-22
13-18
21-14
20-20
13-17
20-12
24-14
22-20
26-21
23-22
19-15
15-16
18-22
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
149.2Avg total
76.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.172.8148.9+3.355%
Season at home (5)78.469.2147.6+9.280%
Season away (6)74.275.8150.0-1.733%
Last 10 (10)76.872.4149.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)78.876.6155.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.474.1148.4+0.347%
vs Weaker (12)80.971.2152.1+9.892%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
74-68
74
68
+6
64avg 72
A06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
75-57
75
57
+18
74avg 72
H09/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
72-68
72
68
+4
68avg 72
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 72
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 72
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
85-65
85
65
+20
87avg 72
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 72
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
77avg 72
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 72
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
89-60
89
60
+29
92avg 72
H13/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-9
18-27
20-12
20-8
25-17
15-17
15-15
16-14
20-23
21-17
15-14
17-29
21-20
29-20
13-8
25-24
27-20
11-19
20-17
24-16
29-11
13-22
19-16
16-20
16-15
23-26
17-19
18-15
23-14
14-24
28-18
13-17
28-25
17-25
27-22
22-16
31-13
18-20
18-11
151.3Avg total
79.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.572.0151.5+7.573%
Season at home (5)80.864.2145.0+16.6100%
Season away (6)78.378.5156.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)79.871.5151.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)82.873.0155.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.674.7149.3-0.160%
vs Weaker (15)77.472.0149.4+5.467%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
ForliCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H16/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
72.9Avg total
38.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.975.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.534.974.4+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.977.5-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.972.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.236.373.5+0.953%-
vs Weaker (12)41.936.878.7+5.267%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H09/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H13/11
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
42.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.675.1+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.933.574.3+7.467%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.775.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.734.677.3+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.476.4+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.436.673.0-0.240%-
vs Weaker (15)42.534.677.1+7.973%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
50.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
74.4%13.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
50.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.3
68.9%
74.4%11.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWLLWWLWW
Cantu
WLWLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+6.1
Net rating
+11.6
107.5
Offensive rating
110.4
101.4
Defensive rating
98.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
35.2%
49.8%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 110.4Defence101.4 · 98.8Shooting49.8% · 53.3%3-point %33.3% · 35.2%Ball care14.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
4
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
12/04/24Forli v Cantu67-77
07/05/23Cantu v Forli64-73
16/04/23Forli v Cantu67-60
14/05/22Forli v Cantu61-64
12/05/22Forli v Cantu76-72
09/05/22Cantu v Forli71-62
07/05/22Cantu v Forli77-55
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AUdine75-84
10/11/24HOrzinuovi87-82 OT
06/11/24ABasket Torino92-67
02/11/24HLibertas Livorno67-69
27/10/24ARimini73-81
20/10/24AAvellino Basket73-64
16/10/24HPesaro71-50
13/10/24ABrindisi63-82
06/10/24HVerona92-86 OT
02/10/24HCento75-59
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HFortitudo Bologna89-60
10/11/24AVigevano85-89
06/11/24HAvellino Basket83-71
01/11/24ACividale72-80
27/10/24HCento85-65
20/10/24ALibertas Livorno83-80
16/10/24AVerona80-77
13/10/24HBasket Torino72-68
09/10/24HBrindisi75-57
06/10/24ASebastiani Rieti74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game76.178.474.2
Allowed / game72.869.275.8
Point differential+3.3+9.2-1.7
Avg total148.9147.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %18%40%0%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game79.580.878.3
Allowed / game72.064.278.5
Point differential+7.5+16.6-0.2
Avg total151.5145.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1110191%83.876.6+7.2
2 Cividale1210283%78.874.8+4.0
3 Udine118373%82.372.8+9.5
4 Cantu118373%79.572.0+7.5
5 Urania Milano118373%79.472.6+6.7
6 Verona117464%79.974.2+5.7
7 Sebastiani Rieti117464%72.471.1+1.3
8 Forli116555%76.172.8+3.3
9 Orzinuovi115645%81.082.9-1.9
10 Basket Torino115645%73.676.1-2.5
11 Avellino Basket104640%75.276.4-1.2
12 JuVi Cremona114736%79.781.4-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno114736%74.176.9-2.8
14 Vigevano114736%76.980.0-3.1
15 Fortitudo Bologna114736%73.777.0-3.3
16 Cento114736%72.477.5-5.1
17 Nardo114736%75.081.5-6.5
18 Brindisi113827%72.175.6-3.5
19 Pesaro113827%71.079.6-8.6
20 Assigeco Piacenza112918%75.881.2-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli162125971
Cantu2015212076
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