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Castello vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-68
26-19 23-7 19-26 21-16
Position#17
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game85.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 5
Other2024-25
Meetings · Castello v Estela
25 Oct 2024
CAST89
ESTE68
10 May 2024
CAST92
ESTE89
21 Oct 2022
CAST76
ESTE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 71
A10/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
67avg 71
H14/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
96-93
96
93
+3
87avg 71
A21/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
69avg 71
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 71
A05/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
92-89
92
89
+3
86avg 71
H10/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
90-68
90
68
+22
91avg 71
H27/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
85-108
85
108
-23
72avg 71
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 71
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
57avg 71
A19/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-34
20-27
20-16
16-14
15-20
16-20
19-22
24-12
28-17
21-24
27-15
20-37
25-16
12-10
14-19
19-19
23-21
20-31
21-26
18-17
27-19
16-23
28-22
21-25
26-18
26-20
21-21
17-9
24-23
18-28
20-31
23-26
18-19
20-19
15-26
19-20
19-28
8-25
23-18
24-23
168.1Avg total
81.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.288.5168.8-8.225%
Season at home (2)81.076.0157.0+5.050%
Season away (2)79.5101.0180.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)81.187.0168.1-5.940%
Last 5 (5)82.688.6171.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.888.8165.6-12.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.985.3167.2-3.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#18
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 68
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 68
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 68
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 68
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
52avg 68
H04/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 68
A10/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
55avg 68
A28/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
82avg 68
H06/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
65-93
65
93
-28
53avg 68
A12/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 68
H18/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
16-27
24-29
22-20
15-8
19-18
19-15
19-24
22-23
18-12
8-26
19-20
33-14
6-26
10-24
28-24
17-24
19-20
17-25
14-25
19-27
23-16
22-28
25-21
11-23
20-21
19-19
17-23
18-12
18-19
15-24
24-20
18-28
21-13
14-26
12-26
21-25
18-18
15-13
27-20
161.6Avg total
75.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.885.5160.2-10.825%
Season at home (2)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (2)66.089.5155.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)75.586.1161.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)77.686.8164.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.185.7157.8-13.713%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.279.8162.0+2.455%
vs Weaker (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
CastelloEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A10/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A21/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A19/10
Primera FEB
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.244.481.6-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 30 away (15)36.145.781.8-9.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.345.482.7-8.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.142.479.5-5.330%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A12/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/10
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
37.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.9-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.679.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.976.2-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.777.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.642.677.2-8.013%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.537.579.0+4.164%-
vs Weaker (4)38.239.077.2-0.825%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Castello wins
2
Estela wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Castello v Estela92-89
25/11/23Estela v Castello91-80
18/02/23Estela v Castello84-64
21/10/22Castello v Estela76-72
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AFuenlabrada74-94
11/10/24HZamora72-84
06/10/24AEstudiantes85-108
27/09/24HOviedo90-68
10/05/24HEstela92-89
05/05/24ALeyma Coruna82-95
28/04/24HAlicante70-64
21/04/24AClavijo96-93
14/04/24HHestia Menorca83-84 OT
10/04/24ASan Pablo Burgos67-91
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HReal Betis81-76
12/10/24AOurense65-93
06/10/24HHestia Menorca86-87 OT
28/09/24ASan Pablo Burgos67-86
10/05/24ACastello89-92
04/05/24HTizona Burgos67-94
26/04/24AForca Lleida77-88
20/04/24HEstudiantes67-81
14/04/24AOurense72-65
10/04/24AClavijo84-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.281.079.5
Allowed / game88.576.0101.0
Point differential-8.2+5.0-21.5
Avg total168.8157.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.883.566.0
Allowed / game85.581.589.5
Point differential-10.8+2.0-23.5
Avg total160.2165.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ourense440100%87.866.5+21.2
2 San Pablo Burgos440100%86.074.8+11.2
3 Fuenlabrada43175%84.869.0+15.8
4 Estudiantes43175%92.082.0+10.0
5 Zamora43175%84.074.8+9.2
6 Real Betis43175%78.069.0+9.0
7 Palencia42250%81.582.2-0.8
8 Gipuzkoa42250%64.066.0-2.0
9 Tizona Burgos42250%87.290.5-3.2
10 Hestia Menorca42250%71.274.8-3.5
11 Oviedo42250%74.580.2-5.8
12 Cartagena42250%75.283.0-7.8
13 Obradoiro CAB41325%75.077.8-2.8
14 Castello41325%80.288.5-8.2
15 Estela41325%74.885.5-10.8
16 Real Valladolid41325%72.085.8-13.8
17 Alicante4040%66.071.8-5.8
18 Moron4040%65.577.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Castello2623192189
Estela197261668
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