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Cartagena vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 107-106 (OT)
24-20 25-16 19-29 25-28 14-13
Position#8
Record5-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#17
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game86.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 14
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cartagena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCartagena
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
L
83-94
83
94
-11
75avg 62
A19/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
71avg 62
H26/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
46avg 62
A03/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
67-100
67
100
-33
47avg 62
H08/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
68-91
68
91
-23
51avg 62
A17/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
47avg 62
A01/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 62
H07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
96-103
96
103
-7
85avg 62
A11/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
63avg 62
H15/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 62
A20/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
22-27
19-24
25-14
21-15
18-13
19-21
20-21
12-21
22-13
19-24
13-24
16-23
16-27
25-28
10-22
16-22
18-18
16-24
18-27
16-22
17-19
9-14
23-24
21-32
19-19
19-16
17-13
18-28
25-27
27-16
26-32
21-19
24-15
15-22
19-20
16-20
21-15
30-25
18-24
162.2Avg total
76.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.584.4159.8-8.938%
Season at home (6)74.277.2151.3-3.067%
Season away (7)76.690.6167.1-14.014%
Last 10 (10)76.385.9162.2-9.630%
Last 5 (5)80.284.4164.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.382.1154.4-9.840%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.682.6162.2-3.020%
vs Weaker (15)77.669.8147.4+7.880%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
57avg 72
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
88avg 72
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 72
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 72
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
76-107
76
107
-31
61avg 72
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
60-94
60
94
-34
47avg 72
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 72
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 72
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
60avg 72
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 72
H20/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
8-25
23-18
24-23
26-19
23-7
19-26
21-16
22-29
21-28
31-18
19-18
26-24
20-23
26-21
23-18
22-33
11-22
22-29
21-23
15-28
14-21
13-29
18-16
21-17
13-33
17-12
26-21
26-16
8-15
13-21
21-11
26-28
17-18
12-33
13-16
17-23
13-20
22-14
21-11
165.0Avg total
78.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.586.4165.9-6.846%
Season at home (7)78.175.9154.0+2.371%
Season away (6)81.298.7179.8-17.517%
Last 10 (10)78.786.3165.0-7.650%
Last 5 (5)69.280.6149.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.288.8167.0-10.636%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.583.1169.6+3.462%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
CartagenaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A19/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H26/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H08/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A17/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H15/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/12
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
37.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.076.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.776.7+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)35.940.176.0-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.480.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.439.675.0-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.046.485.4-7.420%-
vs Weaker (15)38.136.174.2+2.147%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/12
Primera FEB
82.5Avg total
36.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.944.382.2-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.441.479.8-3.131%-
Last 30 away (14)37.447.685.0-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)36.845.782.5-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.877.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.146.683.7-9.514%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cartagena wins
0
Castello wins
No previous meetings.
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AGipuzkoa85-84
15/12/24HMoron79-76
11/12/24ATizona Burgos96-103
07/12/24HReal Valladolid76-80
01/12/24AFuenlabrada65-79
17/11/24AEstudiantes68-91
08/11/24HPalencia67-100
03/11/24AReal Betis66-82
26/10/24HHestia Menorca78-70
19/10/24AZamora83-94
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HObradoiro CAB73-68
15/12/24ASan Pablo Burgos68-95
11/12/24HHestia Menorca68-63
06/12/24AGipuzkoa77-83
01/12/24HReal Betis60-94
15/11/24APalencia76-107
08/11/24HOurense95-86
01/11/24ATizona Burgos107-105 OT
25/10/24HEstela89-68
19/10/24AFuenlabrada74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cartagena
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game75.574.276.6
Allowed / game84.477.290.6
Point differential-8.9-3.0-14.0
Avg total159.8151.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game79.578.181.2
Allowed / game86.475.998.7
Point differential-6.8+2.3-17.5
Avg total165.9154.0179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1312192%87.173.2+13.8
2 Fuenlabrada1312192%83.070.7+12.3
3 Estudiantes1312192%88.478.5+9.8
4 Palencia1410471%87.978.5+9.4
5 Real Betis139469%82.572.8+9.8
6 Ourense138562%86.079.9+6.1
7 Obradoiro CAB137654%79.874.8+4.9
8 Tizona Burgos137654%92.590.9+1.5
9 Zamora136746%76.879.3-2.5
10 Castello136746%79.586.4-6.8
11 Gipuzkoa135838%73.777.2-3.5
12 Estela135838%73.781.5-7.8
13 Cartagena135838%75.584.4-8.9
14 Hestia Menorca134931%72.776.5-3.8
15 Oviedo134931%75.681.4-5.8
16 Real Valladolid1441029%71.782.8-11.1
17 Alicante1321115%72.377.4-5.1
18 Moron130130%72.685.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cartagena2425192514107
Castello2016292813106
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