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Capitol vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 84-102
28-27 19-23 17-28 20-24
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.3
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · Capitol v Nacional
22 Dec 2021
CAPI83
NACI89
02 May 2021
CAPI84
NACI102
10 Oct 2019
CAPI81
NACI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CapitolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#11
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#5
L
1-20
1
20
-19
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-22
19-18
30-37
19-22
24-17
15-21
25-27
21-16
10-14
26-18
16-12
–
–
–
–
22-22
23-21
23-22
23-16
17-4
28-17
21-28
18-18
17-19
20-11
27-30
25-23
10-9
23-26
27-19
27-28
27-30
13-17
23-16
17-31
–
–
–
–
136.6Avg total
67.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.366.0131.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)84.582.2166.8+2.250%
Season away (5)50.053.0103.0-3.060%
Last 10 (10)67.569.1136.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)68.269.2137.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.286.5163.7-9.326%
vs Similar ◀ (7)59.359.1118.4+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)69.864.2134.0+5.575%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
106-88
106
88
+18
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
5-26
16-13
29-29
17-10
21-16
21-24
26-17
19-21
25-17
15-12
28-15
21-23
28-20
24-17
33-28
13-14
16-20
26-29
28-30
18-26
24-13
16-16
23-20
18-29
16-18
30-17
16-20
19-25
22-21
28-21
17-16
18-16
16-22
16-16
16-24
21-23
25-18
21-20
22-20
164.3Avg total
83.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.879.3164.1+5.467%
Season at home (5)80.878.8159.6+2.060%
Season away (4)89.880.0169.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)83.780.6164.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)80.480.2160.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.174.6143.7-5.443%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.981.5168.4+5.471%
vs Weaker (6)65.866.5132.3-0.750%
This opponent (Capitol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
CapitolNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CapitolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#11
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
74.9Avg total
39.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.439.877.3-2.441%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.338.977.2-0.645%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.477.3-3.638%-
Last 10 (8)39.035.974.9+3.162%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.275.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.142.478.4-6.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.832.874.6+9.080%-
vs Weaker (3)39.035.374.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
78.8Avg total
38.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.538.778.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.979.8+2.159%-
Last 30 away (11)37.438.475.7-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.278.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.239.778.8-0.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.537.678.1+2.953%-
vs Weaker (5)36.641.277.8-4.620%-
This opponent (Capitol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Capitol wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
09/12/19Nacional v Capitol83-71
11/10/19Capitol v Nacional81-77
Capitollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/21AUrunday1-20
17/04/21HDefensor80-94
15/04/21AAguada87-82
10/04/21AHebraica y Macabi89-83
09/04/21HGoes84-67
03/04/21HMalvin91-81
27/03/21APenarol0-20
20/03/21ATrouville73-60
17/03/21HBigua83-87
09/03/20AUrunday87-97
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/21HMalvin89-81
17/04/21HGoes66-78
13/04/21AHebraica y Macabi86-83
11/04/21AAguada80-84
06/04/21HTrouville81-75
31/03/21HOlimpia Kings83-93
28/03/21ADefensor106-88
23/03/21ABigua87-65
19/03/21HPenarol85-67
17/02/21HAguada74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitol
Liga Uruguaya 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game65.384.550.0
Allowed / game66.082.253.0
Point differential-0.7+2.2-3.0
Avg total131.3166.8103.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game84.880.889.8
Allowed / game79.378.880.0
Point differential+5.4+2.0+9.8
Avg total164.1159.6169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Kings97278%89.881.7+8.1
2 Nacional96367%84.879.3+5.4
3 Urunday96367%78.875.1+3.7
4 Malvin95456%78.473.2+5.2
5 Penarol95456%78.676.2+2.3
6 Bigua95456%68.468.9-0.4
7 Capitol95456%65.366.0-0.7
8 Defensor95456%80.882.2-1.4
9 Aguada94544%78.183.7-5.6
10 Trouville92722%72.275.7-3.4
11 Hebraica y Macabi92722%89.793.8-4.1
12 Goes92722%49.458.6-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitol2819172084
Nacional27232824102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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