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Palencia vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 107-76
33-22 22-11 29-22 23-21
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#17
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game87.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 8· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Castello
15 Nov 2024
PAL107
CAST76
18 Nov 2022
PAL77
CAST63
13 Oct 2021
PAL80
CAST79
19 Mar 2021
PAL76
CAST75
03 Nov 2019
PAL108
CAST87
19 Oct 2018
PAL84
CAST59
19 Jan 2018
PAL70
CAST73
04 Nov 2016
PAL79
CAST78
05 Feb 2016
PAL94
CAST75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 74
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
57avg 74
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
64avg 74
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 74
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 74
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
66avg 74
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 74
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
54avg 74
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
80-64
80
64
+16
80avg 74
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
100-67
100
67
+33
96avg 74
A08/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
27-20
22-21
24-22
17-19
21-14
19-22
18-26
17-17
17-25
14-26
21-25
21-18
21-23
27-27
22-17
20-18
22-9
21-16
15-26
13-24
21-19
17-20
26-25
15-30
22-19
24-20
19-18
23-23
12-25
20-19
13-18
17-15
19-18
21-15
23-16
23-16
27-16
28-25
22-10
161.4Avg total
81.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.077.9159.9+4.157%
Season at home (3)79.373.3152.7+6.067%
Season away (4)84.081.2165.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)81.579.9161.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)81.078.2159.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.888.0168.8-7.220%
vs Similar (6)79.890.8170.7-11.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.271.2158.5+16.0100%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
69avg 73
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 73
A05/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
92-89
92
89
+3
86avg 73
H10/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
90-68
90
68
+22
91avg 73
H27/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
85-108
85
108
-23
72avg 73
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 73
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
57avg 73
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
88avg 73
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 73
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 73
H08/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-10
14-19
19-19
23-21
20-31
21-26
18-17
27-19
16-23
28-22
21-25
26-18
26-20
21-21
17-9
24-23
18-28
20-31
23-26
18-19
20-19
15-26
19-20
19-28
8-25
23-18
24-23
26-19
23-7
19-26
21-16
22-29
21-28
31-18
19-18
26-24
20-23
26-21
23-18
171.7Avg total
85.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.487.6175.0-0.157%
Season at home (4)86.576.5163.0+10.075%
Season away (3)88.7102.3191.0-13.733%
Last 10 (10)85.686.1171.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)87.487.4174.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.589.6169.1-10.129%
vs Similar (9)84.182.3166.4+1.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
PalenciaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A08/11
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
39.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.880.3-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.477.3+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.983.0-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.578.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.040.580.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.533.275.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
Primera FEB
85.0Avg total
42.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.143.881.9-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.442.281.6-2.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.645.782.3-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.946.184.0-8.214%-
vs Similar (9)38.738.677.2+0.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Palencia wins
3
Castello wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23Castello v Palencia85-80
18/11/22Palencia v Castello77-63
01/02/22Castello v Palencia84-82
13/10/21Palencia v Castello80-79
23/04/21Castello v Palencia87-76
19/03/21Palencia v Castello76-75
06/03/20Castello v Palencia82-87
03/11/19Palencia v Castello108-87
01/02/19Castello v Palencia66-72
19/10/18Palencia v Castello84-59
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24ACartagena100-67
01/11/24HAlicante80-64
26/10/24AReal Betis68-85
19/10/24HEstudiantes80-87
12/10/24ASan Pablo Burgos77-88
04/10/24HGipuzkoa78-69
27/09/24ATizona Burgos91-85
12/05/24AUnicaja69-93
09/05/24HObradoiro CAB75-81
04/05/24ABilbao97-80
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HOurense95-86
01/11/24ATizona Burgos107-105 OT
25/10/24HEstela89-68
19/10/24AFuenlabrada74-94
11/10/24HZamora72-84
06/10/24AEstudiantes85-108
27/09/24HOviedo90-68
10/05/24HEstela92-89
05/05/24ALeyma Coruna82-95
28/04/24HAlicante70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game82.079.384.0
Allowed / game77.973.381.2
Point differential+4.1+6.0+2.8
Avg total159.9152.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game87.486.588.7
Allowed / game87.676.5102.3
Point differential-0.1+10.0-13.7
Avg total175.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos770100%84.672.7+11.9
2 Fuenlabrada76186%84.468.4+16.0
3 Estudiantes76186%88.780.0+8.7
4 Ourense75271%87.472.9+14.6
5 Real Betis75271%80.170.9+9.3
6 Palencia74357%82.077.9+4.1
7 Obradoiro CAB74357%79.678.4+1.1
8 Castello74357%87.487.6-0.1
9 Tizona Burgos73443%91.792.0-0.3
10 Zamora73443%79.679.9-0.3
11 Hestia Menorca73443%70.073.9-3.9
12 Gipuzkoa73443%69.173.7-4.6
13 Oviedo73443%74.179.7-5.6
14 Cartagena73443%73.183.4-10.3
15 Estela83538%74.480.6-6.2
16 Real Valladolid72529%73.081.3-8.3
17 Alicante7070%65.374.7-9.4
18 Moron8080%69.082.9-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia33222923107
Castello2211222176
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