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Casale Monferrato vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-89
26-25 27-26 18-23 24-15
Position#7
Record11-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyA2 - WestRound 24
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casale Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergamo
#4
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A28/12
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H06/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A12/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H20/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
L
98-107
98
107
-9
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H30/01
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A03/02
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H10/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A17/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A24/02
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
19-27
19-30
23-25
17-12
16-23
11-17
13-13
26-23
24-17
20-23
31-23
27-10
19-16
22-20
21-16
22-26
20-33
27-29
29-19
24-29
29-13
20-20
23-13
20-25
19-19
16-16
18-19
23-18
21-20
12-15
20-24
10-18
21-16
18-14
13-22
14-24
19-16
25-23
12-26
161.6Avg total
80.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.678.6160.1+3.048%
Season at home (11)81.069.6150.6+11.473%
Season away (12)82.186.8168.8-4.725%
Last 10 (10)80.780.9161.6-0.230%
Last 5 (5)75.478.0153.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.177.6149.7-5.443%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.279.2159.5+1.038%
vs Weaker (10)83.377.7161.0+5.660%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#14
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H30/12
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A06/01
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A13/01
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H20/01
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H27/01
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A31/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H03/02
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A09/02
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H17/02
A2 - West
Siena
#13
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H24/02
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
16-13
18-15
17-15
22-14
13-8
13-19
9-18
20-18
26-26
24-20
17-11
27-23
22-15
28-28
15-22
18-14
24-23
30-14
17-31
22-14
23-20
25-14
16-25
20-17
21-22
17-17
22-25
18-17
30-20
15-19
27-29
15-10
26-21
30-20
23-17
20-20
19-17
21-14
32-11
156.9Avg total
83.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.279.0161.3+3.261%
Season at home (12)86.276.0162.2+10.283%
Season away (11)77.982.4160.3-4.536%
Last 10 (10)83.673.3156.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)88.473.8162.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.485.3159.7-10.929%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.480.8161.2-0.555%
vs Weaker (12)83.977.4161.3+6.567%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Casale MonferratoTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergamo
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/12
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/01
A2 - West
Latina
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/01
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/01
A2 - West
Siena
#13
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H30/01
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/02
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/02
A2 - West
81.6Avg total
41.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.779.8+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.776.9+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.281.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.735.073.7+3.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.740.883.5+1.854%-
vs Weaker (10)40.738.479.1+2.340%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#14
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H30/12
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A06/01
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/01
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H20/01
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/01
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A31/01
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/02
A2 - West
Leonis Roma
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A09/02
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/02
A2 - West
Siena
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/02
A2 - West
76.9Avg total
42.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.681.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.480.4+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.982.3-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.976.9+7.1100%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.678.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.346.686.9-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.740.581.3+0.255%-
vs Weaker (12)41.037.278.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casale Monferrato wins
1
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
25/11/18Treviglio v Casale Monferrato70-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19ACapo d'Orlando70-89
17/02/19ATortona62-70
10/02/19HVirtus Roma76-77
03/02/19ANPC Rieti73-79
30/01/19HTrapani96-75
27/01/19ASiena98-107
20/01/19HVirtus Cassino89-62
12/01/19ALatina101-86
06/01/19HBiella57-65
28/12/18ABergamo85-99
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/19HSiena92-62
17/02/19HAgrigento94-68
09/02/19ALeonis Roma90-85
03/02/19HBiella80-81
31/01/19ABergamo86-73
27/01/19HScafati89-82
20/01/19HCapo d'Orlando92-88
13/01/19ALegnano87-75
06/01/19ANPC Rieti57-59
30/12/18HTortona69-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casale Monferrato
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL48%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%73%25%
Points / game81.681.082.1
Allowed / game78.669.686.8
Point differential+3.0+11.4-4.7
Avg total160.1150.6168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%64%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Treviglio
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%83%36%
Points / game82.286.277.9
Allowed / game79.076.082.4
Point differential+3.2+10.2-4.5
Avg total161.3162.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %13%17%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma2417771%82.878.5+4.4
2 Capo d'Orlando2315865%85.780.3+5.5
3 NPC Rieti2315865%72.771.6+1.1
4 Bergamo2415962%81.878.0+3.8
5 Treviglio2314961%82.279.0+3.2
6 Latina24141058%88.787.8+1.0
7 Scafati23131057%82.681.9+0.7
8 Agrigento23131057%77.979.0-1.1
9 Biella24121250%76.374.0+2.4
10 Trapani24121250%84.383.7+0.6
11 Casale Monferrato23111248%81.678.6+3.0
12 Leonis Roma24111346%78.280.4-2.2
13 Siena23101343%76.380.0-3.7
14 Tortona2491538%75.275.8-0.6
15 Legnano2351822%75.282.9-7.7
16 Virtus Cassino242228%74.184.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casale Monferrato2627182495
Treviglio2526231589
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