Casey Cavaliers vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 83-93

21-21 21-23 18-24 23-25

Position#10

Record10-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game84.5

Casey Cavaliers

Eltham 🏆

Position#6

Record8-8

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game86.5

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Eltham

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eltham winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

82-61

+21

A03/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

91-93

-2

H10/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

95-90

A11/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

92-83

A17/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

81-83 OT

-2

H24/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

90-80

+10

A31/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

100-103

100

103

-3

H06/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

102-82

102

+20

H14/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

93-109

109

-16

H21/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

89-77

+12

A28/06

NBL1 South

28-16

25-8

16-16

13-21

23-23

22-28

21-30

25-12

27-27

27-26

25-18

16-19

30-17

29-19

17-25

16-22

18-15

14-25

15-13

22-16

20-30

18-17

23-15

29-18

30-21

24-30

14-24

32-28

26-16

27-24

26-18

23-24

25-22

21-36

29-28

18-23

23-15

26-19

16-22

24-21

177.6Avg total

91.5Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	89.4	84.5	173.9	+4.9	62%
Season at home (8)	90.4	90.6	181.0	-0.2	25%
Season away (8)	88.5	78.4	166.9	+10.1	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.5	86.1	177.6	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	90.2	185.0	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	80.8	90.5	171.3	-9.7	20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.3	85.7	168.0	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker (6)	92.8	84.3	177.2	+8.5	83%

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

87-85

H04/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

75-104

104

-29

A10/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

69-89

-20

A16/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

90-89

A17/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

73-68

H24/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

92-81

+11

H31/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

86-92

-6

H14/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

87-99

-12

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

78-96

-18

H21/06

NBL1 South

Knox

103-72

103

+31

H28/06

NBL1 South

22-17

19-25

21-18

25-25

15-34

24-23

19-26

17-21

25-26

13-26

12-19

19-18

26-29

21-19

24-21

19-20

24-22

13-16

14-16

22-14

24-26

22-18

19-15

27-22

27-21

17-26

15-22

27-23

23-19

16-19

19-35

29-26

17-21

22-32

18-18

21-25

34-13

19-22

25-19

25-18

171.5Avg total

84.0Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.6	86.5	173.1	+0.1	50%
Season at home (8)	87.0	80.9	167.9	+6.1	62%
Season away (8)	86.2	92.1	178.4	-5.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	87.5	171.5	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	88.0	177.2	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	89.5	162.5	-16.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	82.7	84.5	167.3	-1.8	55%
vs Weaker (17)	90.3	80.4	170.6	+9.9	82%

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Casey CavaliersEltham

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	20.2	45.2	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.3	24.0	45.3	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	19.2	43.3	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.8	46.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.1	19.5	41.5	+2.6	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.2	46.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.2	48.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.8	22.7	47.5	+2.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	20.6	42.3	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.3	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	19.5	38.3	-0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	17.6	39.9	+4.6	82%	-

Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

53-24

+29

A03/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

45-51

-6

H10/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

54-53

A11/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

#12

59-36

+23

A17/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

32-40

-8

H24/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

38-47

-9

A31/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

54-51

H06/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

53-40

+13

H14/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

46-58

-12

H21/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

49-34

+15

A28/06

NBL1 South

91.7Avg total

48.3Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	44.7	88.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	46.2	88.2	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.1	42.7	87.8	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	43.4	91.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	46.0	94.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.6	47.0	88.6	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.3	42.8	85.1	-0.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.0	41.8	90.8	+7.2	83%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

41-42

-1

H04/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

39-57

-18

A10/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

38-52

-14

A16/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#18

47-48

-1

A17/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

37-38

-1

H24/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

46-44

H31/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

44-47

-3

H14/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

39-38

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#15

39-53

-14

H21/06

NBL1 South

Knox

53-35

+18

H28/06

NBL1 South

87.7Avg total

42.3Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.7	41.6	86.2	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.4	39.9	80.3	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	45.4	87.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	43.4	87.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	48.5	85.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.5	40.1	84.6	+4.4	59%	-

