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Nacional vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 85-67
17-10 21-16 21-24 26-17
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 1
Other2020-21
Meetings · Nacional v Penarol
09 Jan 2023
NACI79
PENA76
21 Jan 2022
NACI75
PENA76
18 Mar 2021
NACI85
PENA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
15-15
26-20
14-20
17-11
20-12
25-18
18-26
13-23
20-19
17-12
17-14
25-18
13-24
13-24
15-17
16-13
18-24
25-12
18-17
23-20
21-14
30-26
23-31
–
–
–
–
27-17
18-27
13-23
16-28
25-16
19-19
24-17
17-20
24-24
5-26
16-13
29-29
146.2Avg total
71.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.774.5146.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)66.074.0140.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.276.2142.3-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
vs Weaker (4)67.855.5123.2+12.275%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A11/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H12/02
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A14/02
Liga A
Libertad
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H07/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H10/03
Liga A
Libertad
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A11/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
A14/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H15/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A18/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
20-25
28-32
15-20
22-14
23-22
18-20
27-20
15-25
13-16
28-24
21-16
21-18
15-20
17-15
15-19
11-24
17-20
26-21
21-24
20-18
10-11
18-16
14-22
23-22
16-10
13-16
24-24
25-19
19-27
25-27
27-23
18-24
23-11
23-21
9-16
15-17
19-21
23-22
15-20
160.3Avg total
78.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.581.8160.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.879.2157.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.480.5149.9-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.482.1165.5+1.370%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
NacionalPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H17/02
Liga Uruguaya
76.1Avg total
37.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.237.777.0+1.546%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.338.379.7+3.056%-
Last 30 away (10)35.536.672.1-1.130%-
Last 10 (9)37.938.276.1-0.344%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.240.078.2-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.737.877.5+1.945%-
vs Weaker (3)38.033.371.3+4.733%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#17
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
Liga A
Regatas
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A14/02
Liga A
Libertad
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/03
Liga A
Libertad
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/03
Liga A
75.9Avg total
36.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.136.970.0-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.236.169.3-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.037.870.8-4.840%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.175.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.836.567.2-5.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.837.975.7-0.160%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nacional wins
0
Penarol wins
No previous meetings.
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21HAguada74-92
12/02/21AAguada85-72
10/02/21HAguada74-95
01/12/20AAguada0-20
24/11/20HAguada97-91
22/11/20HDefensor77-66
18/11/20ADefensor66-83
15/11/20HDefensor67-68
10/11/20ADefensor80-67
03/11/20HDefensor97-91 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/21AOlimpico72-80
15/03/21HAtenas73-72
14/03/21AInstituto de Cordoba106-105 OT
11/03/21ALibertad76-72
10/03/21HQuimsa62-67
09/03/21ALa Union75-89
07/03/21HLibertad68-72
14/02/21ARegatas77-81
12/02/21HLa Union90-76
11/02/21AObera TC86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Kings110100%87.068.0+19.0
2 Urunday110100%98.082.0+16.0
3 Hebraica y Macabi110100%91.080.0+11.0
4 Malvin110100%81.071.0+10.0
5 Bigua110100%87.083.0+4.0
6 Capitol1010%83.087.0-4.0
7 Trouville1010%71.081.0-10.0
8 Goes1010%80.091.0-11.0
9 Aguada1010%82.098.0-16.0
10 Defensor1010%68.087.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1721212685
Penarol1016241767
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