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	21.7	42.3	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.8	38.4	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.8	48.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	21.3	44.2	+1.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	22.8	48.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	44.3	83.7	-4.9	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	41.3	83.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	44.2	91.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.7	42.9	81.6	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.7	41.3	80.0	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.1	84.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	42.1	83.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	44.6	89.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.7	43.7	86.5	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.8	39.5	84.2	+5.3	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Casey Cavaliers wins

Eltham wins

Date	Game	Score
15/06/24	Casey Cavaliers v Eltham	71-100
03/06/23	Eltham v Casey Cavaliers	114-66
26/06/22	Casey Cavaliers v Eltham	63-82

Casey Cavalierslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/25	A	Bendigo Braves	89-77
21/06/25	H	Ringwood	93-109
14/06/25	H	NW Tasmania	102-82
06/06/25	H	Sandringham Sabres	100-103
31/05/25	A	Keilor Thunder	90-80
24/05/25	H	Melbourne Tigers	81-83 OT
17/05/25	A	Frankston	92-83
11/05/25	A	Waverley	95-90
10/05/25	H	Mt Gambier	91-93
03/05/25	A	Kilsyth	82-61

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/25	H	Knox	103-72
21/06/25	H	Keilor Thunder	78-96
15/06/25	A	Sandringham Sabres	87-99
14/06/25	H	Bendigo Braves	86-92
31/05/25	H	Diamond Valley	92-81
24/05/25	H	Geelong	73-68
17/05/25	A	NW Tasmania	90-89
16/05/25	A	Hobart Chargers	69-89
10/05/25	A	Kilsyth	75-104
04/05/25	H	Melbourne Tigers	87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	62%
Home	LLLWL	25%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	25%	100%
Points / game	89.4	90.4	88.5
Allowed / game	84.5	90.6	78.4
Point differential	+4.9	-0.2	+10.1
Avg total	173.9	181.0	166.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	12%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Eltham

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	50%
Home	WWLLW	62%
Away	WLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	50%	62%	38%
Points / game	86.6	87.0	86.2
Allowed / game	86.5	80.9	92.1
Point differential	+0.1	+6.1	-5.9
Avg total	173.1	167.9	178.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	18	14	4	78%	91.3	82.9	+8.3
2	Mt Gambier	17	11	6	65%	96.6	85.7	+10.9
3	Melbourne Tigers	17	11	6	65%	87.6	79.5	+8.1
4	Casey Cavaliers	16	10	6	62%	89.4	84.5	+4.9
5	Hobart Chargers	17	10	7	59%	87.5	84.4	+3.1
6	Ballarat	17	10	7	59%	88.5	91.9	-3.4
7	Sandringham Sabres	16	9	7	56%	92.5	91.2	+1.3
8	Kilsyth	18	10	8	56%	87.2	85.4	+1.8
9	Waverley	17	9	8	53%	93.0	94.4	-1.4
10	Ringwood	18	9	9	50%	93.9	90.9	+3.1
11	Eltham	16	8	8	50%	86.6	86.5	+0.1
12	Frankston	17	8	9	47%	92.3	88.5	+3.8
13	Nunawading	17	8	9	47%	86.2	86.9	-0.8
14	Bendigo Braves	19	8	11	42%	84.4	93.3	-8.9
15	Geelong	17	7	10	41%	83.7	88.6	-4.9
16	Keilor Thunder	16	6	10	38%	82.6	89.2	-6.6
17	NW Tasmania	17	5	12	29%	86.3	88.6	-2.4
18	Diamond Valley	17	5	12	29%	84.5	93.8	-9.4
19	Dandenong	17	4	13	24%	89.1	96.6	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Casey Cavaliers	21	21	18	23	83
Eltham	21	23	24	25	93

← all games of the day

Casey Cavaliers vs Eltham Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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